DayBreak Poll – Trump Soars as Crooked Clinton Plummets

Oct 31/16

November 1, 2016 | 90 Comments »

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  1. @ bernard ross:
    Besides for the polling averages the statistical forecasting of 538.com has worked very well since the 2008 election. It uses 100s of polls from all sorts of poll producers universities, private pollsters, etc. Do you believe they are all rigged? If yes based on what?

    The link shows the polls and how 538.com ranks them. He weights the polls based on grade with an extra weight on for how recent they were. Polls are a snapshot in time (this is why they change as they are not a fortune cookie). He shows how many races they have called with accuracy plus more.

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

  2. babushka Said:

    KKK’s official newspaper supports Donald Trump for president

    LOL, troll still trying to push the canard that trump is an anti semite…

  3. KKK’s official newspaper supports Donald Trump for president
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/news/post-politics/wp/2016/11/01/the-kkks-official-newspaper-has-endorsed-donald-trump-for-president/

    “America was founded as a White Christian Republic. And as a White Christian Republic it became great.”

    I like America better when the Tribe is secretly controlling the government from behind the scenes. An “Invisible Jewish Republic” has a lovely poetic ring to it.

  4. Bear Klein Said:

    kindly do misstate what I say.

    where did I do that?
    Bear Klein Said:

    I do not advocate any particular poll. What I have said that in the past the averages of the polls has come up correct in Presidential elections.

    It appears to me that you usually post the RCP avg of polls which I understand generally use the same polls. i noted once that those polls used for the average are media connected and that the most of those media were oriented against trump.
    Bear Klein Said:

    You do not have to agree that is fine with me. You believe what you believe and I will believe what I believe based on research.

    true, I beleive that most polls are manipulated and you beleive that they are not. In the end facts are unrelated to “beliefs”. My poll was best because I showed how crooked polls generally change as they get close to the election in order to maintain next years credibility and not appear bought. Notice most polls changing. I also noted that your past quoted polls are now irrelevant as they have been primarily supplanted by this weeks changed polls…. so all that speculation on poll data was a waste of time and unrelated to facts. I would say the zohar predictor might be more or less credible than the polls to date.

  5. stevenl says:
    November 2, 2016 at 5:08 pm
    @ babushka:
    Question 2 & 3?
    4: the Clinton kleptocracy and corruption?

    Exactly, stevenl!

    Finally, someone has the courage to invoke Questions 2, 3, and 4!!

    Well done!!!

  6. There are six states — Ohio, Arizona, Iowa, Florida, North Carolina and Nevada — that appear on at least 80 percent of Trump’s victory maps. It’s very, very difficult to imagine a win for Trump if he doesn’t win all of these: A Trump win without Ohio occurs less than 1 percent of the time in the model simulations, and a win without Nevada only about 2 percent of the time. There are six more states that appear on around half or more of the victory maps, and these are a bit interesting: Minnesota appears more often than Pennsylvania,

    http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/if-trump-wins-heres-how-the-map-might-look/

    New Hampshire is possible plus CD2 of Maine worth one vote as path to victory with the top six also. If he does not win NH then he would need MN, WI or PA to win. It is getting more possible but still far from sure. The Zohar says it is in the bag so who is Nate Silver or I to argue!

  7. Judaism’s greatest mystical text ‘predicts Trump victory,’ Israel GOP head reveals
    Citing an unnamed ultra-Orthodox expert on the seminal ‘Zohar’ work, Marc Zell says Trump campaign staffers in US were ‘amazed’ at the news

    The head of the Republican Party’s branch in Israel told an ultra-Orthodox website that an unnamed but “great” Jewish mystic told him Judaism’s major mystical work predicts an election victory for Donald Trump.

    Get The Times of Israel’s Daily Edition by email
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    “It wasn’t that way in the beginning. Haredim weren’t sure whether to vote at all, even before the decision about whom to vote for,” attorney Marc Zell, head of Republicans Abroad Israel, told Yanky Farber, a columnist for Behadrei Haredim, the website reported.

    “But in the last two weeks, a decision has been made among the rabbis of all sorts of streams in the Haredi public in Israel that Trump is the one who will defend Jerusalem, the Land of Israel and the Jewish people,” Zell was quoted as saying.

    He then told Farber that a mekubal, or sage steeped in the Jewish mystical tradition of Kabbalah, had informed him that according to the tradition’s seminal text, the Zohar, Trump will be the next president of the United States.

