Gallup quietly published some stunning data this morning. Based on surveys conducted from October 1 through 24, Gallup finds that 36% of likely voters call themselves Republicans, compared with 35% who are Democrats. If leaners are included, the GOP advantage is 49%/46%.
How important is that? In 2008 the Democrats had a ten-point party ID advantage, 12 with leaners. If the data released today correctly reflect the voting population this year, you can throw away all of those polls that are D +9, D +7–or, for that matter, D +1. Substantially all polls show Mitt Romney with a wide lead over Barack Obama among independents. So if today’s party ID data are correct, not only will the presidential election not be close, but the Republicans will do better than currently expected in the Senate and House, too.
The electoral college only, counts!
Polls sometimes are wrong, in facgt a large percentage of the time.
From my readings, the Demos, with their minorities still outnumber
the Republicans. And, they are growing much faster ( high birth rates)Z
than the Repbulicans. Independents cannot be trusted to vote one way oranother. Frankly, they should not stradle the fence, overly analyzing
one party’ policy overanother. This coungtry is a two party system.Why not have another party..getmy point. I am disgusted by block voting..95% for the Democratics..single women for Obama and other minorities for sides ( Evangelicals, Jews, Asians, gays, etc.). Its almost as if each party needs
to have a coalition of focus and interest groups..only interested in their own
goals and agenda..which doesnt serve the broader US public or America
or US intersts.