By David Israel, JEWISH PRESS
Despite his attempt to show deference to his predecessor, Prime Minister Naftali Bennett took a swing at his former boss when he said that the ministers in the new government would be a better fit in carrying out the duties of their portfolios. It should have stung, because the past two years under former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu were rife with internal wars within an impossibly split cabinet, and not so much about doing the job of governing.
The most poignant example was the failure to pass a budget. Netanyahu’s government did not fall because Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett conspired to topple the Likud leader. It collapsed over a fight between Netanyahu and his rotation replacement from Blue&White Benny Gantz, over whether the budget would be annual or biannual – even as the deadline for submitting a budget was coming ever closer. There were deep, selfish reasons for both politicians to insist on their version of a budget, and in the end, they couldn’t get it together to pass a budget and prevent the mandatory new elections when they failed.
The slew of pundits on the right who have been foretelling the inevitable failure of PM Bennett to handle his ministers who come from such contradictory places in Israel’s political landscape should also examine this abysmal failure of the Netanyahu-Gantz partnership.
Against that background, Bennett et al have only one clear path forward, which is to pass a budget in the next one hundred days. Everything else, from the Islamist Arabs to Reform Jews, from Illegal Bedouin settlements in the Negev to Jewish outposts under threat of demolition in Judea and Samaria, from a collapsing healthcare system to an inadequate educational system, from IDF Haredi recruits to a state committee to investigate the death of 45 Jews on Mount Meron – is secondary. If come November, the state of Israel gets a budget that was passed with 61 votes, PM Bennett could end up being a good leader for Israel. If not – well, just read this morning’s right-wing papers.
The key factors in Bennett’s near future are not whether or not young Jews would be permitted to march with national flags in the streets of Jerusalem and enter Damascus gate. They’re not even the level of harsh response by the IDF to Hamas provocations. Those are always interesting, but they don’t matter nearly as much as the working relationship between the prime minister and his Finance Minister, one Avigdor Liberman. Everything in the next three months will depend on that relationship because Israel is in an economic ditch from which it must recover. This is not about Liberman punishing the Haredim, nor is it about Bennett appeasing the settlers. It’s about the logical and inevitably painful steps Israel must take to come out of the year of the pandemic and rampant unemployment and business paralysis. Everything depends on it, including, most crucially, Israel’s rating by S&P, Moody’s, and Fitch. The Israeli government must convince these global rating services that it can pay its long-term debts at a time when its budget deficits are in the tens of billions of dollars. The hemorrhaging of taxpayer money must be stopped, and to get that done Bennett and Liberman need technocrats with nerves and hearts of steel.
Luckily, both the PM and his finance minister have picked two such men to run their affairs. Bennett has called on Eyal Gabbai, Netanyahu’s director-general of the PM’s office from 2009 to 2011, to work for him in the same capacity. Gabay is an experienced professional, whose task, should he choose to accept it, would be to repair the damage to all the ministries from the two-year war they have endured. This task will be made even harder because of the difficulty in running a parity government. The PM’s office has one very effective weapon against ministers and their staff who defy the boss: the threat of holding back their legislation. But this very useful threat will be undermined by the veto right of the alternate prime minister, Yair Lapid. So that a good working relationship between Bennett and Lapid remains crucial for the very chances of this government to survive.
Enter Finance Minister Liberman’s choice for his director-general, Ram Belinkov, who resigned his post as budget director in 2009 over a disagreement with Netanyahu’s chief of staff regarding what Belinkov dubbed a criminal deal with the Histadrut labor union. It was Netanyahu’s second month in office after his comeback election. It was the worst possible time for a high-ranking professional in his government to bang the table and walk – but Belinkov just didn’t give a hoot.
