Poll Gives Labor 3 Mandate Edge, Yesh Atid and Kulanu Backing

Labor 24, Likud 21 as Yesh Atid surges to 14. Majority of Yesh Atid and Kulanu voters want Herzog as prime minister.

Arutz Sheva

A poll on the Knesset Channel a week ahead of March 17 elections gives the Labor and Hatnua “Zionist Camp” of Yitzhak Herzog and Tzipi Livni an edge over Likud, with Labor coming in at 24 mandates and Likud at 21.

Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid continues its comeback to 14 seats, still a far cry from its current 19, and the joint Arab list comes in next at 13 mandates. Jewish Home at 12 seats continues to come in at fifth, a trend in recent weeks with intermittent results at fourth place.

Moshe Kahlon’s Kulanu comes in next at nine, followed by Shas at seven, United Torah Judaism at six, and Yisrael Beytenu and Meretz getting five seats each. Eli Yishai’s Yachad – Ha’am Itanu joint list with Otzma Yehudit continues to pass the threshold with four seats.

The poll, which was conducted for the channel by Panels Politics, shows that 79% of Yesh Atid voters want their party to recommend Herzog for prime minister, while only 14% prefer Likud chairman Binyamin Netanyahu. Netanyahu brought the snap elections by kicking Lapid and Livni out of his coalition for what he termed a “putsch” attempt.

Likewise the poll found 47% of Kulanu supporters want Kahlon to recommend that Herzog form a coalition government, while 33% back Netanyahu and 20% are undecided.

Given the backing of the “centrist” parties of Yesh Atid and Kulanu, Labor would have 47 seats on its way to trying to reach a 61 seat majority needed in forming a coalition. However, last Friday Kahlon clarified that he would not join a coalition with parties that are “not nationalist,” indicating the Arab party and complicating Labor’s chances of coalition building.

It has been assessed that Netanyahu would have a greater likelihood in forming a coalition, and apparently would be given first crack in trying to do so.

A full 1,025 respondents were included in the wide survey, with a 3% margin of error.

March 10, 2015 | 12 Comments »

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12 Comments / 12 Comments

  1. @ Bear Klein:

    BK:
    ————————————————————————————
    Who is more worthy between these two candidates to be Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yitzchak Herzog?

    50% Netanyahu, 34% Herzog, 16% Don’t know
    ——————————————————————————————————————–

    That single question and voter responses tells me more or less everything I need to know.

    Arnold Harris
    Mount Horeb WI

  2. NormanF Said:

    @ Bear Klein:

    What’s interesting is voter intensity on the Right appears to be higher than on the Left. Netanyahu’s bid for a fourth term is going to rest on getting his voters out to the polls next week. The side can do that will win the election.

    In other words, more likely to vote. That has been an issue in the last two American presidential elections. Obama has had a much more effective ground operation and has gotten his people out to vote–Romney’s people stayed home.

    Interesting that the Obama functionary that was sent to Tel Aviv to defeat Netanyahu was the ground game director. Watch out, this guy knows his stuff.

  3. SHmuel HaLevi 2 Said:

    @ BethesdaDog:
    It means that millions of dollars from Hussein Obama, (CIA, State Department, etc) as well as Soros, Abram and others are used to fabricate “polls” serving to prostitute reality, buying votes, blackmail, lie, sabotage and worse. Records show that huge sums have been pumped into Israel to destroy our state and people from within. Livni and the Hertzog, both criminals against the Jewish people and common law are the poster front for the above.
    Those “polls” are contrived and cause intentionally immense harm. Then again causing harm, death, mayhem against Jews has been the lei motif of all that has transpired since Oslo.

    I understand that part. I’m well aware that Obama and his people have been trying to subvert a foreign government and get Netanyahu’s oponents elected. What I don’t understand is this business with “phases” and the “president’s residence.” I think Netanyahu will ultimately put together a coalition and will continue to head the government. I hope he does. I no longer trust the left…and this comes from someone who had close ties to Labor many years ago and was hosted by the Labor Party and the Histadrut on his first (and only) trip to Israel 40 years ago. I don’t trust the current version of the left. How can you make peace with terrorists? So, I’m for the Right.

    Amazing the subversion of the Israeli electoral process by the American left.

  4. @ BethesdaDog:
    It means that millions of dollars from Hussein Obama, (CIA, State Department, etc) as well as Soros, Abram and others are used to fabricate “polls” serving to prostitute reality, buying votes, blackmail, lie, sabotage and worse. Records show that huge sums have been pumped into Israel to destroy our state and people from within. Livni and the Hertzog, both criminals against the Jewish people and common law are the poster front for the above.
    Those “polls” are contrived and cause intentionally immense harm. Then again causing harm, death, mayhem against Jews has been the lei motif of all that has transpired since Oslo.

  5. @ Bear Klein:

    What’s interesting is voter intensity on the Right appears to be higher than on the Left. Netanyahu’s bid for a fourth term is going to rest on getting his voters out to the polls next week. The side can do that will win the election.

