T. Belman. 1.6% ( 5.2 million Americans) of US population have tested positive. 90% recover without medicine. of those about 3% died from the coronavirus. or so they say. the US classifies them as such even though the primary cause of death was something else. Let us assume that one third of those deaths only are due to the virus. Therefor the deaths properly attributed to the virus equals 1% of 1.6% 0r 0.016% of the total population.
Had the US permitted the use of Hydrochloroquine in the early stages, the death rate would have been lowered a further 79%. Gateway Pundit reports, “The latest international testing of hydroxychloroquine treatment of coronavirus shows countries that had early use of the drug had a 79% lower mortality rate than countries that banned the use of the safe malaria drug.”
By John J. Duncan, Jr., AM THINKER
As I write this, 1.6% of the U.S. population have tested positive for Coronavirus— 5.2 million out of our 330 million people.
This figure probably shocks most people, because the mainstream media has tried as hard as possible to make this pandemic seem far worse than it actually is.
Every day there are repeated news reports about passing another “grim milestone”.
Over 166,000 have died with their deaths being attributed to the virus.
However, there have been numerous reports that many, possibly even most, of these deaths have been with “comorbidities” that could have been the primary cause.
Age could also have been the main factor in many of the deaths, with some countries reporting two-thirds of the deceased being over 70 and many over 80.
Having had deaths in my own family (although not from the virus), I am certainly not making light of these deaths.
Every day, in the U.S., approximately 8,000 people die, and every death is sad, tragic, or even horrible.
Yet the best news about this virus is that well over 90% who have tested positive recover without medicines designed to treat it (or a vaccine designed to prevent it).
In the 1957-58 flu season, when I was 10 years old, the world was hit by another pandemic which also originated in China.
It was called the Asian Flu, and 1.1 million died from it, with 116,000 of those deaths being in the U.S. That would be the equivalent of 220,000 U.S. deaths now due to or much higher current population.
Nothing was shut down then. No mayors or governors were holding daily Asian Flu news conferences. There were not constant, 24-hour news reports about the numbers dying or testing positive.
The news readers on MSNBC and CNN can barely suppress their glee at reporting new hotspots and big increases in the numbers dying or testing positive, especially if they are in so-called red states with Republican governors.
Because of their absolute virulent hatred for President Trump, they are also eager to report bad economic news and seemingly grimace when they have to report that the stock market has gone up once again.
Blue state governors and mayors are doing as much as they can to keep things shut down and acting very heroic or holier than thou in doing so.
It is pretty obvious, though, that almost all who want to keep businesses closed and schools shut are people who are still drawing their paychecks or pensions. They don’t seem to realize that this can’t go on much longer without even those checks or pensions cut back or stopped altogether.
And if the Congress keeps voting to spend money like the worst drunken sailors in history, inflation will just about wipe out those checks and pensions anyway.
The saddest thing about this virus, without question, is the number of people who have died and who have become seriously ill.
However, it is also very sad that so many thousands of small businesses have been forced to shut down, a very significant number of which will never be able to re-open.
And it is especially unfair that so many big giants have been allowed to stay open, even seeing big increases in business they have gotten from the little guys that are no longer open.
All businesses, large and small, should have been allowed to stay open. Were it not for the fact that history is often written by the victors, this shutdown would soon be looked back upon as one of the biggest mistakes this country has ever made. Unfortunately, though, the losers in this situation are clearly those who have been made to close.
John J. Duncan, Jr. represented the Second District of Tennessee in the U.S. House for 30 years from 1988 to 2018.
@ Adam Dalgliesh:
Could be a fake investigation!
Why Trump does not request a commission on HCQ is mind boggling!
The FDA is imposing a DIKTAT on the medication!!!
There is also a damning report from Sarah Westall that demonstrates that there has been massive fraud and faking of numbers by the CDC in an effort to create the illusion that there is a COVID-19 pandemic:
“CDC Fatality Data Appears to be Manipulated: Lets See by Analyzing the Data
4 weeks ago
CDC Fatality Data Appears to be Manipulated: Lets See by Analyzing the Data
By Sarah Westall | SarahWestall.com
While I cannot prove that the CDC data has been manipulated without a further investigation and access to more information, the data I do have, from the CDC, triggers major red flags and points to some disturbing questions and the very real possibility that the CDC data has been manipulated. At the very least, this information makes it very clear that there needs to be a detailed investigation into the CDC and their data collection and sharing policies.