    “Two days ago, a great mekubal came to me — I don’t want to say his name — with all his entourage from Bnei Brak, just to give me this message for Donald Trump,” Zell reportedly said. “According to the rabbi, the Zohar says Donald Trump will win next week. The rabbi didn’t ask for anything, but just wanted to send this message.”

    Zell said he “passed this on to the Trump campaign in the US and the Jewish advisers were amazed, in a good way, about this news.”

    He recalled comments made last month by Trump’s Israel adviser, David Friedman, according to which Trump, if elected, would fire any American official who opposed an order to move the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.
    Marc Zell, the head of Republicans Overseas Israel, at an event in Jerusalem, October 26, 2016. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)

    Marc Zell, the head of Republicans Overseas Israel, at an event in Jerusalem, October 26, 2016. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)

    “Everyone says they’ll move the embassy to Jerusalem. American law requires moving the embassy, but all the presidents vetoed it, arguing it would hurt American security.”

    Trump is different, Zell insisted. “That’s Donald Trump. He comes from outside the establishment and doesn’t think like a run-of-the-mill politician. He says what he thinks.”

    The mysterious mystic was not the only Haredi leader cited by Zell as supporting Trump. The head of a major Jerusalem cheder, or religious elementary school, “came to vote today,” Zell said. “He told me he had decided to vote, and explained to his students why he did so — because of the values of the Republican Party, belief in the Creator of the world and family values. I feel we have something in common.”

    The Behadrei Haredim report concluded by quoting a Haredi halachic authority, Rabbi Sraya Deblitzky, who told his followers to “vote for the man. If a woman rules, it brings judgment, death and poverty.

    http://www.timesofisrael.com/mystical-zohar-predicts-trump-victory-israel-gop-head-reveals/

  8. @ bernard ross:
    I know you are immersed in your own perceptions and believes and that is fine of course. I know you want to find fault and disagree it is your little game. However if you want to show any integrity kindly do misstate what I say.

    I do not advocate any particular poll. What I have said that in the past the averages of the polls has come up correct in Presidential elections. You do not have to agree that is fine with me. You believe what you believe and I will believe what I believe based on research.

    What I was pointing out to you and others by citing a specific poll is that some say all the polls are rigged and crooked. Then when that poll or another poll comes up with a result they like, they will cite it and cheer it.

    Example the IBD/TIPP poll was being referenced all over the this site when it showed Trump up. When Trump was down in it, mysteriously it was never shown or spoken of again. It is about even now so maybe it will start being shown again.

  9. @ yamit82:
    I agree with the video… I think he does love america, the people, does have a big heart, makes sense, can solve problems without applying ideology. In some areas I am voting ideologically against myself in voting for trump but I beleive that he will make decisions to help people and that if he finds out that he was mistaken he will shift not because of politics and ideology but because of common sense and humanity.

  10. @ bernard ross:
    About the Bushes and the rest of the so called “republicans”. No better can be expected. Remember that the previous RINO candidate intentionally took a dive to let Hussein win.

  11. yamit82 Said:

    Trump Train enjoy!!!

    nice one… but it might offend babushka and make her demand a safe space
    seriously though, I hope trump if he wins initiates intense investigations of the dems, media and donor links all of whom invested in the illegal, criminal and terroristic sabotage of this election… I am thinking like the old soviet show trials, pinocher, duterte… if not the scum will be back next time… and I am not talking ideology… just the crimes and conspiracies to destroy the nation and the people.

  12. yamit82 Said:

    Listen to first 11 min

    listen more closely to the first minute of hillary… she is saying the same program that donald has been saying.
    the fbi releasing the marc rich case was to draw attention to the fact that the podesta buddy lawyer named Kazdik who got rich off by bribing the clintons is now the same lawyer put in charge of hillary case at DOJ by obama… none of the media calling the release odd are mentioning the Kazdik link… they are all in on the crime.
    I wish that trump would conduct a pinochet type purge on all those crooks… or duterte… he can include this group of nazis also:

    former President George W. Bush, may join his grandfather George H.W. Bush in casting his ballots for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump, according to the Associated Press.

    http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/george-bush-hillary-clinton-230620#ixzz4OrAP95xR

    that the crooked GOP establishment is pouring out of the closet to save clinton and their feeding troughs shows that they are not even afraid of revealing the hoax of the 2 party mirage… but then they have great faith in the ignorance of people.