To those of us who picture Israel Beiteinu chairman Liberman as a strong man who surrounds himself with yes-men, Belinkov would not be his obvious choice to run the finance ministry. The fact that Liberman picked a consummate professional who doesn’t suffer fools and is notoriously addicted to speaking truth to power, suggests more than any verbiage that Liberman wants real change in Israel’s economy. If you were dreaming of a less-centralized fiscal policy in Israel, with less red tape and less regulatory interference, you could do much worse than putting Belinkov in charge of the finance ministry. He led an incredibly strong budget department, but also held several senior management positions in the government (Director General of the Ministry of the Interior, Chairman of the Israel Ports Company, Chairman of the Metropolitan Mass Transit System), as well as senior management positions in the private sector. He has all the required experience to right the ship of finance and commerce in Israel – if he says yes to the offer.
In the throes of the Knesset brouhaha on Sunday, it was possibly difficult to catch and digest the very long and ambitious list of goals the new prime minister was trying to deliver over the screeching protests of Likud, Religious Zionism, and the Haredi parties (they were all concerned for the Yamina voters who had been fooled by Bennett, or as the departing Netanyahu put it: the worst fraud in the history of any democracy – but to date, more than 50% of Bennett’s voters have told pollsters they were pleased with his choices, and this number will probably rise should he succeed).
The Government Press Office sent out the written version of the prime minister’s acceptance speech, of which I’d like to share the part about his promises. Please note that it is free of hyperbole, does not attack any enemy, foreign or domestic, and focuses on the many ways in which his government plans to improve the lives of Israelis. I’ll tell you, if Naftali Bennett gets a third of this list done, he could probably live to win another stint at the helm.
“The following are some of the things the government will promote immediately:”
- We will take responsibility for the education of Israeli children from birth. The most formative years. As a first step, we will transfer responsibility for infant daycare to the Ministry of Education.
- We will enable many Haredi youths to go out to work by lowering the (national service) exemption age from 24 to 21. Not by force, but by positive encouragement, allowing young people who want to learn a vocation to be able to, and those who want to study Torah will continue to do so.
- We will close with immediate effect the Ministry of Digital Affairs, the Ministry for Water, the Ministry for Communal Advancement, and the Ministry for Strategic Affairs.
- Foreign Minister-designate and Alternate Prime Minister-designate, Yair Lapid, will lead a process to rehabilitate the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which is a fundamental tool for building Israel’s political strength.
- Finance Minister-designate Avigdor Liberman will lead a plan by which we will return to work those who lost their employment due to COVID-19. We will bring in as many people as possible in the high-tech industry, where there are higher salaries, by setting a national target of raising the number of high-tech workers to 15% of the workforce by 2026.
- We will reduce superfluous regulation and frustrating bureaucracy, and we will work for citizen-friendly government services, as in Singapore among other countries – without paperwork, without queues.
- We will make life easier for independent workers and small business owners, including with unemployment benefits.
- We will increase income support for the elderly to 70% of the minimum wage.
- We will open up competition in Kashrut (kosher certification), and set standards for the system. This will lighten the burden on restaurant owners, ending the stranglehold monopoly in this area, bringing down the cost of food, and strengthening the public’s faith in the level of Kashrut.
- Justice Minister-designate Gideon Sa’ar will lead a process to create an appropriate balance between the judicial, legislative, and executive branches of government, whereby his initiative to split the role of the Attorney General is a significant first step.
- We will – finally – promote a national plan for the North of Israel, including establishing a hospital and a university in Galilee.
- Defense Minister Benny Gantz will lead a process to significantly strengthen and build up the IDF through a multi-year plan, which will include significant investment in offensive and defensive capabilities. We must invest because the threats will not leave us. Our soldiers deserve the best and most advanced equipment in the world.
- We will work to upgrade Israel’s public transport system, led by Transport Minister-designate Merav Michaeli.
- We will strengthen the building of communities across the Land of Israel.
- We will ensure Israel’s national interests in Area C – and we will increase standards to that end after much neglect in this area.
- And yes my friends, we will open a new page in the relations between the State of Israel and the country’s Arab citizens. The Arab community will be represented in the coalition by Mansour Abbas and his party. This is a process that I must give credit to Prime Minister Netanyahu who held a groundbreaking series of meetings with Mansour Abbas, who reached out a hand. This was the right thing to do. We understand the plight and needs of Arab society. The fight against crime and violence, the housing crisis, the gaps in education and infrastructure – will be addressed.
