President Rivlin now has 3 days to decide whether to tap Lapid or Bennett with forming coalition, or pass mandate to Knesset; Lapid seen likely to be given the task
By TOI STAFF 5 May 2021, 12:00 am
Yamina party leader Naftali Bennett speaks during a faction meeting at the Knesset, on May 3, 2021. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s deadline to form a government expired at midnight Tuesday-Wednesday with the Likud leader unable to cobble together a coalition, possibly drawing the country closer to the end of over 12 straight years of being ruled by the Likud leader.
However, the rival bloc of parties could also fail to muster a 61-strong majority, and Netanyahu continues as transitional prime minister for the time being.
The Likud said Netanyahu had formally returned the government-forming mandate to President Reuven Rivlin, who now has three days to decide how best to proceed. In a statement, the party blamed Yamina’s Naftali Bennett for blocking Netanyahu’s route to a majority. “Because of Bennett’s refusal to commit to a right-wing government, a move that would definitely have led to the establishment of a government with additional MKs joining, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu returned the mandate to the president,” Likud said in a statement as the midnight deadline passed.
The president can now give the mandate to another MK, such as Yesh Atid party chairman Lapid or possibly Bennett. He could also send the mandate to the Knesset, which would have 21 days to find a candidate backed by 61 or more of the 120 MKs; if that failed, Israel would automatically head to its fifth election since April 2019.
Hebrew media reports citing senior political sources have speculated that Lapid will be given the next opportunity to form a government, as he had the second most recommendations after Netanyahu when Rivlin consulted with party representatives. The Likud leader was given the first opportunity to cobble together a coalition on April 6, after receiving 52 recommendations versus Lapid’s 45.
However, Bennett has been in talks with party leaders, including Netanyahu, aimed at convincing them to update their recommendations to back him instead. Yamina hopes to receive the backing of Likud, Religious Zionism and the ultra-Orthodox United Torah Judaism and Shas parties. This would give Bennett 59 recommendations, surpassing Lapid.
Rivlin is not guaranteed to grant the Yamina chair the mandate in such a scenario, as the right-wing bloc already had a chance to form a government and failed to do so. If, however, Bennett manages to convince the Islamist Ra’am party to back him as well, he would then have 63 recommendations and Rivlin would likely have no choice but to hand him the mandate.
Netanyahu’s Likud party was therefore reportedly working Tuesday to convince various parties to back Bennett to be tasked with forming a government, a prospect that would keep alive Netanyahu’s hopes of a rotation deal with the Yamina leader.
While Bennett could, in theory, gain more recommendations than Lapid, Rivlin is reportedly considering skipping another set of consultations with the parties, as is his right, and making a decision primarily based on the first round.
Channel 12 news on Tuesday quoted unnamed senior officials, who were said to have recently spoken with Rivlin, saying that the president will therefore not task Bennett with forming a government.
According to the network, Rivlin is expected to quickly decide what to do when Netanyahu’s mandate to form a government expires at midnight, possibly as soon as Wednesday.
President Reuven Rivlin meets with the Yesh Atid party at the President’s Residence in Jerusalem, April 5, 2021. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)
Instead of direct consultations with party leaders, the president’s chief of staff is expected to make a round of calls to party representatives, the report said.
Bennett has urged the establishment of a right-wing government and has said that he will back a Netanyahu-led government on condition that it has a majority in the Knesset; otherwise, he has said he will back a unity government with the so-called “change bloc” that has vowed to oust the prime minister.
Lapid has spent the past several weeks galvanizing the support of the change bloc — which consists of Yesh Atid, Blue and White, Yisrael Beytenu, New Hope, Labor and Meretz — but has also been in talks with additional parties including Yamina, Ra’am and the Joint List whose support he’ll need to swear in a government.
While Lapid’s party won 17 seats in the March election, he has said he is prepared to allow Bennett to serve first as premier in a rotational agreement, despite Yamina only having won seven seats.
