ARGUMENT: Jared Kushner’s Peace Plan Would Turn Jordan Upside Down

T. Belman. This argument was obviously made on behalf of King Abdullah.  Yes, Abdullah would never countenance naturalizing the Palestinian refugees living in Jordan but Mudar Zahran would. Furthermore Abdullah would never invite all Palestinians to move to Jordan, but Zahran would.

I like to think that for this reason alone, Kushner would back Zahran.

If the Trump administration seeks to strip Palestinian refugees of their status, it will destabilize one of America’s closest allies in the region.

By OCTOBER 5, 2018

Jordanian protesters wave their national flags and Palestinian flags during a demonstration against the U.S. president's decision to recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, on December 15, 2017, in the Jordanian capital Amman.
Jordanian protesters wave their national flags and Palestinian flags during a demonstration against the U.S. president’s decision to recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, on December 15, 2017, in the Jordanian capital Amman. (KHALIL MAZRAAWI/AFP/GETTY IMAGES)

The Trump administration’s attempt to pressure Jordan to strip its Palestinian refugees of their status struck a nerve in the kingdom at a time of unprecedented economic and political turbulence. In presenting their ill-conceived plan to Jordanian officials, U.S. peace negotiators Jared Kushner and Jason Greenblatt have demonstrated a bias and ineptitude that will derail Washington’s self-proclaimed peace plan and further undermine U.S. credibility in the Middle East.

Jordan is home to almost 2.2 million registered Palestinian refugees—more than any country in the region. When Palestinians were expelled from their homes in the British Mandate of Palestine during the war that led to Israel’s independence, the kingdom welcomed the refugees and granted them citizenship to ease their humanitarian burden, but in a limited capacity so as not to affect Palestinians’ national aspirations or their political future. They are still considered “stateless” awaiting repatriation, as provided by Jordan’s legal, regional, and international commitments. The popular phrase “Jordan is not Palestine” was and remains a vital national security concern in the kingdom.

For almost seven decades, the poorest refugees in Jordan have been cared for by the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA). UNRWA operates 171 schools in Jordan, serving more than 121,000 students. Its 25 primary health centers handle more than 1.5 million visits a year, and 10 recognized refugee camps shelter around 370,000 refugees.

The White House’s goal, detailed in internal emails from Jared Kushner to his colleague Jason Greenblatt that were obtained by Foreign Policy, is “to have an honest and sincere effort to disrupt UNRWA” and strip refugee status from all but the few living Palestinians who fled British Mandatory Palestine in 1948—a plan that reveals a profound ignorance of Jordan’s current political and economic woes.

Kushner seems convinced that UNRWA “perpetuates a status quo, is corrupt, inefficient and doesn’t help peace.” President Donald Trump’s son-in-law turned senior advisor, who lacks any credible diplomatic experience in Middle East affairs, expressed his view that, “Sometimes you have to strategically risk breaking things in order to get there.” What he fails to understand is that his half-baked plan risks undermining the legitimacy and sovereignty of Jordan, Washington’s closest ally and partner in the Middle East. In this sense, taking the refugee issue off the negotiating table is, as Trump is fond of saying, tantamount to cutting off your nose to spite your face.

Despite the generous foreign aid Amman receives, with a new infusion on the way from the Gulf States this week, it has been struggling with an economic crisis fueled by domestic and international factors, including the spillover from conflicts next door in Iraq and Syria. Widespread tax evasion has further contributed to ballooning Jordan’s debt to 95 percent of GDP. The lack of funds has triggered runaway inflation at a time when the state struggles to provide food and water for 670,000 poverty-stricken Syrian refugees. Proposed tax reforms and price hikes this spring spurred a general strike by labor unions that brought down Prime Minister Hani al-Mulki. New Prime Minister Omar Razzaz’s tenuous popularity hinges on whether he will confront Jordan’s core political corrosion.

Amid this tense political climate, with a single-minded goal to dissolve UNRWA at all costs, Kushner reportedly offered to hand Jordan the millions the United States gives annually to UNRWA in exchange for absorbing full responsibility for Palestinian refugees. King Abdullah rejected the offer out of hand, and Jordan’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Ayman Safadi said such a move would have had “extremely dangerous humanitarian, political and security implications for refugees and for the whole region.”

