technopeasant • 2 hours ago
All tied up:
Rasmussen daily tracking poll:
Trump: 42% (+1)
Clinton: 42% (0)
Johnson: 7% (0)
Stein: 1% (-1)
Other: 3% (0)
Und: 6%
Clinton is supported by 80% of Dems; Trump by 79% of GOP members. This is what PPD is showing as well.
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technopeasant • 8 hours ago
LA Times daily tracking poll (Oct 19):
Trump: 44.1% (-0.8)
Clinton: 43.9% (+0.6)
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DT+ 0.2 (was DT+ 1.6 yesterday)
The one logical hope I have for a Trump victory is that many people will not report that are voting for Trump. The issue since they are not reporting is how many are they?
If some of the DEMs do not show up (especially Bernie people) in combination with under reporting then maybe maybe Trump can win. The forecasters give him a 10 to 15% chance to win and this is the scenario it would take.
I think it’s really up to the un-decided and the un-decided on whether to vote. When I forward this information to liberals, they don’t believe it, even when they read them. People who get all of their information from the New York Times and NPR, and who only seem to care about protecting Roe v. Wade and banning guns (most of the older liberals I know don’t ever mention Gay Marriage – it’s just not on their radar), who, will never watch Fox News or believe anything that comes from it or any Conservative site or even wiki-leaks. The response I got, was, “Bull.”
People who seem to think that their ability to travel freely will be hampered by keeping Muslim migrants out and are concerned for some polite Muslim doorman or store-keeper they know or student they teach. (Like the terrorists at San Bernardino and Chabad house in Bombay (screw political correctness, not Mumbay) weren’t nice until they struck, not to mention Major Hadad at Ft. Hood (if he had died in battle, his relatives would be a “gold star” family, too — why didn’t Trump mention that the father was a notorious Sharia-Supremacist and Clinton Slush Fund collaborator) People locked in a bubble. People who can’t think. Deaf, Dumb, blind. Most of New York City (most of which never votes for Republicans who usually don’t even bother to run) is like this. It’s surreal. It’s like “The Matrix.” (which, in turn, is based on one of Rene Descartes process of elimination arguments asking how he knows he exists when he could be hooked up to a machine feeding him false sensory data, which is where “I think therefore I am, comes from.) Welcome to my world.
[It’s actually nice now thanks to 20 years of Republican Mayors, Guiliani and Bloomberg but I couldn’t resist: “Escape From New York” 1981. trailer.
https://youtu.be/ckvDo2JHB7o
sound familiar?
My own view is that most election polls up until the last week are crooked and I cant tell which ones are not….. so I avoid taking them at face value Too much money available for pollsters to pass up. By adjusting the figures to reality in the last days they can claim next year that they predicted correctly.
Interesting as the
http://www.investors.com/politics/trump-leads-clinton-by-one-point-going-into-debate-in-ibdtipp-tracking-poll/
Trump Leads Clinton By 1 Point Going Into Debate — IBD/TIPP Poll