Survey by the Smith Institute for “Globes” published on 26 December 2013
(sample size and actual survey date not indicated in write up]
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
Please note: There are 120 seats in the Knesset. Parties must receive a
minimum of 2% of the valid votes cast in the elections to be included in the
Knesset – this comes to 2.4 seats. After elections are held the coalition
forming a government must receive 61 votes in a vote of confidence in the
Knesset.
36 [31] Likud Beiteinu (Likud & Yisrael Beiteinu)
19 [15] Labor
13 [12] Bayit Yehudi
11 [11] Shas
10 [19] Lapid “Yesh Atid” Party
09 [06] Meretz
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah
03 [06] Livni party “Hatnua” Party
11 [11] Arab parties
00 [02] Kadima
Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
http://knessetjeremy.com/category/knesset/polls/
Category: Polls
Panels Polls Current & w/3.25% threshold: Likud Beitenu 33 (w/new threshold 35), Labor 16 (17), Yesh Atid 13 (14), Bayit Yehudi 13 (14)
Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 5 Comments
December 26, 2013
Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Dec 26 2013.
Additionally, Panels released a scenario poll result of a 3.25% threshold.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
33 [31] Likud Beitenu
16 [15] Labor
13 [19] Yesh Atid
13 [12] Bayit Yehudi
11 [06] Meretz
10 [11] Shas
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
02 [02] Kadima
62 [61] Right-Religious
58 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Panels conducted a scenario poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Dec 26 2013.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
Polls are a snapshot in time.
The threshold to get in Knesset for a party is likely to become 3.25% so the Arab parties will have to consolidate or be wiped out. Our favorite bird (Zippi Livni party) is close to being locked out of the Knesset also.
I’m not surprised.
In Israel, fresh centrist parties are here today and gone tomorrow.
This does not bode well for Yair Lapid’s dream of replacing Netanyahu as Prime Minister. He was given the most thankless job in the Israeli government, for which he takes all the blame and gets none of the credit.
No wonder Yesh Atid’s poll numbers have been tanking.