Any change to Jordan’s custodianship over the holy sites in Jerusalem could undermine King Abdullah
By Amos Harel, HAARETZ
King Abdullah II of Jordan listens as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a news conference in the Rose Garden of the White House, April 5, 2017. Bloomberg
Earlier this week, Israel and Jordan made an unusual announcement – that Netanyahu would meet in Amman with King Abdullah. Just a year ago, there was a major, public crisis between the two countries over the stationing of metal detectors on the Temple Mount and an incident in which an Israeli security guard shot two Jordanians to death in Amman.
Relations have been repaired since then, and security coordination continued throughout that time. But the king’s decision to host Netanyahu is no trivial matter considering the anti-Israel mood in the kingdom, and especially the widespread demonstrations against Abdullah’s government.
Nevertheless, what hung in the balance was simply too important: Israel and Jordan have a shared interest in getting the Iranians out of southern Syria and preparing for the fallout of U.S. President Donald Trump’s planned peace initiative.
The president’s special envoy, Jason Greenblatt, and his adviser son-in-law, Jared Kushner, conducted an intensive campaign in regional capitals this week. The target date for unveiling the initiative is uncertain, and all previous speculation about the matter has proven wrong. Gradually, however, details about what the plan is expected to include, which seem to be fairly credible, are beginning to pile up.
The Americans are indeed planning to offer the Palestinians Abu Dis rather than East Jerusalem as the capital of their state. In exchange, Israel will withdraw from three to five Arab villages and neighborhoods east and north of Jerusalem. The Old City will remain in Israel’s hands.
Trump’s proposal also apparently won’t include the evacuation of isolated Israeli settlements, and certainly not a compromise on the settlement blocs. The Jordan Valley will remain under full Israeli control, and the Palestinian state will be demilitarized, with no army or heavy weaponry.
If this is indeed the final offer, it will be seen as a “state-minus,” which is very far from what the Palestinians are demanding. Therefore, Ramallah will apparently view it as a nonstarter. The sweeteners the administration will offer the Palestinians are mainly economic – a huge package of incentives, undoubtedly partly funded by Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states.
The Jordanians are worried about the possibility of another provision being included in the plan – one that would give the Saudis and the Gulf states a foothold on the Temple Mount, for instance, by managing the entrances to the Mount. That would be a blow to the king’s status as defender of Jerusalem’s holy places. This status is one of the cornerstones of his rule’s legitimacy at home, which is constantly being challenged (and Jordan is far from being a democratic exemplar for the region, contrary to what was claimed in one recent Haaretz op-ed).
While in the Gulf, Greenblatt and Kushner also discussed financing for projects to improve infrastructure in the Gaza Strip. But approval of those projects – of which the most urgent is strengthening Gaza’s power supply – is proceeding lackadaisically, even as Israel and Hamas trade blows and slide continually toward another major military conflict.
Hamas has evidently erred in evaluating Israel’s considerations. Netanyahu, in diametric contrast to the left’s claims, has demonstrated considerable caution in recent months and refrained from warmongering. Even now, due to his assessment of the nation’s priorities, he would prefer not to escalate in Gaza so as not to disrupt efforts against Iran, especially in Syria.
But the incessant friction along the border – the demonstrations with their mass Palestinian causalities, the incendiary kites and, recently, heavy rocket and mortar barrages as well – reduce his political room to maneuver. Ministers in the security cabinet, like Gilad Erdan (on Thursday), are already speaking openly about the possibility of a large-scale military operation in Gaza in the near future.
When the area near Gaza is burning, Netanyahu’s patience – which is seconded by Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman and senior IDF officers – will eventually come to an end. This likelihood is bolstered by the information that the kite launchings have switched from being the private start-up of some young men in Gaza to an organized operation by Hamas’ military wing. Operatives from the organization’s brigades and battalions have set up manufacturing and distribution systems for the incendiary kites and the booby-trapped helium balloons, which are delivered regularly to the people who actually put them in the air.
Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas in Gaza, has what he views as pretty good negotiating cards in his hand: two Israeli civilians and the bodies of two IDF soldiers. But instead of starting negotiations that would exploit this advantage to obtain a deal that would ease Gaza’s humanitarian distress, he has insisted on playing with fire, which is liable to bring another disaster down upon the territory.
Netanyahu’s, and therefore Israel’s approach to the Jordan situation is ALL WRONG, always has been. Even in the 1967 War, the Israel Govt begged Jordan to keep out of it when the obvious first result of a Jewish victory would be the long desired Temple Mount, and Yehuda and Shomron, the Jewish Heritage Land….
Nothing shows this up more clearly than the Trump dealings with Nth. Korea.
The metal detectors should have been placed on the Temple Mount right after the first atrocity that occurred there, many years ago, and KEPT there. The latest incident at the Israel Embassy in Amman should have been followed by a burst of outrage from Israel and the government, demanding redress and compensation.
It should have gone like this…..” Listen kingele, this won’t do. You MUST stop your Anti-Jew diatribes, your inflaming the people against Israel and Jews. You must remove the Anti-Jew Apartheid laws, You must keep the WAKF in control or we’ll take away your Temple Mount privileges,. How you do it is your own problem….. Also we’ll stop supporting you against your enemies, and your kingdom will go down the drain in a week once the news gets out.
Israel doesn’t have to worry abut getting no co-operation from your defunct country, because we can more than well enough take care of ourselves, and your and our enemies know this.
So behave yourself from now on or suffer the consequences.?
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There is a remarkably similar “Trump System” example in an episode from the ring career of the great middleweight Champion Marvelous Marvin Hagler. He was promoted by Bob Arum, the prominent Jewish promoter, whose bitter rival, Don King, the Negro maestro, also a great promoter. Hagler, who began and ended his career of maybe 15 years,with Arum, never had a contract, their deal being sealed with merely a handshake.
King knew this, and at one point, began to “whisper in the ears” of Hagler’s wife, to get her to persuade Hagler, to leave Arum , and sign with him. . So she began trying. Hagler turned on her and laid down the law…
“if you try to interfere with my business arrangements again, I’ll stop the payments on your mother’s house and stop supporting your family..” ..
And that was THAT…..!! Hagler never left Arum, and retired eventually,
Was there today no sign of troop movement. Was also there prior to (when was it 2009?) Had to fight your way through the tanks. As for a deal as mentioned in last paragraph only ISRAEL could negotiate 2 dead uns + 2 misfits for sea port and airport.