- We will begin the process of regulating the Bedouin settlements in the Negev so that Israel’s Bedouin citizens can live in dignity.
- Health Minister-designate Nitzan Horowitz will prepare the health system for a new age of community- and home-based medical care, and together we will prepare an emergency plan in the case of future pandemics. You can’t always know there will be a vaccine, not every illness has a vaccine, and you have to be prepared to build on vaccinations, but also on an organized plan and not as we saw in the last year.
- We will accelerate the pace of building homes in Israel. The government will take the initiative, remove obstacles, and allow for extensive construction throughout the country, to put the brakes on the rise in the cost of housing. There has been a slowdown in the building of houses in the last year – we should be seeing the opposite – we should have increased the building, there is a deficit in housing which drives up the prices, and no propaganda will hide that. Therefore we will up the pace of building to put the brakes on the rise in prices, and allow young people – who serve in the army, do their reserve duty, pay their taxes, and have no chance of building a house. So yes, we need to deal with this.
- The government will work to promote Jewish immigration (Aliyah) to Israel, and the best integration for them.
- We will strengthen the bond between the State of Israel, and the Jews of the Diaspora. We will care for our brothers and sisters around the world, we will fight against the wave of antisemitism.
- We will safeguard the State of Israel, the nation-state of the Jewish people, as a Jewish and democratic state.
Another goal which cannot be reached: “Foreign Minister-designate and Alternate Prime Minister-designate, Yair Lapid, will lead a process to rehabilitate the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which is a fundamental tool for building Israel’s political strength.” DEFINITELY, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs needs rehabilitation. Peres filled the Ministry with people who believed in “The New Middle East”. These people are totally unfit in the world of The Normal Middle East in which we actually must survive. Remember Alon Liel. Yair Lapid is hardly the man to replace these people with people who understand the real Middle East.
A terrible goal – taking the responsibility of raising children from the parents to the State: “We will take responsibility for the education of Israeli children from birth. The most formative years. As a first step, we will transfer responsibility for infant daycare to the Ministry of Education.” – Is this Stalin in Russia in 1930 or Israel in 2021? What does Bennet really want to obtain by announcing this goal, could it be the cooperation of the extreme Left?
Of course not. I understand Bennett’s redlines. I would have preferred a Right wing gov’t that did not require such a trust, but things are where they are. But my words did not reference the use of military force, such as the strikes you speak of, so much as the freedom to make a significant strike against, for instance Hamas. It is only a practical reality that Hamas has their hand in keeping the gov’t afloat. It is not a tenable situation.
And perhaps I am wrong and Abbas wouldn’t blink should Israel conduct, as was claimed, hits on Hamas’ leadership. I find this unlikely, just as I find it unlikely such moves will be taken due to the political realities associated with this gov’t. I am uncomfortable with this reality, and should the Heredi come into the gov’t it will be better, but you still have a large collection of men who would not step out of line with their American counterparts, and these Americans are not there to help Israel, but to empower Iran.
So, not to belabor the point, but I did not mean to suggest that no military action would be used, but it is a hobbled arrangement as things stand that will restrict the freedom of military targets to what might be perceived acceptable to Raam, for instance a measured response to the incendiary balloons. Perhaps, I am wrong on this point and the targeted assassinations will proceed and there will be no lack of flexibility as I have suggested, but this is my perception of things, until things might change. And my comments should not be taken to mischaracterize the 14 members of the Right in this gov’t, as I suspect you thought was my intent, but there numbers are few and they have a political need to see this not quickly fail. As I told you previously, I hope for Bennett’s success in moving things tens steps to the Right as it would be best for the nation should it be possible, but I see the limits of such goals at present or anytime soon due to many conflicting political realities that Tobin referenced in the remarks I quoted. But perhaps I am wrong on this as well…
Sorry, didn’t understand your meaning. No, Bear, I do not speak Hebrew. I do have language skills, but Hebrew is not among them. I have done translations for the purpose of historical studies, and it is a difficult task as the intent of what is written is the whole purpose of the task. It is not something I really enjoy, but it is rewarding having gained a proper understanding of the record in question. This is why I always suspect the actual truthfulness of a televised translation, the meaning could easily be altered and no time for corrections.
