Before 10/7 Hezbollah Expected to be Able to Break Through All the Defense Lines

Peloni:  This is disturbing revelation.

Avishai Greenzeig | X | May 20, 2024

Exactly one month before the seventh of October, a study day was held at the Northern Command, which dealt with preparation for the next war. This morning we revealed that the commander of the 300 Brigade estimated on the day of the study that if Hezbollah launches an attack – it will succeed in breaking through all the defense lines and take control of bases and settlements, because the forces in the sector will not have the ability to stop the attack.

According to the Major General, it will be necessary to arrive and save the forces until the arrival of the “big army” as he put it. That is, the working assumption in the IDF was that if Hezbollah launched a surprise attack, the IDF forces on the northern border would not be able to repel the attack and protect the settlements on the border.

While on the southern border no one believed that all the defense lines would be breached, on the northern border this was the assumption of the IDF without the residents being aware of the depth of the danger. It should be noted that since the October Seventh, and against the background of the serious failure on the southern border, the forces in the north have been increased significantly and the concept of defense has changed accordingly.

It seems that the IDF and the Israeli government will be required to give answers and explanations as to why they relied on the miracle in the defense of the northern border. The IDF spokesman’s response: “The IDF is protecting the northern border, while being prepared for the various scenarios against the enemy. We will not refer to the battle procedure designed to increase readiness and preparation for combat.’

A dedicated force* will be required to arrive and rescue

Perhaps it is worth clarifying the depth of the scandal: while the IDF estimated that they would not be able to repel a surprise attack by Hezbollah, the directive was to prevent escalation at all costs and allowed the Hezbollah terrorists to walk freely with weapons right on the fence.