Ted Belman. Its way too early to poll everybody after all the jockying for mergers. These polls suggest that the Right isn’t growing as they always claim. Generally the party with the most seats is invited to form a government. But the left can’t form a gofvernment without including the Arab parties. You can bet that the Right parties will harp on this and I expect that it will mean a drop off of the support for the left during the campaign.
Polls show new center-left list in first place, six to 10 seats ahead of the Likud under PM Netanyahu • Labor, which spurned merger with Meretz, drops to single digits • Kan 11 poll: Arab Ta’al-Hadash list will be third-largest party in the Knesset.
Telem party leader Moshe Ya’alon, Israel Resilience leader Benny Gantz, Yesh Atid leader Yair Lapid and former IDF chief Gabi Ashkenazi announce the new Blue and White list, Thursday
Following the announcement Thursday morning that former IDF chief Benny Gantz’s Israel Resilience Party had reached a deal with Yesh Atid to run on a joint ticket, the country’s TV stations rushed to poll the public.
According to polls by Channels 12 and 13, if the election were held today, the new joint list, known as Blue and White, would win 36 seats. A Kan 11 News polls projected 35 seats for the Blue and White list.
According to Channel 12, the Likud under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would win 30 seats. Labor would win eight seats and Meretz would barely scrape by the minimum electoral threshold with four seats.
Channel 12 predicted seven seats for United Torah Judaism; six seats for the New Right party under Education Minister Naftali Bennett and Justice Minister Ayelet Shaked; six seats for Balad and Ra’am, two Arab parties that are running together; and five seats for the Shas.
According to Channel 12, parties hovering near the minimum electoral threshold include Yisrael Beytenu, Habayit Hayehudi-National Union, Kulanu, and Meretz.
Channel 13 predicted that Likud would drop to 26 seats, 10 fewer than the Blue and White list. The Ta’al and Hadash Arab parties, which broke off from the Joint Arab List, were predicted to win 10 seats.
Channel 13 predicted eight seats for Habayit Hayehudi-National Union; seven for United Torah Judaism, six for Shas, and five seats each for Labor and Yisrael Beytenu.
The Channel 13 poll also predicted that Kulanu and Meretz would be on the brink of the electoral threshold.
The Kan 11 poll showed a narrower gap between Blue and White and Likud, with 35 seats predicted for the former and 32 seats for Netanyahu’s party.
The Kan 11 poll predicted that the Ta’al-Hadash list would win 11 seats, making it the third-biggest party in the Knesset. Kan 11 also predicted eight seats for Labor, seven seats for the New Right, and six seats each for Habayit Hayehudi-National Union, United Torah Judaism, and Shas.
According to Kan 11, Yisrael Beytenu would win five seats and Meretz would win four.
B& White is coming out with their platform in several days or a week or so. Since they will actually be clarifying or saying where they stand on issues I assume perhaps some of the shine will come off them and so voters will go to other parties. This as the moment plus the inaccuracy of Israel polls is what gives the right some hope.
Unfortunately, AG Mandelblit will assure the victory of the Gantz-Lapid-Labor-Meretz forces by holding the pre-indictment hearing of Netanyahu or actually indicting him before the election. I believe that the charges against Bibi are trumped up and politically motivated, like the Mueller-Democratic allegations against Trump. But the voters will still not vote for a party whose candidate for Prime Minister is likely to be indicted or has already been indicted.
Article claiming to reveal which rich Israeli or Jew is behind various politicians in Israel. Are these the powers behind the scenes?
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/business/which-tycoon-to-vote-for-in-the-election-1.6955379@ Bear Klein:
Ted, It is possible Netanyahu will agree to a coalition with the “Blue & White” Party. It might only take two parties. When Bibi came in second to Kadima when Livni was at the head he was willing to rotating PM but she refused. Remember he also agree to have a coalition with Labor when Barak was its head.
The combination of the Blue and White possibly ending with the most seats plus a likelihood of Bibi being summed to a pre-indictment hearing does not bode well for a right ONLY government. All very iffy and Israeli polls are subject to great inaccuracy.