By Frank Camp, DailyWire
On Friday, Fox News released a new general election poll that comes as great news for former Vice President Joe Biden.
The poll, which was conducted on 1,011 “registered voters” between March 21 – 24, found that if the November election were held today, former Vice President Joe Biden would beat President Trump by a nine-point margin.
The poll asked: “If the 2020 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were [Biden and Trump]?”
49% of respondents said they would vote for Biden, while 40% said they would vote for Trump. This has changed little from previous Fox News polls taken in February, January, and December in which Biden scored 49%, 50%, and 48%, respectively, and Trump scored 41% in all three.
What’s most interesting about this poll is that Biden’s chances of beating President Trump increase when three former female Democratic candidates are suggested as the former vice president’s potential running mates.
Biden famously promised to choose a female as his vice president during the most recent debate between himself and rival Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT).
When Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) is suggested as Biden’s running mate, his support rises to 50%. When Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) is named, his support also rises to 50%. However, with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) on the ticket, support for Biden increases to 52% to Trump and Vice President Mike Pence’s 42%.
This isn’t the only poll showing Biden clobbering Trump in November. According to the RealClearPolitics general election average of polls, the former vice president has a 7.1% lead over President Trump (50.9% to 43.8%). In the last ten polls dating back to mid-February, Biden’s lead ranges from just 3% to as much as 11%.
It should be noted that this poll was finished just before the sexual assault allegations against Joe Biden were revealed.
As The Daily Wire previously reported, on Wednesday, journalist and podcaster Katie Harper released a portion of an audio interview with former Biden staffer Tara Reade in which Reade alleges that Biden sexually assaulted her in 1993.
Reade describes being pushed up against a wall in a “side area” after rushing to bring then-Senator Biden a gym bag. “His hands were on me, and underneath my clothes,” the former staffer alleges. “He went down my skirt, but then up inside. He penetrated me with his fingers.”
Reade claims that after it was over, Biden told her that she was “nothing” to him, then attempted to calm her down, saying, “You’re okay. You’re fine.”
Interestingly, as noted by The Daily Wire’s Matt Walsh, the mainstream press appears to have largely ignored the story since it broke. Aside from Fox News and other conservative or conservative-leaning news organizations, the only major outlets that have written about the sexual assault allegations are HuffPo, The Hill, Yahoo, International Business Times, and Vox.
As of publication, a Google search for the story produces zero results from CNN, MSNBC, Associated Press, Reuters, NBC, CBS, ABC, or any other major news organization aside from those listed above.
While Joe Biden himself hasn’t yet commented on the allegations, the Biden campaign’s Kate Bedingfield offered the following statement to Fox News: “Women have a right to tell their story, and reporters have an obligation to rigorously vet those claims. We encourage them to do so, because these accusations are false.”
@ riverfred123:
“Trump trolls Biden, says Cuomo probably would be ‘better’ 2020 candidate”
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-trolls-biden-says-cuomo-probably-would-be-better-2020-candidate
If the Dems had a viable candidate, the Dem Congressional leaders and the MSM would not have been spending the past four years trying to overthrow the the President through some sort of coup.
I expect Donald Trump to be re-elected in the Fall by a landslide. If the Fox poll tells me anything, it is simply an indication of how far Fox has tilted to the left, and how disillusioned leftists are becoming with the other MSM networks.
https://pjmedia.com/election/poll-15-of-bernie-supporters-will-vote-for-trump-over-biden/
“…Taken together, the polls suggest a slightly larger-than-usual slice of Democratic-leaning and independent voters are telling pollsters they now approve of the job Trump is doing as president — but support for giving him a second term lags behind among these same voters…”
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/29/biden-leads-trump-polls-despite-coronavirus-bounce-152944
Sounds unreliable. I suspect that dems and independents who haven’t changed their minds about voting against him, many of whom won’t vote, anyway, now approve of his performance.
I imagine many Republicans and independents are giving Cuomo the same grudging praise, not that they would vote for him.