Speaking at his Yesh Atid party’s faction meeting on Monday, Lapid said that he was unwilling to relinquish the presidential mandate to Bennett and expected to be tasked with forming a government by Rivlin.
Yesh Atid leader Yair Lapid speaks at a weekly faction meeting in the Knesset on May 5, 2021 (Courtesy)
“I will not give up the mandate to Bennett. I see the tricks that are being done and I hope the president doesn’t enable it,” Lapid said, apparently referring to Netanyahu’s offer to Bennett of a premiership rotation deal. “We will go with Bennett and try to form a government.”
At the same time, Lapid confirmed he was still willing to let Bennett be first in a premiership rotation deal between the two.
“The foundations are ready. We can form a government. In one more day, if nothing surprising happens, we will be faced with two options: an Israeli national unity government, solid, decent and hard-working. Or fifth elections,” he said.
@ Reader:
Yes, it could. It would depend on where Yamina’s spread of the support would go. It is a pretty complicated mathematical model to think this alone would change – usually there are ripple effects to such a wild change in support of even just one player – put another way, it would likely create multiple alterations from the dramatic implosion of even just one player. But if the claims of 24% were extrapolated into being Yamina’s remaining support at the polls, they would not qualify with only ~1.5% of the vote from the 6.2% they received in this last election. If this were the only change, even if Bennett’s votes went to Likud, for instance, his support would be divided among all other qualifying parties which would help the left and dwindle support from the Right. But if the vacuum created by Yamina’s implosion created a new party, say with the leadership of Amichai Chikli who has bolted from Yamina, it could be enough to make any losses to the right limited. Additionally, if voter concentrations changed on the Left, this could also have a hand in reducing or increasing a loss of the Yamina party.
It is more than a little disquieting to contemplate the myriad of possible consequences to Bennett’s actions here not least of which is if he is successful in forming a stable Left-wing unity gov’t. But out-of-the-box-thinking often carries with it radical consequences – consequences that are anticipated and unanticipated. I suspect that the claim of 24% support will not hold should we return to elections. But it is a really bad outlook for Bennett and Shaked in the perceived lack of public support of this venture. Given Shaked’s leaked diatribe from a couple of days ago, this dramatic change in their support was not unknown to them – how could it be. Unfortunately though, this knowledge will make their dedication in this venture more determined while, simultaneously, emboldening Lapid with both the mandate to form a gov’t and knowledge that Bennett could face annihilation at the polls. Surprises such as these are often the reward of employing such unconventional stratagem as have brought us to this possible calamity.
@ Sebastien Zorn:
If Yamina disappears, won’t it help create a left-wing coalition?
@ Reader:
Yes. I said that but it went into moderation. Once again.
@ peloni1986:
Poll: Only 24% of Naftali Bennett’s Voters Support Joining Left-wing Government
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2021/05/05/poll-only-24-of-naftali-bennett-voters-support-left-wing-government/
President Reuven Rivlin has tasked the opposition, led by Yesh Atid leader Yair Lapid, with a chance to form an alternative government.
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2021/05/05/anti-netanyahu-bloc-receives-mandate-to-form-a-government/
I think that not only will there be a fifth election, but Yamina won’t get enough votes to cross threshold and will disappear. Bennet’s ambition abetted by Shaked’s blind party loyalty has caused him to throw principles out the window in order to become Prime MInister now. Voters won’t forget.
Rivlin has already handed the mandate to Lapid.
@ peloni1986:
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2021/05/05/poll-only-24-of-naftali-bennett-voters-support-left-wing-government/
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2021/05/05/anti-netanyahu-bloc-receives-mandate-to-form-a-government/
I think that not only will there be a fifth election, but Yamina won’t get enough votes to cross threshold and will disappear. Bennet’s ambition abetted by Shaked’s blind party loyalty has caused him to throw principles out the window in order to become Prime MInister now. Voters won’t forget.
@ Sebastien Zorn:
Excellent news!….let’s hope he has more company before long, but that is probably too much to expect.
https://www.jpost.com/israel-elections/yamina-mk-wont-back-bennett-lapid-unity-government-667254