Most Iraeli experts believe that if Abdullah falls, the MB takes over. But Mudar Zahran and the New Jordan Party believe otherwise. I asked them about this and they replied,
for Muslim brotherhood in Jordan they are no influence on Jordanian society and they are not popular in Jordan, due to the reason that the Muslim Brotherhood have very bad reputation and the people in Jordan don’t respect their sentiment. People in Jordan are more educated than Egypt and as far as I know they will be vanish with the King Abdullah II toppling. King Abdullah II support most of the Muslim Brotherhood and this is known for long time.
See Zahran’s article Jordan’s King and the Muslim Brotherhood
According to the NJP, the Palestinians will not vote for the MB. But at the moment they are not properly enfranchized. Ted Belman
MENAFN – Jordan Times – 07/04/2012
(MENAFN – Jordan Times) Islamists would embrace the Moroccan model in their future participation in government, provided that a short list of conditions is met.
Jamil Abu Baker, spokesperson for the Muslim Brotherhood, on Thursday said that members of the Brotherhood, along with its political arm the Islamic Action Front (IAF), wish to copy the Moroccan experiment, in which Islamist Party leaders formed the government after winning a majority of parliamentary seats.
However, he said that the situation in Jordan is more complicated, given the issue of the 1994 Peace Treaty with Israel, which, according to Abu Baker, will remain a thorny issue in any future formula of the Islamists’ participation in the executive authority.
On a different note, Abu Baker acknowledged that the Islamists, who constitute the largest opposition group, have been in dialogue with different parties, including Western diplomats, over the reform process under way in Jordan.
He said that members of the Brotherhood and senior IAF officials – including Rheil Gharaibeh, head of the movement’s political department, Faraj Shalhoub, member of the Brotherhood’s shura council, and Zaki Bani Rsheid, IAF politburo chief — met last month with British and Western diplomats.
Bani Rsheid confirmed the meeting with British embassy staff in Amman.
Issues that were discussed during the meeting included the democratic process, the youth and women’s roles, according to Bani Rsheid.
But he insisted that the issue of the Islamists participating in future governments was not brought up, saying: “This is an internal topic and should not be on the table when talking to foreign countries.”
British embassy officials were unavailable to comment on the talks, despite repeated attempts by The Jordan Times to contact them.
In an IAF shura council session held in January, potential measures to be taken should the party win a parliamentary majority were discussed. In the meeting, party leaders focused on the steps necessary to make the transition from an “opposition movement” to a governing party.
In a statement issued on Thursday, March 5, the IAF renewed its insistence on the closed proportional list electoral system, in which 50 per cent of seats are designated at the national level.
The group also wants constitutional changes that would restrict the King’s ability to dissolve Parliament, and demand that the government halt arrests of activists.
In addition, the Islamists expect the government to return the multimillion Islamic Charity Centre Society to their dominion, after taking over its administration in 2007. The case is being seen by the judiciary.-
I agree with Yamit.
There is nothing to be gained by Israel helping to replace the Jordanian Monarchy and a lot to lose. I strongly urge Belman to stay out of things he does not understand. Adding another belligerent entity on our long eastern flank is not in our near term interest.
Our interest does lie in the destruction of the Pali myth that they are a distinct people and entitled to a national sovereignty, The population should be scattered to as many places on the globe that will have them but not to Jordan.
Shell Oil is developing Jordan’s extensive oil shale deposits and I think your friends smell the money and want it for themselves. They know they are out in the cold with the little King in power.
Oil shale is Jordan’s most extensive domestic fossil-fuel source throughout the 21st cen- tury and beyond.
Jordan ranks third in the world of oil shale reserves. The identified reserves are more than 70 billion metric tones.