A Farewell to Paris

13 Comments / 13 Comments

1. Climate’ activists seek to ditch polar bear pics as growing populations defy ’emergency’ narrative http://www.theamericanmirror.com/climate-activists-seek-to-ditch-polar-bear-pics-as-growing-populations-defy-emergency-narrative/?fbclid=IwAR1jDXf4pVAwGLJ2NTLAqp34NNtYhqH_V3tvkTnqcjRlpilrSilAsSUycWs

2. The president’ supporters, myself among them, most certainly did take notice of this milestone. Withdrawing from the Paris Accords was one of his campaign promises to us in 2016 and just one of the many he kept. The Paris Accords were just another attempt to dismantle the U.S. economy by our rivals. As the article notes, it exempted the major polluters, China and India. The EU is also a major competitor. Thank you, President Trump. MAGA. Man made climate change is a hoax. It’s only function is to bring down my country, which we will oppose tooth and nail.

3. @ Felix Quigley:

   I totally agree Felix, nobody know how right you are more than myself.

   Yet, a strange phenomenon about Irish Jews (excepting myself) No one, literally NOBODY, is more loyal nor nostalgic about Owld Oireland than former Irish Jews. The expatriates organised “The Yiddishe Sons of Erin”…., “The Irish J.I.G”. (Jewish Irish Groups) and so forth. On several occasions I’ve seen front page newspaper photos of the Jewish-Irish contingent in New York’s St Patrick Day’s Parades actually leading, out in front, and copiously placarded.. wearing sashes liberally shamrock-ed.. green cardboard top-hats, etc.., people I went to school with, and grew up with.. I always believed that they were mashugga, Of course they lived in more secluded Dublin neighbourhoods, were NOT fighters, and didn’t go through the daily fires as I did . But still…………..??

   The stink of paraffin oil still remains in my senses, from passing the open door churches, several times weekly. I still abhor red tasseled velvet coverings, (along with small “sacred heart: lamps………….!!!)

4. @ Felix Quigley:

   My understanding is that the Jewish leaders were subdued, first by Samuel, an avowed Zionist, who really didn’t know what he was doing, and later by Sidney Webb’s “new rules” (whom I think I once briefly met at dinner in a house in which I was week-ending… .) , Samuel’s replacement, Lord Plumer, was a shining light, by comparison with all others, sadly far too brief and in poor health. In fact the whole British installed cabal of officialdom, heavily favoured the Arabs. There was not a single joint Jewish-Arab Committee which did not have a large preponderance of Arabs, who could always out-vote the Jews. Arab riots nd slaughters were endemic, except during Plumer’s time.

   Until Husseini was “appointed” he was a comparatively obscure individual, and Samuel, presumably for placatory reasons and a victim of Husseini’s glibness and takiyha, chose him, a young man,over the heads of many senior and well respected Arab elders. His true colours were not shown until he attained power,. Britain was lamentabley a failure. Apart from the totally Jew-Hating Foreign and Colonial Office, There was also a hierachy of military officials..like Storrs, who were openly Anti-Semitic.

   I have Samuel’s book, well meaning but very obviously self-exculpating

   All the subsequent tragedies and bloodshed could have been stopped at the very outset, as you so aptly observe, by the obliteration of Husseini,because there was no one more singularly suited for the plague which came later on the Jewish People, than he. I can only assume that the then Zionist organisation did not have their act together, nor any set policy, to send a hit-team after him. THIS would have been the right and proper thing to do.

5. The sickness is not to discuss. Pattern set by Trump. A sick nobody all right!

6. This is interesting and idea is owing to Frank here

   https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg21929283-500-look-to-the-past-for-the-fuel-of-the-future/

   What impresses on me is that they use the existing pipework

7. Edgar

   Yet there is something in it as you must know so very well. The hatred of Jews in Ireland could never disappear because of this very situation or rather patterns of thinking, that there are people who branch off, take a position, and then you can never get through. So the Irish had this lurking thing about the Jews which had to come from the Catholic Church especially. Just had to. Now carried into the present by all types. It is a closed system and has to be ripped apart to solve it. Thinking aloud here …to confront Jew Hatred in Ireland is not nicey nicey…it is hard brutal confrontation as far as I understand it. That is my future and I am a quiet type.