@Peloni I was asking if you know Hebrew and was not commenting on the capability of the translators. Things are better if heard in the original language spoken. Especially when one is trying get a true feeling for the person speaking.
Was not commenting on translation quality. I know a few languages and would not want to try translating. Tried it once when I was younger and had a horrible experience, as I was not up to the task at the time.
@Peloni the current Israeli government has acknowledged that issues such as Sovereignty and/or withdrawals will not be on the table. Israel in this government certainly when and if warranted will use the application of military force with this government. This was already shown today as Hamas tested it by using incendiary balloons starting fires. In response there were multiple air strikes in more than one location.
So if you were trying to say Israel would not use military force, I strongly disagree and I believe you do not understand the players in the government. The Security Council has very strong people in its makeup.
@Bear Klein
Thanks for sharing the Tobin article, Bear. I am not a fan of his writings, but he did have some interesting observations.
The following passage
is both true and disturbing. As long as they can focus on only a domestic reform program everything will be difficult, but possibly manageable. It’s only the most important issues that could create the real problems. And of course everyone in the world including Syria, Iran, Hezbollah, etc. are each aware of the currently awkward denial of reality that Israel exists among great enemies, and their friends look to their Jewish neighbors for, among other things, a perception of strength and maneuverability, each of which is not possible with the current gov’t. That is, of course, until or if more support is pulled in from the Likud defectors (to a smaller extent) and the Heredi (to a larger extent).
But some real food for thought on a number of points beyond just this as well.
@Bear Klein
Translated, why was it not a fair translation? I do distrust translations in general as you have to have a level of trust of the translator for a proper translation..
@Peloni did you watch Bennett’s speech in Hebrew or translated?
Just read an interesting an article by Jonathan Tobin, where he points out this diverse coalition is possible now because Israelis across the political spectrum do not believe that they have a partner for peace (in my words a two state solution is NOT alive in any realistic sense). Also Israelis have very similar views on Iran and its nuclear desires. Bibi helped craft the viewpoint.
The article has many other interesting observations and views.
But we are told Israel is an apartheid state which oppresses its Arab minority. How ironic.
Bennett and Lapid put their egos, ambitions and their personal hatred of Bibi above the Israeli greater good. Creating a coalition with an islamist party is treachery beyond belief. They can go to hell. We can only hope this government collapses, the sooner the better. Also, since the Kahane party has been banned in Israel, why are islamist parties allowed to flourish and now even serving in the government.
Bennett’s plans are a promise of Paradise on eath in our days.
So shall it be done, so shall he succeed, Amein
I think the Right was poorly served by this strategy they pursued yesterday. I disliked what the Right did in the Knessett during Bennett’s speech. Their outrage was not unexpected and not without a basis. But appearance of such passions that it displayed a level of irrationality that detracted from their rational opposition to the concerns that Bennett’s partners hold for the Right. Bennett had a good speech and they should have been less outrageous in their outbursts. The Knessett is often the site of unpleasant catcalls and attacks but yesterday’s performance was too much, I think.
It also detracted from Netanyahu’s speech, which was quite breathtaking even as it was outperformed by the many dozens of outbursts during Bennett’s speech. I feel it also helped Bennett, as he appeared somewhat more nervous in the early part of his speech, but found some sense of grounding in the superfluous outbursts thrown at him and became more at ease with the moment due to his assailants multitudes of attacks.
A Leftist dominated gov’t to support a Right-wing budget, not likely. If the Heredi don’t join this gov’t of parity is doomed should the Right-wing agenda remain in place. And with this knowledge the Heredi will likely make demands from the Finance Minister he will not support.
There is merit in the details of the process of bringing the partners to agreement upon a given topic, but there is too much support required from non-statists and Leftists. That is if the Heredi stay out. If they join, and the defectors of Likud join too, well that is a different story. As I see it.
David Israel is correct if Bennett leads this government to pass a budget in the first 100 days it could very well be a functioning government. Assuming it will be a two year budget then the government will last two years at least more than likely and will have a chance to make accomplishments for the state of Israel.