Chit Chat

By Ted Belman

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April 16, 2020 | 7,783 Comments »

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  1. Over three-fourths of Hispanic Americans have an unfavorable opinion of the outspoken billionaire, according to the Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) survey.

    Trump is viewed unfavorably by 80 percent of that demographic, the group reported Tuesday. Of that total, 59 percent have a “very unfavorable” opinion of the real estate tycoon heading into 2016.

    Trump also has high name recognition, the poll added, with just 4 percent of Hispanic Americans not recognizing the business mogul and 5 percent having no opinion.

    Other Republicans are also viewed negatively by respondents to the poll.

    http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/260401-poll-trump-unpopular-with-hispanics

  2. @ honeybee:
    So the Mexicans do not care if someone called them rapists and drug dealers. “The niceties of politics?

    Of course Mexicans have no pride so they will gladly build and pay for the wall?

    Most people like a strong leader that is the impression that has many people buying into Trumps sound bites. Do they like a strong man who is perceived as denigrating them as a whole?

  3. @ honeybee:
    Gringos tend to either underrate or ignore machismo in the Latin-American civilizational group; partly, I suppose, because people who seriously push socio-political and cultural concepts such as political correctness tend to ignore anthropological considerations regarding how people think and what culturally-derived stimuli they respond to.

    All told, I think Trump has some surprises in store for a lot of fools. For example, his publicly-uttered crude comments may well repel prigs such as Jeb Bush, and his purportedly princely family, but not us common folk who talk that way all the time. If Trump gets elected, who will come across as a president who resembles Andrew Jackson, Theodore Roosevelt, and Harry Truman. All those great presidents were forceful men spoke what they believed and believed what they thought, and feared neither political institutions or stuffed-shirt politicians.

    Arnold Harris, Outspeaker

  4. The demographic I was reading that will be the most important is the Black vote. If the GOP sees it being smaller than in 2012 or get more of it then GOP can win.

    The Latino vote will be important in Florida and Colorado swing states.

    However not that much elsewhere because Texas should go GOP and California will go Democratic and NY & Illinois should go Democratic no matter what happens with the Latino vote.

    The mentioned states are the most prevalent states were Latino’s live.

  5. How Demographics Will Shape The 2016 Election

    2016 ELECTION 2:02 PM DEC 3, 2015

    How Demographics Will Shape The 2016 Election
    By DAVID WASSERMAN

    Republicans contend that the 2016 election will be about Americans’ desire for change after eight years of a Democratic president. Democrats hope the election will tell a different story of change: a continued march toward a more diverse electorate that is ever more hostile to the GOP’s Electoral College fortunes.

    We’ve built an interactive tool to help you draw your own conclusions about whether, as is often said, demographics truly are destiny. You can use it to see how changes in turnout and partisanship within five demographic groups would affect the outcome of the 2016 election. Paying homage to the BBC’s iconic tracker of vote swings in British parliamentary elections, we’re calling it the 2016 Swing-O-Matic. Check it out: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-demographics-will-shape-the-2016-election/

  6. I also like Huckabee or Kasich for a VP Canidate. Huckabee made dumb move running for Pres. giving up a $2million a year gig at FoxNews

    Kasich would help Trump win Ohio ( a very big deal). Huckabee though a very good man would not help win areas Trump would not already otherwise win. Kasich could help Trump navigate the swamp of Washington DC. I wounder if he would take the job though?

    Any thoughts anyone if Kasich would accept the VP slot or just happily go back to being Governor of Ohio.

  7. Huckabee would be an excellent choice as vice president for Trump. He is one of the most thoughtful men recently involved in US politics, and certainly is a man of integrity.

    Arnold Harris, Outspeaker

  8. Bear Klein Said:

    I would be interested in brainstorms for VP possibilities.

    I dont think trump would be attracted to someone who operates solely as an individual like Carson. I think he will be drawn to a governor or a mayor who have experience managing large entities, not a senator or congressman whose only experience is talking and bill crafting; I dont think he respect such folk.
    I think he would also like to have a VP who he thinks could be pres. after him… probably a gov, but maybe lower key than christie(or not)…someone who can draw voters that do not support him… who does that leave? (Kasich, Perry??? huckabee?)

  9. @ ArnoldHarris:

    Trump Effect’ Driving Push For Latino Voter Registration
    The Donald’s tough talk on immigration could jeopardize down-ballot anti-immigration Republicans.

    According to a Pew Research Center report released last week, the biggest driver of growth among Latino eligible voters is the 3.2 million who will have turned 18 and become eligible to vote between 2012 and Election Day 2016. In the same period, another 1.2 million Hispanics who legally immigrated to the U.S. will have naturalized and become U.S. citizens.