8. @ Edgar G.:
   Edgar I agree. In fact it is worse than rubbish it is lies.

   In a sense it is the first real big conspiracy theory and it has set the pattern for so much of our present woes.

   the eladership is just not there in Israel. that is the first foundational point.

   Edgar may not know about Yugoslavia much, but we followed Jared Israel and Francisco Gil White on this here on Israpundit. These were smart people and they could never understand why the leaders in Israel did not run with the Hajj Amin el Husseini information. It is more than a story it is vital information.

9. ADAM YOU ARE RIGHT

   I think the lean is to biologists, centre is Oxford England, with possible ties to India. Lot to learn here. Lucky to have Adam with a background in Trinity College…have I got that right…

   BioScience | Oxford Academic – Oxford Journals
   https://academic.oup.com › bioscience

   An official journal of the American Institute of Biological Sciences. Publishes overviews of current research in biology, essays, and discussion on education,

   https://academic.oup.com/bioscience

   It is connected to Oxford university Press which prints its Journal BioScience
   https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/about_us

   There is a Facebook page associated
   https://www.facebook.com/OUPAcademic

   Speaking personally we must remember that a CO2 molecule does not have a consciousness. Only man can tackle this.

   The facts about Paris are sobering and as stated would have made a difference of warming point two, that is if fully implemented, and all on board including US. So total failure in concept and implementation even more so.

   Adam I am not giving up. And here I enter into conflict with many today, very strong conflict, with Jews who are friends, and I ask since when did Jews in their long history ever give up? even after the horror of the Holocaust they picked up and fought to continue.

   But it is a contradiction. In fact you have reentered the discussion so you actually as Jew have not given up.

10. @ Frank Adam:

    Whatever you think, you don’t need to quote New Testament rubbish.

11. This statement in the journal BioScience statement by scientistists (mainly biologists, my impression is), does cite many scientific studies in its notes. However, it does show a certain left-leaning economic and political orientation, which tends to confirm what critics of the climate theory allege. Still , they present more scientific data than the critics to support their views than the deniers. Unfortunately “we” may not know who was right in this controversy until 2090-2100, the time-frame most climatologists have estimated global warming is likely to have major worldwide impacts. By that time, all of us Israpundit readers will be long gone.

    My guess is that the human race may have destroyed itself by warfare by that time, and the small number of survivors will be so devastated by wars that they will barely notice climate change. .

12. This is a statement signed by 11,000 individuals who are described as scientists (not necessarily climate scientists) that has just been published by BioScience, which describes itself as a peer-reviewed scintific journal with hundred peer reviewers for article. Just giving it here to show the other side of the controversy. The Journal seems to be connceted to a university in Oregon (of which I know nothing).

    World Scientists’ Warning of a Climate Emergency

    Scientists have a moral obligation to clearly warn humanity of any catastrophic threat and to “tell it like it is.” On the basis of this obligation and the graphical indicators presented below, we declare, with more than 11,000 scientist signatories from around the world, clearly and unequivocally that planet Earth is facing a climate emergency.

    Exactly 40 years ago, scientists from 50 nations met at the First World Climate Conference (in Geneva 1979) and agreed that alarming trends for climate change made it urgently necessary to act. Since then, similar alarms have been made through the 1992 Rio Summit, the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, and the 2015 Paris Agreement, as well as scores of other global assemblies and scientists’ explicit warnings of insufficient progress (Ripple et al. 2017). Yet greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are still rapidly rising, with increasingly damaging effects on the Earth’s climate. An immense increase of scale in endeavors to conserve our biosphere is needed to avoid untold suffering due to the climate crisis (IPCC 2018).

    Most public discussions on climate change are based on global surface temperature only, an inadequate measure to capture the breadth of human activities and the real dangers stemming from a warming planet (Briggs et al. 2015). Policymakers and the public now urgently need access to a set of indicators that convey the effects of human activities on GHG emissions and the consequent impacts on climate, our environment, and society. Building on prior work (see supplemental file S2), we present a suite of graphical vital signs of climate change over the last 40 years for human activities that can affect GHG emissions and change the climate (figure 1), as well as actual climatic impacts (figure 2). We use only relevant data sets that are clear, understandable, systematically collected for at least the last 5 years, and updated at least annually.

