T. Belman. I agree with most of this. The US and Russia have actually cut a deal and they each got what they wanted. Israel has been given a free hand to push Iran out of Syria and have already destroyed 70% of their assets there. Saudi Arabia will take a bigger role not only in Sunni Syria but also in Iraq. Though it is 65% Shiite, they don’t want to be dominated by Persian Iran.
Kurds and Arabs have formed a pincer that prevents Iran’s road to the sea and it will soon be apparent that everyone, except Iran, is in favor.
In that strategy, Secretary of Defense Mattis has engineered a local multiplier-effect army of Kurds and Arabs to form a metaphorical “scissors” holding Eastern Syria down the eastern banks of the Euphrates River of Syria, this to effectively “cut” Iran’s attempt at creating a continuous topological “paper” from Iran through Iraq and Syria to the Mediterranean Sea.
The Trump/Mattis’ plan – remember, “scissors cuts paper” – will succeed for many reasons.
Most critically, American denial of Iranian topological hegemony over the Mesopotamian east-west axis is not only in Russia’s best interests, but is also in the Arabs’ best interests.
As for the Russians, Putin must have been up in arms when Iran recently announced it was building a “super-highway” from Iran through Iraq and Syria to the Mediterranean Sea. In the face of Putin’s enabling the Iranian super-victory, the Russian ruler must have felt like saying “Gee, Mom, I won the entire Syria for Iran, and all I got was a lousy t-shirt.” Russia is now coming around to the ugly reality that its strategic “win” in Syria is, in reality, a super-win for Iran and is, at best, nothing for Russia.
It is actually a catastrophic loss for Russia because today Iran is an “ally” and tomorrow the Neo-Safavidic Iran will be the Russian enemy it always was. Unlike Russia’s non-contiguous relationship with the United States, the Christian Russia has fought 5 separate contiguous territorial wars with the Islamic Iran/Persia from the 1600’s until today. Russia’s support for Assad has bought Russia a pyrrhic victory, and assembled for Iran a new Safavidic Empire at Russia’s cost. Therefore, an American Eastern Syrian partition is in the best strategic interests of Russia – Russia’s “rock” has lost to Iran’s “paper.” Continuing the “scissors-paper-rock” analogy, Russia should welcome America’s Syrian partitioning “scissors” which defeats Iran’s “paper.”
One has only to look at Iran’s rape and plunder of Iraq’s oil resources to see that the Iraqi Shiites have less under Iran’s thieving puppet Iraqi government than they had under the Sunni Saddam Hussein. President Trump needs to use his twitter account to expose Iran as robbing both Shiite and Sunni Arabs of their oil and gas resources.
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