    Organizers are pushing to take advantage of those demographic shifts and expand upon them, holding citizenship drives and rallies to raise awareness about how Republicans’ policies harm the Latino community.

  10. @ Bear Klein:
    http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2015/12/breaking-poll-40-of-blacks-line-behind-trump-45-of-hispanics/

    BK, save your betting money by checking out polls which actually show Trump’s standing with African-American and Latino voters. AAs support him at the 40% level; Latinos at the 45% level. When jobs are scarce, those are the folks at the bottom of the food chain. And like most other Americans, they are tired of listening to bullshit by professional politicians. Which is what the current political revolution in this country is all about.

    As for Rubio as Trump’s VP candidate, I think that man is all washed up, courtesy of Governor Christie that fatal night of the last Republican debate before the New Hampshire primary election. I do know that Trump and Dr Carson respect each other, and their political policies are not too far apart.

    Arnold Harris, Outspeaker

  11. The question is not the hard core Trump voters. I agree with that completely, they are true.

    The issue is how many minorities (Blacks, Latinos, Muslims) in lieu of staying home will be encouraged to go vote against Trump. In Florida for example will their be a large turnout of Latinos, Blacks to vote against Trump and thereby possibly sealing the election for Hillary.

    In the other huge swing state Ohio – will the black voters go vote against Trump?

    Arnold, I would bet a larger wager that Dr. Carson would not run with Trump. Trump is saying anyway he is looking for an experienced political person to be his VP candidate. Would he and Rubio get along? Rubio could help in Florida.

    I would be interested in brainstorms for VP possibilities.

    Anyone who thinks Trump will get more than 10% of the Latino vote is smoking way too much of something. The best he can hope for is that they sit out the election (which is true many times).

  12. @ Bear Klein:
    Ditto on BR’s response to you, BK. Irrespective of our advanced university degrees, my wife and I both stem from working class families. Neither of us give a shit about charges of racism. Both of us will vote for Trump in the Wisconsin primary election and in the general election in early November.

    And we both are more or less certain Trump’s lead will stick with him, increase, and get him the nomination at the Republican national convention — regardless of all the expected cheap tricks of what used to be the Republican Party establishment, but which now faces extinction.

    As for racism, I would not be surprised if Trump invites Dr Ben Carson onto his team as the Republican vice presidential nominee. That, around the country, would give him at least 10% additional voting support without alienating his new support base of working class people of both races.

    Would a Trump-Carson ticket beat Hillary Rodham Clinton? Considering that Mrs Clinton is now considered generally unlikable, untrustworthy, incompetent, endlessly power hungry, and unindicted for federal felonies solely because she is the wife of a former president, that’s one horse — or donkey — on which I wouldn’t be wasting any betting money.

    Arnold Harris, Outspeaker

  13. Bear Klein Said:

    So if he does win the left will attack him as an out and out racist. Huntington Post and others already have.

    I cant imagine a single potential trump voter being swayed by that argument. It will be only his crossovers from the dems which might be influenced by that, but I dont think the blue collars will. Hispanics are another issue but some think he will also appeal to some of them who are multi generational.

  14. So on the GOP Trump is clearly on the move and the favorite now to be the GOP candidate in the General Election. If he wins South Carolina by a good margin and does well in 8 state race on March 1 he may become unstoppable.

    So if he does win the left will attack him as an out and out racist. Huntington Post and others already have.

  15. Poll: Over 4 in 10 back Trump nationwide
    http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/269229-poll-over-4-in-10-back-trump-nationwide
    Are ‘superdelegates’ Hillary Clinton’s secret weapon?
    http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/Decoder/2016/0211/Are-superdelegates-Hillary-Clinton-s-secret-weapon-video

    ………….

    Among the working population, 45 percent are foreign born, but in the tech, computer and STEM industries, that number rises to 75 percent, according to the Index.
    http://www.paloaltoonline.com/news/2016/02/10/silicon-valleys-year-amazing-but-with-perils#comment_form

    So rubio, Cruz and Bush are all in favor of the HB1 visas which put middle americans out of work in tech in order for their donors to hire cheap foreign labor, which used to be reserved only for fruit picking. In my view these folks are propagating treason and are not at all honest or open about their agenda. American students are being encouraged to take STEM majors only to find that their jobs have already gone to foreigners. Trump appears to be the only front runner GOP who states his opposition to this despicable policy.

  16. @ honeybee:
    Ha,ha,ha,haaaa.
    Leave it to you. How much do they pay for rehabilitating a squirrel?
    Is there that many around to make a profit? Otherwise we can include some of the candidates for the presidency and many of our legislators.
    Do you think the ones who made these laws were sober? or suffer from dementia?
    Perhaps you have a homemade remedy to cure their diseased brains.