    Figure 1.

    Change in global human activities from 1979 to the present. These indicators are linked at least in part to climate change. In panel (f), annual tree cover loss may be for any reason (e.g., wildfire, harvest within tree plantations, or conversion of forests to agricultural land). Forest gain is not involved in the calculation of tree cover loss. In panel (h), hydroelectricity and nuclear energy are shown in figure S2. The rates shown in panels are the percentage changes per decade across the entire range of the time series. The annual data are shown using gray points. The black lines are local regression smooth trend lines. Abbreviation: Gt oe per year, gigatonnes of oil equivalent per year. Sources and additional details about each variable are provided in supplemental file S2, including table S2.
    Change in global human activities from 1979 to the present. These indicators are linked at least in part to climate change. In panel (f), annual tree cover loss may be for any reason (e.g., wildfire, harvest within tree plantations, or conversion of forests to agricultural land). Forest gain is not involved in the calculation of tree cover loss. In panel (h), hydroelectricity and nuclear energy are shown in figure S2. The rates shown in panels are the percentage changes per decade across the entire range of the time series. The annual data are shown using gray points. The black lines are local regression smooth trend lines. Abbreviation: Gt oe per year, gigatonnes of oil equivalent per year. Sources and additional details about each variable are provided in supplemental file S2, including table S2.

    Figure 2.

    Climatic response time series from 1979 to the present. The rates shown in the panels are the decadal change rates for the entire ranges of the time series. These rates are in percentage terms, except for the interval variables (d, f, g, h, i, k), where additive changes are reported instead. For ocean acidity (pH), the percentage rate is based on the change in hydrogen ion activity, aH+ (where lower pH values represent greater acidity). The annual data are shown using gray points. The black lines are local regression smooth trend lines. Sources and additional details about each variable are provided in supplemental file S2, including table S3.
    Climatic response time series from 1979 to the present. The rates shown in the panels are the decadal change rates for the entire ranges of the time series. These rates are in percentage terms, except for the interval variables (d, f, g, h, i, k), where additive changes are reported instead. For ocean acidity (pH), the percentage rate is based on the change in hydrogen ion activity, aH+ (where lower pH values represent greater acidity). The annual data are shown using gray points. The black lines are local regression smooth trend lines. Sources and additional details about each variable are provided in supplemental file S2, including table S3.

    The climate crisis is closely linked to excessive consumption of the wealthy lifestyle. The most affluent countries are mainly responsible for the historical GHG emissions and generally have the greatest per capita emissions (table S1). In the present article, we show general patterns, mostly at the global scale, because there are many climate efforts that involve individual regions and countries. Our vital signs are designed to be useful to the public, policymakers, the business community, and those working to implement the Paris climate agreement, the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals, and the Aichi Biodiversity Targets.

    Profoundly troubling signs from human activities include sustained increases in both human and ruminant livestock populations, per capita meat production, world gross domestic product, global tree cover loss, fossil fuel consumption, the number of air passengers carried, carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and per capita CO2 emissions since 2000 (figure 1, supplemental file S2). Encouraging signs include decreases in global fertility (birth) rates (figure 1b), decelerated forest loss in the Brazilian Amazon (figure 1g), increases in the consumption of solar and wind power (figure 1h), institutional fossil fuel divestment of more than US$7 trillion (figure 1j), and the proportion of GHG emissions covered by carbon pricing (figure 1m). However, the decline in human fertility rates has substantially slowed during the last 20 years (figure 1b), and the pace of forest loss in Brazil’s Amazon has now started to increase again (figure 1g). Consumption of solar and wind energy has increased 373% per decade, but in 2018, it was still 28 times smaller than fossil fuel consumption (combined gas, coal, oil; figure 1h). As of 2018, approximately 14.0% of global GHG emissions were covered by carbon pricing (figure 1m), but the global emissions-weighted average price per tonne of carbon dioxide was only around US$15.25 (figure 1n). A much higher carbon fee price is needed (IPCC 2018, section 2.5.2.1). Annual fossil fuel subsidies to energy companies have been fluctuating, and because of a recent spike, they were greater than US$400 billion in 2018 (figure 1o).