Some officials in the Trump administration might naively consider Jordan too weak to resist U.S. pressure to accept White House commands. Jordan is certainly a close U.S. ally that is significantly dependent on U.S. aid. However, having survived many existential challenges since 1946, Jordan’s monarchy is not willing to commit national suicide just to please Washington.

The White House would also do well to consider the risks of destabilizing its ally. Palestinian civic leaders in Jordan embrace UNRWA as a protector of Palestinian funds and a guarantor of their livelihood in the face of entrenched corruption in the Jordanian government. A wholesale transfer of UNRWA funds to that government would almost certainly be a money grab by a ravenous bureaucracy, sparking violent protests that could potentially collapse the new government in a storm of anti-authoritarian fervor. A formerly reliable insurer of stability would crumble, paving the way for unimaginable devastation and suffering.

Trump has accused UNRWA of perpetuating the refugee crisis by providing essential services as refugees wait to be repatriated, rather than working to permanently resettle them elsewhere. But nothing in UNRWA’s mandate gives it the authority to resettle anyone, even if it wanted to, and a unilateral attempt to strong-arm Jordan into upending multilateral agreements shows an ignorance of the political realities on the ground.

At last week’s U.N. General Assembly meeting, Trump announced he would unveil his plan for Israeli-Palestinian peace within four months. The White House has closed the PLO office in Washington and relocated its Israeli embassy to Jerusalem, moves that confirm a pro-Israel bias that all but guarantees Palestinian noncooperation. Alienating its longstanding ally Jordan would further cement the growing U.S. rift with Arab countries and undermine prospects for peace.

February 8, 2019 | 7 Comments »

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  1. @ adamdalgliesh:

    Your first two “starred” comments are true… -not “whoppers”. There are documented accounts of the Mayor(?) of Haifa (named think Levy), going up and down with a car an loudspeaker, imploring the Arabs not to leave.

    Also I’ve seen written accounts by prominent Arabs like … “they (Egyptians) told us to get out so that they could get in… we got out, but we did not get back in.”.

  2. This latest breaking news reveals why the Palestinians are not a “party equally deserving of sovereignty.”

    Aaron Rabinowitz, Josh Breiner and Yotam Berger Feb 09, 2019 1:43 AM

    The murder site near Jerusalem, February 8, 2019.
    The murder site near Jerusalem, February 8, 2019.
    Israeli security forces said a suspect of the murder of 19-year-old Ori Ansbacher near Jerusalem was apprehended in the Ramallah area on Saturday.

    The suspect is from the West Bank town of Hebron and is currently being questioned, the Shin Bet said in a joint statement with Israeli police.

    Ori Ansbacher
    Ori Ansbacher.
    Earlier on Saturday, Palestinian reports said clasehes erupted in the Al-Bireh area when undercover Israeli agents arrested a 30-year-old man inside a local mosque. Five Palestinians were wounded by rubber bullets and live fire in the ensuing clashes with Israeli forces, and were transferred to hospitals in Ramallah.

    Police earlier identified the body of the woman found dead Thursday outside Jerusalem as that of Ori Ansbacher from the West Bank settlement of Tekoa.

    The investigation was focusing on the efforts of the forensics lab and looking through security camera footage.

    Several hundred people gathered at the cemetery in Tekoa for Ansbacher’s funeral Friday afternoon.

    Friends and family described Ansbacher as someone who took nothing for granted, “a person of truth,” and someone who spread light wherever she went.

    The murder site near Jerusalem, February 8, 2019.
    The murder site near Jerusalem, February 8, 2019.
    Israeli forces are seen at the scene of a suspected murder on the outskirts of Jerusalem, February 7, 2019.
    Israeli forces are seen at the scene of a suspected murder on the outskirts of Jerusalem, February 7, 2019.Olivier Fitoussi
    The body of Ansbacher was found naked, with stab wounds to her chest, at Ein Yael, southwest of Jerusalem, not far from the Jerusalem Biblical Zoo. Police are treating the case as a murder.

