Dems Hold 7-Point Lead in Polls for Governor, Senator in Florida

T. Belman. How can this be in a state that voted for Trump and currently attend his rallys in historic numbers. And then there is all the good he has done for their economy. It doesn’t make sense.

By John Gizzi, NEWSMAX

andrew gillum

Andrew Gillum (AP)

In Quinnipiac Polls released just 48 hours before the election, Democratic nominees for governor and U.S. Senator from Florida both held seven-point leads over their Republicans opponents.

In the race for the governorship, Democrat and Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum led Republican former Rep. Ron DeSantis by 50 to 43 percent among likely voters.  The margin of error was 3.5 percent.

Quinnipiac had similar findings in the Senate race, showing incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson leading Republican Gov. Rick Scott by 51 to 44 percent statewide.  The margin of error was 3.5 percent.

These figure represent a dramatic shift from polls over the past month.  Although Gillum has led almost consistently since winning the Democratic nomination in August, his lead over DeSantis in any poll has never been more than 4 percentage points. Nelson also has held a small lead in many polls, but Scott has pulled ahead in a few surveys.

The Quinnipiac survey was conducted as former President Barack Obama was arriving in the Sunshine State to campaign for the Democratic ticket. President Donald Trump has made five appearances on behalf of Republicans DeSantis and Scott.

“I don’t believe either poll,” Matt Walsh, publisher of the Florida Observer and the Jackson Daily Record, told Newsmax, “In each of the past two gubernatorial and presidential elections, the difference between the winner and loser has been one percentage point. Florida is a microcosm of the U.S. If those two Democrats are up by seven percentage points, it would indicate the so-called ‘blue wave.”

John Gizzi is chief political columnist and White House correspondent for Newsmax. For more of his reports,

November 6, 2018 | 5 Comments »

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5 Comments / 5 Comments

  1. @ Edgar G.:

    It looks as if the Repubs have about 53-54 Senate seats confirmed and so far are behind the Dems for House seats by 17 seats.(Dems shave reached 204)

  2. @ Laura:

    My present info, watching the news, is that both Repubs De Santos and Scott, are in a sufficient lead, counting nearly finished with very close margins. Also Indiana and Wyoming. And MIssissippi. Surprisingly both W.Virginia and Virginia went Dem, considering what Trump did for their industries. There is also talk about vote tampering.

    Rep. have a 2 seat lead in the House. The Rep. have gained a Senate seat from the incumbent in Indiana, and lost 3 House seats..

  3. How can this be in a state that voted for Trump and currently attend his rallys in historic numbers. And then there is all the good he has done for their economy. It doesn’t make sense.

    It doesn’t make sense especially when you consider how radical Gillum is and is running against a vet. And then there’s the retirees who left the high taxed states of NY, NJ. Why on earth are they voting for someone who will make Florida into what they escaped from? If the GOP loses Florida, that’s very bad.

  4. In answer to Ted’s incredulous query above, I recall that in the Bush-Gore recount there were over 500,000 mostly elderly and all Democratic voting Jews living in Florida.

    Today there are about 650,000…… so there’s at least part of your answer……all worried mostly about their Social Security, as was the case in the Gore-Bush campaign and recounting…they are a vital component at election time..