  17. @ mar55:
    @ mar55:

    Very good mar55 except the albino squirrels. I manage a rehab home for albino squirrels who have turn to hard drink due to discrimination. The money is good.

  18. ?FBI unable to crack San Bernardino killers’ cell phone
    http://www.cbsnews.com/news/fbi-investigators-unable-to-crack-san-bernardino-killers-cell-phone/

    the terrorists are more advanced than the FBI and yet most candidates of both parties are willing to live with just vetting muslim immigrants. 66% of voters in GOP NH wanted to implement Trump policy of caution as opposed to the high risk policy of applying the same failed vetting techniques they employed 5 times with the SD female terrorist. I dont like a risk which has absolutely no return on investment, not even a pure gambol gives those risk benefit odds. Anyone who cant finger muslim immigration as opposed to syrian cannot get my vote, because they are too stupid or PC liars.

  19. To all Pro Trump supporters your man is now the clear front runner. The third way mainstream way is more muddled than ever and has not consolidated into any one strong candidate.

    Cruz is in the race but clearly is not the front runner.

    If Yamit82 is reading if Trump wins the GOP nomination I was willing to bet you a hat (“Make America Great Again”) a couple of months ago but you did not respond. Do you think you would look good walking around Dimona with such a hat?

    Nate Silver 538.com makes the case why the GOP need to treat Trump as the front runner.

    So will the general election be Socialist Bernie “Sandernista” versus the Billionaire Trump?

  20. @ Bear Klein:
    Us Russian Jews are purportedly smarter than the South Slavs. But I’ll be the first to admit that if Stefanija Prasnjak Harris is any example, then it’s the other way around; in our family at least. I not only love her. I also admire and respect her.

    She also probably saved my life, back in the mid 1980s, when she spotted what proved to be a black spot hidden behind the upper lobe of my right ear, which a biopsy proved to Level 1 melanoma. Level 1 is treatable by means of prompt removal. What had happened is that when Stefi and I, along with all our fellow ulpan members from Netanya, were sitting in grandstands watching a grand parade of Israel’s armed forces in late September 1973. Like a fool, I neglected to wear appropriate headgear which covered my ears. I got burned by the intense sun rays to which my body had not been acclimatized. That sunburn was on the upper lobe of my right ear, precisely where the black mole would show up abut 12 years later.

    But because of her attention to such details, I’m still alive and well, more than 30 years later. To be sure, the surgeon knew his stuff. But if the melanoma had spread, it would have been the end of the road.

    Arnold Harris, Outspeaker

  21. @ Bear Klein:
    Stefi knows more Hebrew than I do. We both had one year graduate studies fellowships at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem in 1973-1974. She was with the School of archaeloogy, and I was with the Department of Geography’s City and Regional Planning curriculum.

    Stefi’s native language is Croatian/Serbian; she grew was born and raised in Zagreb. But in addition to Hebrew and English, she understands Russian, Makedonian, some Slovak, and even learned some Norwegian, and Icelandic, through which she acquired an interest in Hardanger fiddle music. She is comfortable in usage both of the Latinic and Cyrillic alphabets, without which Russian, Serbian and Makedonian would be impossible to read or write.

    Almost needless to say, she is the most interesting woman I have ever known.

    Arnold Harris, Outspeaker

  22. @ ArnoldHarris:Interesting you wife has an interest in linguistics. In college I took a class and the Mexican professor knew 9 languages plus Esperanto. He started teaching us and was pretty easy.

    Do you know if she tried learning Esperanto or only the older linguistics? Does your wife know Hebrew?

  23. @ ArnoldHarris:

    There is no women , of any age, who hasn’t swoon at a team of good looking young men in spandex.
    Are celebrating your 44th with a reading from the Kama Sutra???
    I paint, cook and collect antique Indian and Mexican objet’dart. n the summer I assist TX in his duties as a ” Snake Getter”.

  24. @ honeybee:
    My wife and I, and most people whom we choose to know, are backing Trump.

    As for the Broncos, I don’t know a hell of a lot about pro football. We don’t even have a working television receiver, so what could anyone expect from us. So I haven’t got a dog in that fight.

    Whenever we visit our registered nurse daughter, her small town fire chief husband, and our two granddaughters, their television set is broadcasting either a major league baseball game, football game, or basketball game. When its football, all I see is a bunch of bodies wearing bulbous helmets, piled up one atop the other in the middle of a big green playing field.