    Ansbacher was a national service volunteer and the daughter of a rabbi at a yeshiva in Tekoa.

    Four people found near the body’s location were detained for interrogation on Thursday. They were released under no suspicion.

    A police source told Haaretz this was “one of the harshest cases we’ve seen in the past few years.”

    Ansbacher’s parents said on Friday that she had “a pure spirit” with an endless desire to make the world a better place.

    Speaking at the funeral, her mother, Naia Ansbacher, described Ori as “a child of words. Mainly poems. Words that expressed who you are and what you were. Now there are no words left, only thank you.

    “Thank you, my Ori,” she said, “that you chose to come into this world through me. Thank you for 19 and a half years of light and joy. I ask now, as you rise up to a world where there is only good, that you give us the strength from above to continue to believe in the good in this world. Send us your light from above so we can continue to put on a good face.”

    Her father, Gadi Ansbacher said, “I can hardly believe it when I think about the past year and a half – how you did so much. You were everything… you did it. You won. You lived a whole life. You are whole. You are whole. You are whole.”

    Ansbacher’s brother shared a story about his sister at the funeral. “I remember one Shabbat, you came to me with a spark in your eye and said, ‘Let’s take a trip, I have to show you something,’” he recounted. “You brought me to two iron pillars, and I didn’t understand what you were trying to show me. ‘Don’t you see it?’ she said. ‘That’s paradise, and those are the gates.’ You spread so much light through this world that will continue to shine forever.”

    “You decided that we should plant a garden and enlisted your brother to remove the stones and mark out the plots,” Ansbacher’s mother said. “You won’t be able to plant that garden now, to travel, to study, to grow, to get married or birth children. You didn’t get the chance to realize the dreams that had bloomed in you recently,” she said. “You could have given so much light to this world, and now we return you to the ground.”

  3. This breaking news from Times of Israel reveals why the Palestinians are not “a party equally deserving of sovereignty” with Israel.

    Palestinian suspect arrested for murder of Israeli teen Ori Ansbacher
    Hebron resident nabbed during late night Ramallah raid by security forces; several Palestinians reported injured in clashes with IDF troops

    By TOI staffToday, 1:50 am
    Israeli security forces arrest a Palestinian man in Ramallah suspected in the murder of Israeli teen Ori Ansbacher on February 8, 2019. (Israel Police)
    A Palestinian man was arrested by Israeli security forces in Ramallah overnight Friday on suspicion of the brutal murder of the 19-year-old Israeli woman Ori Ansbacher in Jerusalem on Thursday, according to a joint statement from police and the Shin Bet.

    The suspect, a Palestinian resident of Hebron, was taken for questioning by the Shin Bet Security service, the statement said.

    A court-imposed gag order on the case was partially lifted to reveal the arrest of the suspect, the statement said, but all other details of the murder investigation remain barred from publication.

    Get The Times of Israel’s Daily Edition by email and never miss our top stories Free Sign Up

    Palestinian media outlets reported that undercover Israeli forces raided the Ramallah/el-Bireh area on Friday night, confiscating security cameras and arresting a Palestinian man.

    According to PA news outlet Wafa, IDF troops searched two residential buildings and the Jamal Abdel-Nasser Mosque, where a 30-year-old employee was arrested. The report said the Israeli troops confiscated security camera footage from the neighborhood as well as from the mosque.

    The raid sparked clashes with some local residents, who hurled rocks at the Israeli troops. The Palestinian Red Crescent said two Palestinians were treated for light injuries at hospitals in Ramallah.

    The raid came hours after Israeli authorities reportedly made a “significant breakthrough” in the Ansbacher murder investigation. No further details on the breakthrough were reported due to the gag order.

    The body of Ansbacher, an Israeli teen from the West Bank settlement of Tekoa, was found at Ein Yael, located south of Jerusalem late Thursday. Ein Yael lies between the Jerusalem Biblical Zoo and the West Bank village of Walaja. The murder was described by Israeli authorities as brutal; Ansbacher was said to have been stabbed multiple times.

    Channel 13 said late Friday that police believe the motive for the killing was likely “nationalistic” — the term generally used for Palestinian terrorism — and that searches were being carried out in the West Bank. The TV reports stressed, however, that a criminal motive had not been ruled out, and nor had “a combination of the two” motives.

