It looks like the post-convention bounce is over: The latest daily tracking poll from the University of Southern California and the Los Angeles Times shows Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are in a dead heat for the presidential election, but the numbers don’t tell the whole story.
According to the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times “Daybreak” poll, the two candidates are in a statistical tie, despite an avalanche of media attacks on the Trump campaign that followed the Democratic National Convention.
And that’s not even the best part! Take a look at the methodology behind the poll, as posted on the Times’ website.
“Each day’s poll respondents are a subset of the UAS election panel, roughly 3000 U.S. citizens who were randomly recruited from among all households in the United States. Respondents are asked three predictive questions: What is the percent chance that… (1) you will vote in the presidential election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else? and (3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win?”
So far, so normal. But check this part out.
“Results are weighted to match demographic characteristics, such as race and gender, from the U.S. Census Current Population Survey and aligned to the 2012 presidential election outcome using self-reported vote in that election.”
Yes, that’s right — the poll is based on voting patterns in 2012, when the Obamessiah was facing off against Mitt Romney. Romney, in case you’ve forgotten, is a man whose favorite dish is buttered noodles, and that’s the most exciting thing about him.
After using the Khan family as a political smokescreen, lying through her teeth to reporters and the public, shaking down the media to ensure positive (in fact, almost hagiographic) coverage and getting the president to call Donald Trump “unfit,” Hillary is nowhere close to winning. And that’s only assuming that Democrats turn out for her like they did for Obama back in 2012.
Young voters don’t like Hillary Clinton. African-American voters despise Hillary Clinton. Bernie voters don’t like Hillary Clinton. Liberals don’t like Clinton. Conservatives despise Hillary Clinton. Think that’s not having an effect?
@ Bear Klein:
But Uber doesn’t have all the delicious smells.
@ honeybee:
Someone needs to tell that Bear about Uber.
@ Bear Klein:
You can always drown you sorrows in food.
http://www.msn.com/en-us/video/animals/bear-catches-a-ride-on-a-garbage-truck-in-new-mexico/vi-BBvfQPL?ocid=spartandhp
Only poll that is this close. Sorry for the bad news below;
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/