MEZMERIZING
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Menu There is no diplomatic solutionIsrael should declare three nos;
no to nuclear Iran, no to two-state solution, no to bi-national state
no to nuclear Iran, no to two-state solution, no to bi-national state
@ Sebastien Zorn:
I agree, Sebastien. The enemies of the people (and therefore of the President they voted in) are viscious monsters. Megyn turned me off at that same part of the interview. I think she’s out of her field, opining on politics.
Her criticisms in the beginning of the Trump/Harris debate were off base. McCain and Romney showed that being gentlemen was a losing proposition. Trump has won on the formula, “No more mister nice guy.” He said to Ben Carson in 2016 that Carson was too nice to be president and he was right. Out-bullying the bullies is a winning formula, clearly.
Biden obviously arouses no enthusiasm at all. He makes few public appearances, and on the rare occasions when he does, no one shows up. He is a complete cipher to most voters, a name and nothing more.
But that doesn’t necessarily mean he won’t win. The only people who vote for him will be people who are voting for the Democratic Party, and who check his name simply because it is on the Democrat line on their ballot. But that might amount to a lot of people.
Those who vote for Biden will have one of three motivations: 1) they hate Trump, 2) they favor Democratic policies, in many cases because it means more government “entitlements” and “government assistance” paid to them (Romney pointed this out in the 2012 campaign), or 3) they have been hard hit hard by the depression, blame the “ins” for it whoever they are, and hope that a change of leadership, any change, might help speed up a recovery.
Of course the weakness in the Democrats’ position is that their candidate won’t be firing up anyone to vote for him or other Democrats.
There are two groups of voters who might swing it to Trump. One group are conservatives, mainly older, who don’t like talking to strangers on the phone, and who therefore either hang up when the caller mentions “poll” or doesn’t bother to pick up the phone at all. This kind of person tends to assume that when someone he doesn’t know calls him, it is either some sort of scam, or someone trying to compile a “hit list” of Trump supporters to “punish.” Some even think pollsters are the FBI or the IRS in disguise, trying to “get” something on them.I don’t know if any of the pollsters keep records of how many people refuse to answer their calls, but they never publish this information.
The second group of voters who may “deliver” the election to Trump are the “undermotivated” voter. These are people whose party affiliation is with the Democrats, and who favor Democratic policies to the extent that they think about politics at all, but who have very little interest in politics. This group of people often neglect to vote even when registered. They are totally preoccupied with their practical needs of of themselves and their families. In these extremely hard times, their preoccupation with these matters may be even more than usual, and they may watch news programs even less than usual. This group of people may watch TV sitcoms, quizz shows, detective stories or sports events, but they rarely turn on the news channels. When asked by the pollster who they plan to vote for, they may say Biden, if they can remember his name, or the pollster reminds him of it. But they may throw out a ballot if it arrives in the mail without bothering to open it or even read the envelope, because they assume it is just another piece of junk mail, with which they are bombareded every day. As for November 3, it is a work day, when this kind of voter will be preoccupied with his work duties. After leaving work, all he or she has in mind is dinner with his/her family, and it may totally escape his /her mind that this is election day. Houswives who have a whole host of duties taking care of their kids , prepating meals and cleaning their houses are also part of this “apolitical” group who won’t vote this election.
These two groups, the suspicious, privacy-loving Trump voter and the bored, unvotivated occasional Democrat voter, are the only people who can swing this to Trump.