    Ansbacher was buried in her hometown of Tekoa earlier on Friday and politicians from across the political spectrum issued statements of condolence.

    Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu issued a statement on the murder, saying Ansbacher was killed “with shocking brutality.”

    Friends and relatives attend the funeral of Ori Ansbacher, in the West Bank settlement of Tekoa, February 8, 2019 (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)
    “At this difficult hour we all embrace the Ansbacher family and the people of Tekoa. The security forces are investigating the murder — we will find those responsible for it, and we will bring the matter to justice,” the prime minister pledged.

    She was carrying out a year of national service at a youth center in Jerusalem at the time of her death.

  4. A few more whoppers: What does the author mean when he writes that the Jordanian government has given the Palestinians in Jordan citizenship, but “in a limited capacity?” IN other words, second-class citizens. Why should the U.S. government support a government that treats the majority of its citizens as second class?

    *

    The popular phrase “Jordan is not Palestine” was and remains a vital national security concern in the kingdom.

    If the “indigenous” Jordanians, and the Jordanian government, really regard the Palestinians in Jordan as a “national security” threat, why do they want the United Nations to spend billions of dollars to keep them in Jordan? Why not just let them leave?

    *Jordan has no binding “international commitments” that prevent it from granting full citizenship rights to its Palestinian majority, or that require it to permit UNWRA to operate on its territory. THese are unilateral decisions of the Jordanian government, which it could change if it wanted to.
    *

    They are still considered “stateless” awaiting repatriation, as provided by Jordan’s legal, regional, and international commitments. The popular phrase “Jordan is not Palestine” was and remains a vital national security concern in the kingdom.

    If the Palestinians are Jordanian citizens, how can they be “stateless?” Why should they be “awaiting repatriation” to what is now Israel, a country where very few of them ever lived, and which could not absorb thaem without committing “national suicide?” If the author thinks that the U,S, should not pressure Jordan to “commit national suicide,” why does he demand that Israel do so, and that the U.S. do so as well? And why does he claim that the Trump administrations refusal to demand that Israel committ suicide is “pandering to Israel?”

    *Why do the Palestinians after waging an agressive terror war against Israel for a hundred years, and murdering thousands of Jewish civilians, ‘

    a party equally deserving of sovereignty and security

    with Israel?

  5. This article is so filled with falsehoods and specious arguments that it is difficult to know where to start.
    I can not provide a comprehensive list of them or refute them in detail here.

    But here are a few of the worst whoppers:

    * The overwhelming majority of the Palestinian refugees of 1948 left their homes voluntarily, often in reponse to advice or pressure from Arab leaders. Even Mahmoud Abbas, in an unguarded moment, admitted an interview on PA television that his family voluntarily evacuated Safed in 1948, taking the youthful Mahmoud with them, even though no Israeli told them that they had to leave, because of their unfounded fear that the Israelis would seek revence for the massacre of Jews by Safadi Arabs in 1929.

    The UNRWA administration is every bit as corrupt as the Jordanian government, so continuing to pour money into its coffers will do nothing to reduce corruption in Jordan. Money earmarked for genuinely poor Jordan-Palestinians is no more likely to reach those who really need it than if it passes through Jordanian government hands.

    In any case, why are we pouring money into the hands of a corrupt government, when the money never reaches the Jordanians who are most in need of it?

    *The so-called “refugee camps” are permanent towns and urban neighborhoods, not camps.

    *Why should those falsely classified as “refugees” receive extensive benefits not available to other Jordanian citizens, or f or that matter, to the genuine Syrian refugees in Jordan?

    *If Jordan’s financial problems are really caused by tax evasion, why should American taxpayers have to foot the bill for these tax evaders?

  6. Opinion: Trump’s greatest contribution – stripping away Palestinians’ phony ‘refugee’ status

    The naturalization of the Palestinian diaspora in Arab countries is potentially the most significant element in Trump’s “ultimate deal.”

    By Martin Sherman

    Naturalization of refugees

    This is the naturalization of the Palestinian diaspora, numbering several million, resident for decades in various countries across the Arab world — particularly Jordan, Syria and Jordan.