  13. @ babushka:
    How huge?
    Was the political and economic situations identical?
    Was there similar means for people to communicate with each other?
    On 11/9 the American people will find out how smart or stupid they are! Remember that Bill Clinton offered 9/11 to the American people when he refused twice to kill OBL. Then rich Islamic sheikhs pored $millions in his Foundation!!! The Bush also have had a cozy-corrupted relationship with the Sheikhs and allowed the OBL family to get out of the US untouched! Both parties leadership STINK!
    That is why DT MUST win.

  14. yamit82 Said:

    Steve Pieczenik: Hillary Clinton Takeover of the U.S. – Clinton Coup – Secret American The Revolution? …Wikileaks source not Russians but American Intel AGENTS!!!!!

    yes, I posted a number of pieczeniks yesterday and an interview of his on infowars and babushka called me a “sick pathetic bigot” for so doing… today drudge, ted and you posted the same so you must all be “sick pathetic bigots” too.
    https://www.israpundit.org/archives/63618827/comment-page-1#comment-63356000178412

    https://www.israpundit.org/archives/63618827/comment-page-1#comment-63356000178413

  15. @ Sebastien Zorn:
    Yes, the misunderstanding is yours… babushka called me an anti semite and a “sick pathetic bigot” for posting from breitbart and infowars(pieczenik interviews) so I, I thought humorously, showed how she must be calling ted the same as he has also posted from infowars and breitbart..articles not unfiltered comments…. today ted posted pieczenik who I posted yesterday on infowars interview and his individual videos for which babuskka called me a “sick pathetic bigot”…. Drudge today also posted the same pieczenik video… looks like we are all “sick, pathetic bigots”… needless to say babushka never actually discussed any content in the videos, as usual.

  16. I have watched every rally of Trump for months & watched the huge crowds no matter the state or venue and most on short notice to public at hours not convenient and venues in many cases not easily gotten to

    McGovern had huge crowds.
    Mondale had huge crowds.
    The “huge crowd” idiocy is spewed by political neophytes.

  17. Trump is definitely better in the national polls. There is a lot of polling in North Carolina and Florida two state where Trump MUST WIN or he will not be POTUS.

    He is doing better in those states and looks like he could win them.

    There is not enough polling from the states to really say who will win. It is a race however.

    The Zohar (mysterious Jewish Mystic) says Trump will win.

  18. @ bernard ross:
    With a week to go until Election Day, Republican Donald Trump has seized control of a tight presidential race in North Carolina, according to an exclusive WRAL News poll released Tuesday.

    SurveyUSA polled 659 people statewide Friday through Monday who have already cast their ballots or are likely to vote in the election and found Trump with a 51 to 44 percent lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points.

    http://www.wral.com/news/state/nccapitol/video/16185168/

  19. @ bernard ross:

    I don’t believe the polls none of them… I have watched every rally of Trump for months & watched the huge crowds no matter the state or venue and most on short notice to public at hours not convenient and venues in many cases not easily gotten to….Now every rally is watched in real time live stream on internet and You Tube by tens of thousands more people in addition to on site supporters. people stand in line for hours and hours in the rain etc. Evey poll is weighted down on average by California and NY. so the averages less those two large states must heavily favor Trump. Independents and party crossovers for most part are not counted accurately nor first time voters nor in many cases those using only cell phones. Trump supporters highly motivated worth a point or two. Finally combination between Obamacare wikileaks and Comey disclosure I think will carry most states that are close but still favor HRC in MSM poll averages against Trump.

    Steve Pieczenik: Hillary Clinton Takeover of the U.S. – Clinton Coup – Secret American The Revolution? …Wikileaks source not Russians but American Intel AGENTS!!!!!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ssm_nskYbXI

  20. A report about extra useful idiots responding to the cry for help by the Hussein and Clinton co conspirators.

    Some snippets out of the Hillary hyena pack.

    1. The famed “pass the debate questions in advance to la Hillary”, la signora Brazil DNC, demands that the FBI inform the voters about a purported connection, as far as I can ascertain, a business connection between Russian and related countries contacts and some people in the Trump entourage.
    Talk about desperation…
    Is that the one that even CNN fired?
    The thieving, pillaging creeps Billy and Hillary waived in the Russians and Chinese into US critical resources and to Sandia Labs or thereabouts. My memory OK?