  6. With all the foreign backing Zionist Union has, it can barely move the needle. Gee, wonder why?

    Buzi and Livni will probably underperform relative to the polls. This is not good news for them at all.

    And keep in mind Israel’s media is overwhelmingly leftist.

  7. Figure that one.
    The idiotic charade of “pollsters” trots on. Yesterday afternoon a credible,……poll gave the Likud 26.
    12 hours later “mahhhapechcgcgcgah”! (phonetic Israeli slang Hebrew for “revolution”…)
    🙂 LOL Now Obama leads. Simply out of this world. As far as I know, nothing has changed my friends.
    Our poll shows not change at all.

  8. The bottom part of this poll is interesting as ZU voters are not as sure they will vote them as Likud voters. Worth reading carefully.

    How sure are you that you will vote for the party you selected?

    UTJ 83% Certain, 8% Probably, 8% Unsure
    Likud 72% Certain, 25% Probably, 3% Unsure
    The Joint (Arab) List 71% Certain, 21% Probably, 8% Unsure
    Bayit Yehudi 64% Certain, 28% Probably, 8% Unsure
    Shas 64% Certain, 25% Probably, 11% Unsure
    Yachad 63% Certain, 33% Probably, 5% Unsure
    Zionist Union 61% Certain, 35% Probably, 5% Unsure
    Meretz 59% Certain, 32% Probably, 10% Unsure
    Yesh Atid 57% Certain, 33% Probably, 10% Unsure
    Yisrael Beitenu 48% Certain, 45% Probably, 9% Unsure
    Kulanu 31% Certain, 54% Probably, 16% Unsure

    Average 61% Certain, 31% Probably, 8% Unsure

    Among voters that are still undecided on their vote, who are you leaning towards if not the party you selected?

    Likud voters- Bayit Yehudi 13%, Kulanu 13%
    Yesh Atid voters – Zionist Union 38%, Kulanu 12%
    Zionist Union voters – Yesh Atid 47%, Merertz 20%
    Bayit Yehudi voters – Likud 33%, Kulanu 26%
    Kulanu voters – Bayit Yehudi 28%, Yesh Atid 25%
    Yachad voters – Bayit Yehudi 38%, Shas 38%
    Yisrael Beitenu voters – Bayit Yehudi 33%
    Shas voters – 30% Kulanu
    Meretz voters – Zionist Union 88%

    Who is more worthy between these two candidates to be Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yitzchak Herzog?

    50% Netanyahu, 34% Herzog, 16% Don’t know

    Who do you want your party leader to endorse at the President’s Residence (Phase 2)?

    Yachad voters – 100% Netanyahu, 0% Herzog, 0% Don’t Care
    Yisrael Beitenu voters – 100% Netanyahu, 0% Herzog, 0% Don’t Care
    Bayit Yehudi voters – 96% Netanyahu, 4% Don’t care, 0% Herzog
    UTJ voters – 71% Netanyahu, 14% Herzog, 14% Don’t Care
    Shas voters – 67% Netanyahu, 20% Herzog, 13% Don’t Care
    Meretz voters – 100% Herzog, 0% Netanyahu, 0% Don’t Care
    Yesh Atid voters – 79% Herzog, 14% Netanyahu, 7% Don”t care
    The Joint (Arab) List voters – 50% Herzog, 50% Don’t Care, 0% Netanyahu
    Kulanu voters – 47% Herzog, 33% Netanyahu, 20% Don’t Care

    How do you define yourself politcally? (from left to right)

    Meretz voters – 76% Left, 18% Center-Left, 5% Center, 0% Center-Right, 0% Right
    Zionist Union voters – 18% Left, 47% Center-Left, 25% Center, 7% Center-Right, 3% Right
    Kulanu voters – 2% Left, 2% Center-Left, 29% Center, 39% Center-Right, 29% Right
    Yesh Atid voters – 1% Left, 19% Center-Left, 39% Center, 36% Center-Right, 6% Right
    Shas voters – 0% Left, 8% Center-Left, 23% Center, 19% Center-Right, 50% Right
    UTJ voters – 0% Left, 4% Center-Left, 17% Center, 46% Center-Right, 33% Right
    Likud voters – 0% Left, 1% Center-Left, 5% Center, 27% Center-Right, 67% Right
    Yisrael Beitenu voters – 0% Left, 0% Center-Left, 9% Center, 27% Center-Right, 64% Right
    Bayit Yehudi voters – 0% Left, 0% Center-Left, 2% Center, 18% Center-Right, 80% Right
    Yachad voters – 0% Left, 0% Center-Left, 0% Center, 30% Center-Right, 71% Right

    Undecided voters – 5% Left, 14% Center-Left, 25% Center, 33% Center-Right, 24% Right

    Total – 8% Left, 15% Center-Left, 18% Center, 24% Center-Right, 35% Right