And the same for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez for calling for public pressure for a rent moratorium.
@ Bear Klein:
Then why bother setting a margin of error? Yes, it’s close. But the statement was that Trump lost 2 points. If the margin of error is greatr than that, what value does such a statement have? Only the phrase, “do the math” is Yang’s. This is my observation. That’s referring to the last 10 polls. As far as the current one goes, I don’t trust it. Most recent polls show most Americans approve of his performance. Republicans overwhelmingly, but also more Democrats and independents than before.
@ Sebastien Zorn:
Yang is wrong it means the race is close at the moment, The Fox Poll was for the adult population. The ABC poll was for registered voters. Hence the potential difference.
Rasumussen when they start doing General Election Polls will do it on likely voters which perhaps is the best polling method.
Correction: Several sources say that the earliest example in 1891 was from an anonymous letter ot a newspaper. . A NY Times articles attributes it to Jonathan Swift. I had it confused with
“You, sir, will certainly either die upon the gallows or of a social disease.
That depends, sir, upon whether I embrace your principles or your mistress.”
attributed to Disraeli and then to Gladstone but the earliest instance was between the Earl of Sandwich and Samuel Foote in 1784 though there have been many versions of this, as of the other. according to Quote investigator.
Anyway, the first one is commonly known through Mark Twain and is usually attributed to him though he was attributing it to Benjamin Disraeli though it has not been found in his wriitings or recorded speeches. He says he heard it so I’m inclined to believe him. Not all speeches are recorded, after all.
@ Bear Klein:
Well, as Andrew Yang loves to say, I did the math and 2 points either way with a 3.5 percent margin of error is a statistically meaningless number.
I’m reminded of Mark Twain’s famous quote (He was actually quoting Disraeli who, in turn was quoting another earlier Prime Minister acccording to Quote Investigator, though I can’t find it now: “There are three kinds of lies, lies, damn lies, and statistics.
@ Sebastien Zorn:
Another poll from ABC a day later had Trump down 2 points within the margin of error which was 3.5%. One poll does not matter.
I find that hard to believe, especially considering Trump’s job approval ratings as president are at about 60 percent, according to Gallup as of March 24. https://news.gallup.com/poll/298313/president-trump-job-approval-rating.aspx
I find that hard to believe, especially considering Trump’s poll ratings as president are at about 60 percent, according to Gallup as of March 24. https://news.gallup.com/poll/298313/president-trump-job-approval-rating.aspx
I find that hard to believe, especially considering the Trump’s poll ratings as president are at about 60 percent, according to Gallup as of March 24.
Most important polls will be the swing state polls. I have not seen any new except Michigan on the 26th which had Biden up by 3 points.
Trump will get graded primarily by view on election day in how he handled the Corona Virus Crisis and if the economy starts up again positively by election day.
Biden would make a terrible candidate
He’s usually wrong especially about going to war, he called the China travel ban by Trump a “hysterical xenophobia and fear-mongering,” as of March 12th he was still calling for ending travel bans, famously dishonest creating millions for his family, almost as hard-left as Bernie, no deportations, abolish I.C.E., his “public Option” will destroy private health ins., free healthcare for illegals, called for MASSIVE TAX HIKES, will spend trillions on the Green New Deal (the US will no longer be energy independent, you can use your currency as toilet paper.) He is showing signs of severe mental degradation. He gives the appearance of being long past his sell-by date. Biden is being kept in a “candidate-protection program” to prevent him from saying false claims such as he was arrested trying to visit Nelson Mandela, guns killed 150 million, we choose truth over facts, we will put 720 million-woman back to work, super Thursday, etc.
LOL! What does anyone expect since the Murdock boys took over at FOX? The sexual assault scandal will be used by the DNC to eliminate demented Biden from the race. The question is not if, the question is when. In order to eliminate Bernie it will have to be later rather than sooner. So, who will the DNC field as the Democrat candidate? Just watch the media to see who they are giving all their airtime to – at this moment in time my money is on Cuomo. We’ll have to wait and see.