    My hobbies are chess, legally-registered collector-grade machine guns, endless reading of history, and blogsite arguments. Stefi’s interests are furniture restoration, anthropological research, gardening, and historical linguistics. She is the only person I know who has spent the last couple of years teaching herself Sanskrit. Next Saturday is our 44th wedding anniversary.

    Arnold Harris, Outspeaker

  25. sometimes trump sounds foolish because he is unrehearsed and not very articulate… but if you listen closely you see that his simple conclusions and judgments are usually correct assessments even though not politically correct. Banning muslims is my priority issue and he is the only one who tells it like it is. All the rest begin with a politically correct lie… the same lie that put us and keeps us where we are… in danger. The same policy might be good for Israel. Here is Israels politically correct big lie that keeps her in danger:
    “JEWISH SETTLEMENT IN YS IS ILLEGAL AND ILLEGITIMATE”
    I am for those who tear down that lie.

  26. Bear Klein Said:

    I am not sure he is ready to be President Day one as he no detailed plans or in depth policies or known advisors.

    normally I would agree if he had been a politician. He just jumped in the race because of the fraud and incompetence of others. However, I have confidence that he can choose practical, pragmatic advisors as he would have been doing that all his life. Those who have been in business know that in any project many problems are presented and must be overcome. businessmen identify their goals and do that necessary to achieve them. He is ignorant of many issues but I dont see him lying. Who needs a lawyer who has never run anything.. a politician who must take instructions from donors or advisors. both parties have let Israel down.. both keep making the same promises without delivery.. none moved the embassy, bush letter turned out to be worthless…. all had to do what they were told by their donors. Trump knows this which is why he keeps saying it… he knows that everything else is pure BS. He knows the game.

  27. @ ArnoldHarris:Arnold of course American elections are local to the USA but people have issues that are important to them.

    Since I am issue voter, Israel being number one issue, for me it is important that anyone I vote for is clearly pro Israel and not a fake or negative on the issue.

    You are for Trump but for me personally have not made a case why he is Pro Israel. I have researched this also and find nothing convincing especially if these early polls are correct and he is the nominee I hope I am wrong and he turns out to be Pro Israel.

  28. @ Bear Klein:
    The latest polls on ABC News show that 64% of voters who will vote Republican or are leaning Republican say that Trump will be the Republican nominee. Additonally, Trump is attracting — and will keep — the working-class Democrats. In fact, those people, who feel themselves so disenfranchised, comprise Trump’s not so secret weapon to end Hillary Clinton’s lifelong political dream.

    As for who’s better for Israel, all the Republicans would likely be on the same wave length. But you must remember that this election is not about Israel, but mainly about all of us here restoring the United States of America.

    Those who want to restore the real Israel of the real Jewish nation can start with electing into power an authentic Jewish nationalist government, annexing Shomron and Yehuda, and getting rid of any and all Arabs who even give a hint of causing trouble. Fail to do that, and no Trump, Rubio, or Cruz could save the Jewish state in the long run.

    Arnold Harris, Outspeaker

  29. Fellow Israpundit commentators. Anyone want to pitch their favorite candidate for US President. Rubio has me wondering. He is super Pro Israel but …..

    Who is ready to be President day one?

    Kasich sounded real ready with his 100 day plan. I do not know how strongly pro Israel he is.

    Trump – Very clever in presenting the strong tough populist Image. I have serious doubts what if anything he knows about Israel and the middle east beyond buzz words. I have serious doubts if he actually is Pro Israel or just kind like a soft Hillary on Israel. I am not sure he is ready to be President Day one as he no detailed plans or in depth policies or known advisors.

    Cruz- Smart, great tax plan, Pro Israel, does not get along well with others. He is perpetuating his dirty trick on Carson with lies.

  30. New Hampshire. – Also many voters still undecided or not firmly decided. Total for both categories up to 45%. It would very surprising if Trump not at least win by a small margin in NH as every poll has had him on top.

    The National Polls have closed considerably by what the expert pollsters tell us that those polls do not have strong significance at this stage. For example most of the candidates polled until now will be history.

    So if it becomes a three man race of Trump, Cruze, Rubio all the dynamics change. Also the first states are NOT winner take all delegates. Later some of the large states become winner take all. So even in a three man race someone who takes a few of the large winner take all states can get to the threshold of 1232. Ohio is one of these.

    The link below shows which states are winner take all and which one can take all if minimum criteria is met.

    Florida is the first Winner take all and it will be huge. If it is a three man race by then March 15 (I believe) Rubio will be favored in my opinion. Trump has been the leader until now but has been with numerous candidates competing in the so called Mainstream lane (Bush, Kasich, Christy, Rubio,….)

    http://frontloading.blogspot.com/2015/10/2016-republican-delegate-allocation.html