    This development is an upshot of the Trump administration’s laudable approach to the anomalous United Nations agency for Palestinian refugees, UNRWA (The United Nation Relief and Works). I have detailed elsewhere why UNRWA is such an egregious and injurious anomaly and what pernicious consequences result from this perverse situation.

    It will suffice here to point out that because of the unique (read “anomalous”) definition that UNRWA has for determining who is a refugee and its mandate regarding how they are to be dealt with, the number of designated “refugees” has increased dramatically over time.

    his is in stark contradiction to all other groups of refugees in the world, who are under the auspices of another U.N. entity, the U.N. High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR) — and whose numbers typically decrease over time

    In this matter, the U.S. administration has — despite hitherto unexplained and inexplicable Israeli reluctance — exposed the fraudulent fiasco of UNRWA. As its erstwhile biggest benefactor, the U.S. has retracted all funding from the organization.

    But more importantly, it has focused a glaring spotlight on the myth of the “Palestinian refugees” and the spectacularly inflated number of such alleged “refugees” — which even include those who have long acquired citizenship of some other country.

    This salutary U.S. initiative has the potential to rescind the recognition of the bulk of the Palestinian diaspora as “refugees.” Thus, even if they continue to receive international aid to help ameliorate their humanitarian situation, this will not be as potential returnees to their alleged homeland in Israel.

    Phony ‘refugee’ status

    Clearly, once the Palestinian diaspora is stripped of its fraudulent “refugee” status, the door is then open to settling them in third party countries, other than their claimed homeland, and to their naturalization as citizens of these counties—as is the case with other refugee groups in the world.

    In this regard, the Trump administration has reportedly undertaken an important initiative by informing several Arab countries that he plans to disclose a citizenship plan for Palestinian refugees living in those countries. Significantly, Palestinian sources told a London-based news outlet: “Trump informed several Arab countries that the plan will include Jordan, Syria, and Lebanon.”

    According to these sources: “the big surprise [is] that these countries have already agreed to naturalize Palestinian refugees.” Moreover, it was reported that senior U.S. officials are expected to seriously raise an American initiative with several Arab countries — including stipulation of the tools to implement it, the number of refugees, the required expenses, and the logistics demanded from hosting countries for supervising the process of “naturalization of refugees.”

    It is difficult to overstate the significance of such an initiative. For no matter what the other elements of the “ultimate deal” are, it has the potential to remove the ominous overhang of a five-million-strong (and counting) Palestinian diaspora that threatens to inundate the Jewish state and nullify its ability to function as the nation-state of the Jewish people.

    It is, therefore, an element that deserves firm support and encouragement — and should be resolutely pursued as a “stand alone” initiative — irrespective of how one envisages any prospective division of the land between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea

    Full article at https://worldisraelnews.com/opinion-trumps-greatest-contribution-stripping-away-palestinians-phony-refugee-status/?fbclid=IwAR0-Yrzi3FU9CZxJBsqkGfJgmRX_Ty9Xom7DRj5isFHyfH0kkaZ7nUUxKEk#.XF1dssRQzxI.facebook

  7. About the article headline…Who is the argument between.??? (very ungrammatical but effective) t assumed that a proposal had already been made and an argument about it had ensued. …So…Between whom…??

    The sub headline begins with “If”.which must introduce pure speculation….

    I differ with the writer…The Trump administration is intending to GIVE the refugees status -not strip them. What status has a refugee.??…in the REAL world I mean…?? It’s “interesting” to see this sycophant referring to Jordan as the US’s “closest ally and partner in the Middle East”….I thought that this title belonged to someone else…. ..I’ve just forgotten who for a moment…. I see a mention of “Jordan’s core political corrosion” but not a word about “corruption” so-far… Oh yes, a little mention of it at last. But here…Jordan considers UNWRA a “protector of Palestinian funds” …Folks.. I just can’t stop laughing… This is a comedy routine…

    I just can’t read any further; I have a pain in my stomach from laughing. Hollywood should grab up this guy… (take him for a spin in a helicopter ..3000 ft. open the door and shove him out……Finis….!!t….