Palestinian state – consistent with US interests?

Amb (ret.) Yoram Ettinger, “Second Thought: a US-Israel Initiative”  November 14, 2023,

The difference between the US’ and the Arab approach

*President Joe Biden’s and Secretary of State Tony Blinken’s enthusiasm for a Palestinian state reflects the traditional worldview of the State Department, which has been systematically wrong on key Middle East issues.

*Upon learning of the emerging 1993 Oslo Accord, Jordan’s King Hussein told the Head of Israel’s Mossad, Shabtai Shavit: “Establishing a Palestinian state in the West Bank would be tantamount to death-sentencing the [pro-US] Hashemite regime.” Jordan’s top military command reiterated King Hussein’s warning to their Israeli colleagues during the October 1994 Israel-Jordan peace treaty ceremony.

*During the current Israel war against Hamas’ Islamic terrorism – just like all previous Israeli wars against Palestinian terrorism – no Arab country flexed its military and financial muscles on behalf of the Palestinians.

*Moreover, the Arab attitude toward the Palestinians was documented by the November 11, 2023, Saudi-hosted joint summit of the Arab League and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation. The pro-US Muslim countries (led by Saudi Arabia and the six Arab countries, which concluded peace treaties with Israel) torpedoed a Palestinian-Iranian resolution, which aimed to suspend diplomatic, economic, touristic and military ties with Israel.

*Unlike US policy makers, pro-Arab leaders approach Palestinians with an embracing talk, but with an indifferent-to-negative walk, refraining from taking tangible steps toward the establishment of a Palestinian state.

*While US policy makers extend a red-carpet reception to Palestinian officials, pro-US Arab leaders welcome them with a shabby-doormat.

Why don’t pro-US Arabs share the State Department’s eagerness for a Palestinian state?

*Contrary to US policy makers, pro-US Arab leaders base their attitude toward the Palestinians on the rogue Palestinian intra-Arab track record – not on a speculative future track record – which demonstrates that the Palestinians bite the hands that feed them.

<In the early 1950s, the Palestinian leadership collaborated with the Muslim Brotherhood, terrorizing Egypt, their host country.
<In the mid-1960s, the Palestinian leadership terrorized Syria, their host country.
<In 1968-70, the Palestinian leadership triggered a civil war in Jordan, attempting to topple their host Hashemite regime.
<In 1970-82, the Palestinian leadership instigated a series of civil wars in Lebanon, aiming to take over their host country.
<In 1990, the Palestinian leadership collaborated with Saddam Hussein’s invasion and plunder of Kuwait, which was for decades the most generous Arab host of 400,000 Palestinians.

*Arab reservations about the Palestinians are reinforced by the systematic Palestinian collaboration with anti-US radical entities, such as Nazi Germany (Mein Kampf is still a best seller in the Palestinian Authority), the Soviet Bloc, Iran’s Ayatollahs, Saddam Hussein, Muslim Brotherhood terrorists, North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba and terror organizations in the Middle East, Africa, Europe and Latin America.

*According to the late Dr. Albert Ellis, who was a world renowned psychologist: “The best predictor of future behavior is past behavior.”

*Pro-US Arab leaders consider the Palestinians as a role model of subversion, terror, ingratitude and treachery, viewing the proposed Palestinian state as a clear and present threat to regional stability and their own regime.

*Would US policy makers buy a used car from anyone with such a rogue track record?!

*Arab leaders are aware of the ripple effects of the proposed Palestinian state west of the Jordan River:

>Toppling the pro-US Hashemite regime east of the Jordan River;
>Transforming Jordan into an uncontrollable state, an epicenter of anti-US regional and global Islamic terrorism in the vein of Libya, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen, which would be leveraged by Iran’s Ayatollahs, the Muslim Brotherhood, and possibly ISIS, intensifying the threat to the neighboring Saudi Arabia;
>A domino scenario into the Arabian Peninsula, threatening every pro-US, oil-producing Arab country, which would adversely impact global trade and the supply/price of oil (Persian Gulf oil – 48% of proven oil reserves);
>A bonanza for Iran’s Ayatollahs, the Muslim Brotherhood, Russia and China and a severe setback to the US economy, homeland and national security.

*Unlike US policy makers, Arab leaders are aware that Palestinian terrorism is not driven by despair, but by a fanatic vision, whose attainment is preconditioned upon the uprooting of the Jewish state (“Western Palestine”) and the Hashemite regime (“Eastern Palestine”).

*Contrary to US policy makers – who believe that an enhanced standard of living, an extended life expectancy and peaceful coexistence transcend ideology – Arab leaders are aware of the dominant role played by historic, religious, ethnic and sometimes apocalyptic vision/aspiration in the conduct of radical Middle East entities, such as Iran’s Ayatollahs, Hezbollah, the Muslim Brotherhood, Hamas and the Palestinian Authority, as evidenced by their school curriculum and daily conduct.

*Contrary to the State Department, which assumes that the proposed Palestinian state would advance the cause of peace, Arab leaders do not subordinate reality to wishful-thinking. They do not sacrifice their interests on the altar of Palestinian interests. They are convinced that a Palestinian state would pose a lethal threat to their own regimes and to the US economy, homeland and national security.

*The proposed Palestinian state, on the one hand, and US values and national security interests, on the other hand, constitute a classic oxymoron.

Yoram will be available for speaking engagements in the US in February 2024: The impact of Israel-Hamas war on the peace process and US-Israel relations; Israel’s contributions to the US economy & defense outweigh US foreign aid to Israel; 400-year-old roots of the US-Israel nexus; Myth of Arab demographic time bomb; Iran – negotiation or confrontation? President Biden’s Middle East policy; US pressure – testing US realism and Israeli leadership; Palestinian state’s impact on US interests; Arab talk vs. Arab walk on Palestinians; Is the Palestinian issue the crux of the Arab-Israeli conflict and a core cause of regional turbulence? Islamic terrorists bite the hands that feed them; Middle East reality vs. Western conventional wisdom, etc.
November 14, 2023 | 4 Comments »

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  1. All Palestinian organizations have been involved in terrorism and all want Israel destroyed and have no interest in peace with Israel. This is viewpoint of the vast majority of Palestinians. So any version of Oslo and a two state solution is not a formula for peace.

    Israel needs to keep routing out terrorists out of all locations where they exist without geographical boundary but focusing on Gaza, Judea, Samaria and parts of Jerusalem.

  2. Tis analysis is a full blown slap in the face of the so-called ” Jordan Option ” so dear to Ted Belman and Mudar Zahran.
    Can you Mr Belman please make some clarifications after publishing this ” fair warning ” ?
    One who read this analysis must conclude that the PLO-Hamas and their follwers must be expelled to Syria and not to Jordan .

  3. https://freebeacon.com/national-security/biden-mulls-approval-of-fresh-10-billion-payment-to-iran/

    The Obama Biden approach is not realistic, not rational, and not based on geostrategic considerations. It is purely ideological. Obama is an Islamist first. His ideology is also is anti-American. He has worked tirelessly to normalize Jew hatred.

    Giving billions more to Iran says it all: just when Israel is in a fight for survival, giving MORE money to Iran tells the world where Biden/Obama stand: and it empowers Iran to directly attack Israel. It makes Iran think that if they attack Israel, the US will step aside and let them.

    Just as sanctions relief and a $6 billion ransom for prisoners empowered Iran to assist Hamas in attacking Israel on October 7th, new billions to Iran will empower Iran to do more to destroy Israel.

    This is Obama/Biden pouring kerosene on a barely controlled fire.