    2. The Hillarites assembled an aggregate of finance experts… to warn the voters about Trump plans that will harm the economy.
    Sure they know… They, the shill for Clinton ensemble were the ones that led the economies into meltdown, defaults and perennial failure. Bush must take credit as well.
    At any rate…
    Maybe the Hillarites can ‘splain the 20 trillion dollar debt which the said economists waived in.

  21. @ bernard ross:
    I think this is a misunderstanding. Not filtering comments doesn’t make a site responsible for them. I know I have seen anti-semitic posts on Jewish sites, I forget which, exactly, possibly Jerusalem Post, Times of Israel, Algemeiner. All good sites. We need information. Pls. We should not throw out the baby with the bath water.

  22. babushka Said:

    First, Breitbart.
    Then, Infowars.
    What is next, ross?
    The Protocols Of The Elders Of Zion?
    And do not cravenly hide behind Ted.
    Belman is not posting a series of links to anti-Semites

    apparently you were away for months and never noticed his infowars posts… he also posts breitbart… I dont think he will take kindly to your calling him a “sick pathetic bigot” for posting from those sites.

    I notice that you never actually discuss the subject posted, which is much more interesting than your trivial games…… perhaps you are hiding your ignorance or do you enjoy trivial pursuits?

  23. yamit82 Said:

    I still predict a Trump Landslide if he don’t blow it in final week.

    perhaps, but I agree with Bear assessment that it is the electoral college that decides and overall polls distract from the real issue: the individual state polls and electoral breakdowns. Thats why there is so much talk about the one district in Maine.
    I would have expected an even greater reaction to the clinton crimes, there are so many… so I wonder really what will determine the outcome.

  24. Jake Said:

    Hillary still has this up her sleeve

    yes, I posted that same “fraction magic” plus another video on another page on israpundit yesterday. For all we know this is what could already be in play totally, how would we know? One of the anlyses I have read on these “controlled” elections of the future is that they will always generally be close… I assume for drama and effect.

  25. @ bernard ross:

    MSM discounting the effect of social media and electronic digital communications on this election. Every Trump rally covered by 6-10 live streaming sites reaching tens of thousands along with live audience at site…. Ten -twenty K showed up at Wisconsin rally with 1 day notification from a single tweet during the day when people work or at school. I don’t think any or most polls are picking up most of these supporters. I still predict a Trump Landslide if he don’t blow it in final week.

  26. First, Breitbart.
    Then, Infowars.
    What is next, ross?
    The Protocols Of The Elders Of Zion?
    And do not cravenly hide behind Ted.
    Belman is not posting a series of links to anti-Semites.
    That is your demented game.
    Now heed Jeff Solomon and ignore me.

  27. Bear Klein Said:

    Hostage Crisis was also a major factor in the vote besides the debate

    I do not agree that the last debate explained the surge.. it was the only thing the crooked pollsters could grab to explain their folly. I posted before the support for my position that the debate was NOT a factor.
    Bear Klein Said:

    By the way the ABC/Washington Post poll which showed Trump behind 12 and has migrated to him up 1

    this is exactly what I have been saying for weeks to you.. that they were fake.. and that in order to maintain credibility they would migrate the numbers closer to reality towards the end. In that way they can pretend to some accuracy next year and command larger bribes.

    Bear Klein Said:

    ABC/Washington Post poll which showed Trump behind 12 and has migrated to him up 1 is still using the same formula of I believe 10% more Dems. So if they are wrong and it is only around 5% like most pollsters believe +/-1 he would be up around 5 points.

    other than what they tell you, we have no idea what formula and other factors they use. All they need do is migrate their percentages closer to reality as the election arrives to maintain credibility for next year. I would expect that some would maintain fake numbers throught the election if the bribes are big enough. Bear Klein Said:

    If he is up one are they still crooked up just mistaken perhaps. This was rhetorical I know your answer ahead of time it is too predictable.

    Exactly what I predicted to you about the poll figures is what is happening now, they are generally migrating now closer to reality.

    The main thing for you to realize is that not one single poll of the past which you have quoted is likely true today, according to your poll sources.

  28. babushka Said:

    You post Alex Jones on a Jewish website, you sick pathetic bigot.

    you must be referring to Ted Belman who has also published alex jones. I assume that you never watched what was posted as you did not speak to the subject matter I posted. Calling names is of no interest to me, if you cant speak to the subject then dont waste my time. So far your posting MO reflects the dem and the estab gop agenda of deflecting attention from the actual subject under discussion.
    I dont think that Ted will be happy with your accusation that he “is a sick pathetic bigot” for posting from the Alex Jones website.