Saudi Moderation Is Put to the Test

By Dr. James M. Dorsey, BESA   February 24, 2021

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Saudi Arabia’s combustible mix of religion, nationalism, and tradition as well as contradictions in the kingdom’s projection of itself as a driver of moderate Islam and a major voice in combating discrimination and racism has sparked a heated debate on social media. How the mix plays out will ultimately spotlight the outcome of Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman’s efforts to inject a significant dose of nationalism in a Saudi identity that historically has been shaped heavily by religion.

The contours of public engagement in Saudi Arabia are evident in the contrast between passionate debates over issues such as a proposal to remove the sword from the Saudi flag and discussions of what constitutes Muslim holy land and the status of Jerusalem as Islam’s third-holiest city versus far more cautious social media responses to changes in US policy as the Biden administration settles into office.

The debates suggest that Prince Muhammad’s efforts to shift the Saudi identity from religious to nationalist remain a work in progress.

Like the UAE, Saudi Arabia has emphasized its desire to end the six-year-old conflict in Yemen in response to President Joe Biden’s halt of sales of arms that would be used in offensive operations in that war-ravaged country.

The kingdom has been largely silent about the State Department’s subsequent announcement that it is revoking the Trump administration’s designation of Yemen’s Iranian-backed Houthis as terrorists.

The lack of debate about the Saudi response likely reflects popular sentiment in favor of an end to a military conflict that the Gulf States cannot win, as well as an endorsement of Biden’s reiteration of the US commitment to the security and stability of the kingdom.

It also reflects a keen understanding of what can and cannot be discussed in an environment in which the government tolerates no dissent or criticism of its policies.

So too does the lack of discussion of the government’s limited effort to evade being targeted by Biden’s insistence that his administration will make adherence to human rights a central plank of his foreign policy.

In an apparent gesture toward Biden, Saudi Arabia temporarily released two US-Saudi dual nationals, a journalist and a Shiite epidemiologist/writer who have been incarcerated since 2019.

In December 2020, a Saudi court sentenced US-Saudi physician and popular religious motivational speaker Walid Fitaihi to six years in prison on charges that included illegally obtaining US citizenship. The court upheld a freeze on his assets as well as a ban on travel that includes his family.

At about the same time, another court sentenced Loujain Hathloul, one of several detained women activists, to five years and eight months in jail, 34 months of which were suspended. The court ruling sparked expectations that she could be released next month.

By contrast, Saudis have been vocal about repeated reports that the UAE-backed Southern Transition Council (STC) in South Yemen maintains relations with Israel as well as the removal of TV personalities perceived to be critical of government policy.

Nationalism, as well as religion and tradition, appeared to be major drivers of criticism of a proposal by Saudi writer Fahd Ahmadi to remove the sword from the Saudi flag in a bid to counter perceptions of Islam as coercive and violent.

“The sword is a symbol of our Islamic culture and we should not be ashamed,” countered one challenger who identified himself on Twitter as Abu Wisam.

Similar drivers were evident in responses to articles in Saudi daily newspaper Okaz suggesting that Mecca rather than Israel is the holy land and that Jerusalem’s Al-Aqsa Mosque, Islam’s third-holiest site, was originally in a village near Mecca.

Widely viewed as an attempt to reduce Saudi hesitancy to establish diplomatic relations with Israel by downgrading the religious significance of Jerusalem, responses ranged from endorsement to insisting on the need to fight the Jews no matter what to outright personal attacks.

Many responses seemed to contrast starkly with government efforts to project the kingdom as a bastion of tolerance that rejects ethnic and religious discrimination.

A US public relations firm recently distributed letters to the CEOs of Facebook and Twitter by Muhammad Issa, head of the Mecca-based Muslim World League (MWL), which serves to propagate the kingdom’s projection of moderation.

“The MWL is calling for a zero-tolerance policy towards hate speech targeting Muslims or adherents to any religion and more robust procedures to see hateful content quickly removed … The MWL stands ready to begin an open and constructive dialogue with all social media companies so that we may together end the spread of hateful ideologies,” Issa wrote.

The debates suggest that, despite significant progress in Saudi endeavors to remove hate speech from schoolbooks and the recent publication in Saudi media of op-eds penned by Israeli authors, the League may do well to help counter hate speech at home alongside projecting the kingdom as being in the forefront of the fight against racism despite banning public religious expression by non-Muslims, including the opening of houses of worship.

A recent Israeli report on Saudi schoolbook reform suggested that amid a battle for the soul of Islam waged by Middle Eastern states, including Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Iran as well as Islamists, Muslim ultra-conservatives and external powers, “the efforts needed to induce deep change seem to remain herculean… The battle for the hearts and minds of people in the MENA [the Middle East and North Africa] region is far from concluded.”

If so, consistency in domestic policies as well as international projection is what is likely to separate the wheat from the chaff.

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Dr. James M. Dorsey, a non-resident Senior Associate at the BESA Center, is a senior fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies at Singapore’s Nanyang Technological University and co-director of the University of Würzburg’s Institute for Fan Culture.

February 24, 2021 | Comments »

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