“Shoigu’s group is on the verge of collapse, and Sergei Kuzhugetovich (Shoigu) himself is in disgrace and, most likely, will resign,” said the widely followed Telegram channel Preemnik.
— By Stuart Williams for AFP 7 hours ago
Putin humiliated by Wagner coup with ’39 pilots and crew’ lost in worst day for air force
The Russian president faced pressure after losing a number of aircraft to the mercenary group, who remain a threat to Putin’s regime
By Will Stewart, Liam Ryder
14:07, Sun, Jun 25, 2023 | UPDATED: 16:59, Sun, Jun 25, 2023
Ah, Mercouris — one of my least favorite people. I don’t like watching his hyper-phony mannerisms, so I’ll deal with the headline.
Mecouris says that this revolt is already fizzling out.
I’ve just watched a BBC take on the past two days, consisting mainly of a couple Brits scratching their heads and wondering what just happened. With Mercouris saying a “revolt is fizzling out” shows he is about as aware of what’s going on as the Brits. I might as well jump in with my own opinion.
Last night, I posted, saying that Shoigu seems to have taken the upper hand FOR THE MOMENT. The situation in Moscow seems to have been:
1. Shoigu learns of Prigozhin’s highly successful peaceful occupation ot the HQ at Rostov-on-Don.
2. In Moscow, Shoigu’s forces vastly outnumber Putin’s palace guard, so Putin records a strongly anti-Prygozhyn pronouncement, then boogies out of town to a safe haven (safe from Shoigu, as well as from Prygozhyn).
3. Out of the clutches of Shoigu, Putin calls his frient-in-need, Lukashenko, asking him to please broker a deal.
4. Prygozhyn reads the tea leaves, and senses a chance to save his own hide while beginning the end of Shoigu, and strikes a sweetheart of a deal with Putin.
5. Prygozhyn heads to Belarus, his troops are let off the hook, and Putin returns to Moscow with doves of peace fluttering around him. The people love him, for his great salvation from danger.
6. Shoigu becomes the bad guy. His corruption is seen by many as the cause of this whole mess. His troops and fellow oligarchs have not rallied to his side during these events, and he needs to tread softly: Not only is Prygozhyn still alive, but Putin is still on good terms with him. Kadyrov has also shown a willingness to get involved; and Shoigu still has the highly-skilled and motivated Ukrainians to deal with.
7. Putin’s a clever fellow. Until Prygozhyn broke the ice, Moscow seemed headed towards a “forever war” with an ICC trial at the end of it. Now, however, he might be able to negotiate a deal with President Trump, similar to the one he made with Prygoshyn. Shoigu, of course, will disappear.
Let’s see how things turn out.
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Ted Belman
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— https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/06/25/future-of-putin-pal-shoigu-on-line-after-wagner-revolt-a81630
— https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1784320/Putin-humiliated-Wagner-coup-loses-20-combat-pilots
Ah, Mercouris — one of my least favorite people. I don’t like watching his hyper-phony mannerisms, so I’ll deal with the headline.
I’ve just watched a BBC take on the past two days, consisting mainly of a couple Brits scratching their heads and wondering what just happened. With Mercouris saying a “revolt is fizzling out” shows he is about as aware of what’s going on as the Brits. I might as well jump in with my own opinion.
Last night, I posted, saying that Shoigu seems to have taken the upper hand FOR THE MOMENT. The situation in Moscow seems to have been:
1. Shoigu learns of Prigozhin’s highly successful peaceful occupation ot the HQ at Rostov-on-Don.
2. In Moscow, Shoigu’s forces vastly outnumber Putin’s palace guard, so Putin records a strongly anti-Prygozhyn pronouncement, then boogies out of town to a safe haven (safe from Shoigu, as well as from Prygozhyn).
3. Out of the clutches of Shoigu, Putin calls his frient-in-need, Lukashenko, asking him to please broker a deal.
4. Prygozhyn reads the tea leaves, and senses a chance to save his own hide while beginning the end of Shoigu, and strikes a sweetheart of a deal with Putin.
5. Prygozhyn heads to Belarus, his troops are let off the hook, and Putin returns to Moscow with doves of peace fluttering around him. The people love him, for his great salvation from danger.
6. Shoigu becomes the bad guy. His corruption is seen by many as the cause of this whole mess. His troops and fellow oligarchs have not rallied to his side during these events, and he needs to tread softly: Not only is Prygozhyn still alive, but Putin is still on good terms with him. Kadyrov has also shown a willingness to get involved; and Shoigu still has the highly-skilled and motivated Ukrainians to deal with.
7. Putin’s a clever fellow. Until Prygozhyn broke the ice, Moscow seemed headed towards a “forever war” with an ICC trial at the end of it. Now, however, he might be able to negotiate a deal with President Trump, similar to the one he made with Prygoshyn. Shoigu, of course, will disappear.
Let’s see how things turn out.