US grants Iran a seat at the next round of Geneva II conference on Syria – alongside big powers

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 5, 2014, 7:55 PM (IST)

    The problem with this is that no one in Moscow, Tehran or Damascus has any doubt that the nuclear deals with the big powers will not turn out much differently from the agreement for destroying Syria’s chemical weapons.

The second round of the Geneva II conference on the Syrian conflict opens Monday, Feb. 10 – this time with a seat at the table for the Iranian delegation provided by Washington, DEBKAfile reports exclusively. Washington relayed this abrupt turnabout from its ban last week on Iranian representatives to the Tehran delegates quietly attending the secret alternative conference taking place unannounced in Bern.

This event has proceeded in parallel to the public gathering in Montreux with the participation of Assad regime and opposition delegates, as well as senior US, Iranian and Russian officials. It was there that the real business was contracted behind closed doors – not in Montreux, where rigid official positions were presented for public consumption as a decoy from the Bern meeting, for which the Swiss government rather than the UN had provided the necessary technical and logistic facilities.

The Bern channel was first revealed in the last DEBKA Weekly issue, No. 621 of Jan. 31.

Permission to admit Iran to the Bern parley marked another major Obama administration concession to Tehran. For the first time, Iran delegates took their seats around an international conference table alongside the major powers with a say on political and strategic decisions for a critical Mid East conflict.

This basic shift was evinced, according to our sources, Tuesday, Feb. 4 in Washington and in Moscow.

Appearing before the House Intelligence Committee, Director of Intelligence James Clapper admitted that the agreement to dismantle the Syrian chemical weapons, reached last year in Geneva by US Secretary of State John Kerry and Russia Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, had “actually strengthened Bashar Assad’s position… by virtue of his agreement to remove the chemical weapons.”

In the space of a week, Washington has gone back on the forceful statement Kerry made at the opening of the Geneva conference on Jan. 16, when he said “as we get into this process, it will become clear there is no political solution whatsoever if Assad is not discussing a transition and if he thinks he is going to be part of that future. It is not going to happen”.

The Obama administration is now forced to act on the presumption of a stronger Bashar Assad – as registered by Clapper, meaning that in order to be realistic, there is no option but to accept the Syrian ruler’s strong standing in Damascus and Tehran and the unavoidable conclusion that Iran is vitally instrumental to any resolution of the Syrian conflict.

Few people even in Israel noticed the telling comment made last week by Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas’s special emissary to Tehran, Jibril Rajoub. He said after talking to Iranian officials that Tehran must be part of the negotiating process ongoing between the Palestinians and Israel, clearly speaking under the influence of Iran’s enhanced position in the conference on Syria’s future.
In Moscow Tuesday, Lavrov, standing with Ahmad Jarba, leader of the oppsoition Syrian National Coalition, said “there was no doubt that Syrian opposition would attend” the second round of Geneva 2 next week.

This was after he had told Jarba privately, DEBKAfile’s sources report, that Iran must participate henceforth in the talks for there to be any chance of progress toward a resolution of the Syrian conflict.

None of this, or the admitted “roll-down” in the deal for eliminating Assad’s chemical arsenal, deterred Undersecretary of State Wendy Sherman, the head of the US team at the nuclear negotiations with Iran, from explaining to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that the interim nuclear agreement signed with Iran is “full of holes” because it is not a final agreement. “This is not perfect but this does freeze and roll back their program in significant ways and give us time on the clock to in fact negotiate that comprehensive agreement,” Sherman said.

The problem with this is that no one in Moscow, Tehran or Damascus has any doubt that the nuclear deals with the big powers will not turn out much differently from the agreement for destroying Syria’s chemical weapons.