    Especially disturbing are concurrent trends in the vital signs of climatic impacts (figure 2, supplemental file S2). Three abundant atmospheric GHGs (CO2, methane, and nitrous oxide) continue to increase (see figure S1 for ominous 2019 spike in CO2), as does global surface temperature (figure 2a–2d). Globally, ice has been rapidly disappearing, evidenced by declining trends in minimum summer Arctic sea ice, Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, and glacier thickness worldwide (figure 2e–2h). Ocean heat content, ocean acidity, sea level, area burned in the United States, and extreme weather and associated damage costs have all been trending upward (figure 2i–2n). Climate change is predicted to greatly affect marine, freshwater, and terrestrial life, from plankton and corals to fishes and forests (IPCC 2018, 2019). These issues highlight the urgent need for action.

    Despite 40 years of global climate negotiations, with few exceptions, we have generally conducted business as usual and have largely failed to address this predicament (figure 1). The climate crisis has arrived and is accelerating faster than most scientists expected (figure 2, IPCC 2018). It is more severe than anticipated, threatening natural ecosystems and the fate of humanity (IPCC 2019). Especially worrisome are potential irreversible climate tipping points and nature’s reinforcing feedbacks (atmospheric, marine, and terrestrial) that could lead to a catastrophic “hothouse Earth,” well beyond the control of humans (Steffen et al. 2018). These climate chain reactions could cause significant disruptions to ecosystems, society, and economies, potentially making large areas of Earth uninhabitable.

    To secure a sustainable future, we must change how we live, in ways that improve the vital signs summarized by our graphs. Economic and population growth are among the most important drivers of increases in CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion (Pachauri et al. 2014, Bongaarts and O’Neill 2018); therefore, we need bold and drastic transformations regarding economic and population policies. We suggest six critical and interrelated steps (in no particular order) that governments, businesses, and the rest of humanity can take to lessen the worst effects of climate change. These are important steps but are not the only actions needed or possible (Pachauri et al. 2014, IPCC 2018, 2019).

    Energy

    The world must quickly implement massive energy efficiency and conservation practices and must replace fossil fuels with low-carbon renewables (figure 1h) and other cleaner sources of energy if safe for people and the environment (figure S2). We should leave remaining stocks of fossil fuels in the ground (see the timelines in IPCC 2018) and should carefully pursue effective negative emissions using technology such as carbon extraction from the source and capture from the air and especially by enhancing natural systems (see “Nature” section). Wealthier countries need to support poorer nations in transitioning away from fossil fuels. We must swiftly eliminate subsidies for fossil fuels (figure 1o) and use effective and fair policies for steadily escalating carbon prices to restrain their use.

    Short-lived pollutants

    We need to promptly reduce the emissions of short-lived climate pollutants, including methane (figure 2b), black carbon (soot), and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs). Doing this could slow climate feedback loops and potentially reduce the short-term warming trend by more than 50% over the next few decades while saving millions of lives and increasing crop yields due to reduced air pollution (Shindell et al. 2017). The 2016 Kigali amendment to phase down HFCs is welcomed.

    Nature

    We must protect and restore Earth’s ecosystems. Phytoplankton, coral reefs, forests, savannas, grasslands, wetlands, peatlands, soils, mangroves, and sea grasses contribute greatly to sequestration of atmospheric CO2. Marine and terrestrial plants, animals, and microorganisms play significant roles in carbon and nutrient cycling and storage. We need to quickly curtail habitat and biodiversity loss (figure 1f–1g), protecting the remaining primary and intact forests, especially those with high carbon stores and other forests with the capacity to rapidly sequester carbon (proforestation), while increasing reforestation and afforestation where appropriate at enormous scales. Although available land may be limiting in places, up to a third of emissions reductions needed by 2030 for the Paris agreement (less than 2°C) could be obtained with these natural climate solutions (Griscom et al. 2017).