February 6, 2014 | 8 Comments »

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  1. Do ‘Syria,’ ‘Iraq’ and ‘Lebanon’ Still Exist?
    Until recently the Middle East looked like the rest of the world: divided into countries with clear national borders, and power divided accordingly. But then something changed.
    http://www.thetower.org/article/do-syria-iraq-and-lebanon-still-exist/

    While everybody was busy trying to delegitimize and destroy Israel events appeared to have backfired and instead delegitimized and destroyed those who cursed the Jews. They didn’t even notice.
    😛 😛 😛 ……. 😛

  2. The US administration has legitimized Iranian TERRORISM as well as their status as a nuclear power. But it will claim the opposite. The goal of this administration has been to provide the backward ME Muslim world with nuclear parity. Another delusional way to undermine Israel.

  3. Syrian Kurds courting Turkmens
    the Bayir region is also essential for their dream of reaching the Mediterranean Sea.
    Read more: http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/02/kurds-turkmen-alliance-syria-security-al-qaeda.html?utm_source=Al-Monitor+Newsletter+%5BEnglish%5D&utm_campaign=f546e82fa8-January_9_20141_8_2014&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_28264b27a0-f546e82fa8-100371289#ixzz2seenHMzy

    Turkey would not want the Kurds to have their own Med sea outlet they prefer kurdish oil through the Turkey pipelines:

    Syrian Kurds want to sell oil via Turkey
    Read more: http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/business/2014/02/syria-kurds-want-sell-oil-turkey.html?utm_source=Al-Monitor+Newsletter+%5BEnglish%5D&utm_campaign=f546e82fa8-January_9_20141_8_2014&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_28264b27a0-f546e82fa8-100371289#ixzz2sefZ9urG

  4. yamit82 Said:

    Report today is that hundreds of jihadists are vacating Syria for Egypt to oppose the junta and Al-Sisi.

    where is this report

    yamit82 Said:

    Are the Saudis running these guys too?

    I suspect that the jihadis in sinai, linked to hamas and the egyptian muslim brotherhood is financed by Iran. My understanding is that the Muslim brotherhood of Egypt operated independently from those related to Saudi and qatar. I think Morsi, and the top egyptian MB betrayed somebody or were found to be working with the Iranians. Benghazi may have a link. (notice that the GCC sponsor of the MB, Qatar, has no hostilities with KSA) There is a history of MB our of the KSA and I suspect that they want control of the egyptian MB either through decapitation of leadership or by absorbing the rank and file into the salafis(GCC jihadis)(note the salafis endorse Sisi)
    Turkey,MB, Hamas; turkey is re approaching iran.
    http://www.nationaljournal.com/defense/why-is-turkey-harboring-terrorists-20140206
    http://www.thetower.org/hamas-leader-finds-shelter-turkey/
    up until a certain point Morsi and the egyptian MB were in cooperation with the GCC in sending Jihadis to syria which I believe was part of the regional agreement including the US and the gaza attack and cease-fire. Although Morsi initiated the hamas tunnel closings he was suspected to be only paying lip service on the sinai crackdown and the hamas. Now Sisi says he was forming an Iran type republican guard in the sinai to cement his rule.yamit82 Said:

    I wonder if all the violence is geared towards keeping the price of oil artificially high?

    Don’t know, anything is possible. My concern is if the understandings which keep the assembled syrian jihadis focused on Irans proxies changes and they are then used to pressure Israel. I have not fully bought into the obama Saudi break yet, although it is quite convincing.

  5. bernard ross says:

    Smoking gun: Saudis running jihadists in Syria.

    Report today is that hundreds of jihadists are vacating Syria for Egypt to oppose the junta and Al-Sisi. Hezbollah returning to Lebanon and Assad making steady gains on the ground. In Egypt they bumped off the deputy police general in Cairo and shot down with a stinger type missile a military chopper in Sinai.

    Are the Saudis running these guys too? Now there are bombings and assassinations daily in Egypt and they are becoming a clone of Iraq.

    I wonder if all the violence is geared towards keeping the price of oil artificially high? There is a global economic slowdown and new sources of oil coming on line all the time. Iraq and Iran increased production along with American increases in production should have driven prices considerably lower by now but prices still hugging 97$$$$.