    Food

    Eating mostly plant-based foods while reducing the global consumption of animal products (figure 1c–d), especially ruminant livestock (Ripple et al. 2014), can improve human health and significantly lower GHG emissions (including methane in the “Short-lived pollutants” step). Moreover, this will free up croplands for growing much-needed human plant food instead of livestock feed, while releasing some grazing land to support natural climate solutions (see “Nature” section). Cropping practices such as minimum tillage that increase soil carbon are vitally important. We need to drastically reduce the enormous amount of food waste around the world.

    Economy

    Excessive extraction of materials and overexploitation of ecosystems, driven by economic growth, must be quickly curtailed to maintain long-term sustainability of the biosphere. We need a carbon-free economy that explicitly addresses human dependence on the biosphere and policies that guide economic decisions accordingly. Our goals need to shift from GDP growth and the pursuit of affluence toward sustaining ecosystems and improving human well-being by prioritizing basic needs and reducing inequality.

    Population

    Still increasing by roughly 80 million people per year, or more than 200,000 per day (figure 1a–b), the world population must be stabilized—and, ideally, gradually reduced—within a framework that ensures social integrity. There are proven and effective policies that strengthen human rights while lowering fertility rates and lessening the impacts of population growth on GHG emissions and biodiversity loss. These policies make family-planning services available to all people, remove barriers to their access and achieve full gender equity, including primary and secondary education as a global norm for all, especially girls and young women (Bongaarts and O’Neill 2018).

    Conclusions

    Mitigating and adapting to climate change while honoring the diversity of humans entails major transformations in the ways our global society functions and interacts with natural ecosystems. We are encouraged by a recent surge of concern. Governmental bodies are making climate emergency declarations. Schoolchildren are striking. Ecocide lawsuits are proceeding in the courts. Grassroots citizen movements are demanding change, and many countries, states and provinces, cities, and businesses are responding.

    As the Alliance of World Scientists, we stand ready to assist decision-makers in a just transition to a sustainable and equitable future. We urge widespread use of vital signs, which will better allow policymakers, the private sector, and the public to understand the magnitude of this crisis, track progress, and realign priorities for alleviating climate change. The good news is that such transformative change, with social and economic justice for all, promises far greater human well-being than does business as usual. We believe that the prospects will be greatest if decision-makers and all of humanity promptly respond to this warning and declaration of a climate emergency and act to sustain life on planet Earth, our only home.

    Contributing reviewers

    Franz Baumann, Ferdinando Boero, Doug Boucher, Stephen Briggs, Peter Carter, Rick Cavicchioli, Milton Cole, Eileen Crist, Dominick A. DellaSala, Paul Ehrlich, Iñaki Garcia-De-Cortazar, Daniel Gilfillan, Alison Green, Tom Green, Jillian Gregg, Paul Grogan, John Guillebaud, John Harte, Nick Houtman, Charles Kennel, Christopher Martius, Frederico Mestre, Jennie Miller, David Pengelley, Chris Rapley, Klaus Rohde, Phil Sollins, Sabrina Speich, David Victor, Henrik Wahren, and Roger Worthington.

    Funding

    The Worthy Garden Club furnished partial funding for this project.

    Project website

    To view the Alliance of World Scientists website or to sign this article, go to https://scientistswarning.forestry.oregonstate.edu.

    Supplemental material

    A list of the signatories appears in supplemental file S1.

    Author Biographical

    William J. Ripple (bill.ripple@oregonstate.edu) and Christopher Wolf (christopher.wolf@oregonstate.edu) are affiliated with the Department of Forest Ecosystems and Society at Oregon State University, in Corvallis and contributed equally to the work. Thomas M. Newsome is affiliated with the School of Life and Environmental Sciences at The University of Sydney, in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Phoebe Barnard is affiliated with the Conservation Biology Institute, in Corvallis, Oregon, and with the African Climate and Development Initiative, at the University of Cape Town, in Cape Town, South Africa. William R. Moomaw is affiliated with The Fletcher School and the Global Development and Environment Institute, at Tufts University, in Medford, Massachusetts

    11,258 scientist signatories from 153 countries (list in supplemental file S1)

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    Author notes

    William J. Ripple and Christopher Wolf contributed equally to the work.

    © The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Institute of Biological Sciences.

13. Global warming, regardless of causes, is already causing sea level problems in Miami and other towns in Florida where Trump is off to live.

    Even so none so blind as those who will not see….