You may have read my past article, CDC #’s Show NO Statistically Significant Increase in Overall U.S. Death #’s, where I break down the CDC fatality numbers to show that there has not been a statistical increase of total deaths (considering other factors) from January thru early May of 2020 compared to that same period over the last 4 years. If we were experiencing a pandemic the number should be much higher and the data showed it was not. After all, politicians have shut down the entire economy and put a massive number of companies into bankruptcy and insolvency ruining countless lives. Politicians also locked down society, implemented questionable mask mandates, created an incredible amount of fear, shut down elective services (even ones for cancer), and many other unprecedented actions were implemented. Due to these measures, suicide rates are skyrocketing, domestic violence is dramatically increasing, and many other health and
Fatality Data Appears to be Manipulated: Lets See by Analyzing the Data
social problems are on the rise. What’s even more concerning is that politicians are using these numbers as the reasons for taking extreme measures.
With this as our backdrop, it is very important that the numbers we are relying on are correct. If the CDC numbers are wrong there should be hell to pay and history will not be kind. So how far would an agency go to construct a dataset to protect themselves, politicians, and any agenda in play? Obviously I do not know the answer to this, but let’s take a look at the numbers and you can decide for yourself.
Back on May 17th I downloaded nationwide CDC numbers to analyze the actual fatality rate in the country. I used these numbers to write my article, CDC #’s Show NO Statistically Significant Increase in Overall U.S. Death #’s. Today I decided to download the recent CDC numbers to see the latest numbers. I was shocked to learn that the CDC altered all their previous numbers that I used in my May report. The CDC increased the death numbers significantly; so now the deaths have increased by what you would expect based on the deaths they are claiming all over the main stream media (MSM). If you do not dig further (think MSM) you will just take the CDC at its word and trust they adjusted the numbers up based on late reporting. What is concerning is that they changed numbers, that when I downloaded in May were reported as 100%, without an adequate explanation. They did add the following disclaimer, but it leaves a lot of questions unanswered and raises other questions:
CDC Fatality Data Appears to be Manipulated: Lets See by Analyzing the Data
Now let’s look at the data and see if there are issues. The following chart shows the data I downloaded on May 17, 2020. The two yellow columns show the new fatality numbers and the delta from CDC data download today, July 18, 2020.
You can also see this chart in pdf: Fatalities CDC May vs July
So what are we looking at and why does it matter?
First, their disclaimer states that during a two week period, the numbers are still being tallied as the CDC waits for all regions to report in. You will see that for weeks 18 & 19,
the reporting percentages are 90.4% and 43.5%. This means the numbers for those two weeks are still being tallied and is understandable. Therefore, I did not use those weeks in my reporting.
Next you will see huge increases in week 17 (15,251 deaths added), week 16 (8,962 deaths added), week 15 (6,435 deaths added), week 14 (5001 deaths added), week 13 (3543 deaths added), week 12 (2642 deaths added), and so on. The increase in numbers now puts it back into pandemic levels and a surge of deaths expected. But, upon closer look, there are some serious issues.
How could all the regions report in at 100% and report numbers that are this inaccurate? What caused these inaccuracies?
The country is, and has been since the beginning, closing tracking all COVID-19 deaths. So it should be safe to assume that the increase of deaths are from other causes not reported. How did reporting regions not report this many deaths from other causes?
Why did the missing/non reporting deaths happen in a curve that closely matches the curve of COVID-19 deaths? This is the fact that seems impossible or, at the very least, needs a really good explanation from the CDC.
Numbers from each month in the 2020-2019 season were updated, then suddenly from one month to the next, there were no more updates. In other words, only deaths that effect the 2020-2019 season were updated, but deaths that effected the 2019-2018 season and earlier were not. For example, week 40 increased by 81 and week 41 increased by 192, etc… whereas week 1-39 did not change. Why would missing death certificates only be for this season and abruptly stop?
While these facts do not prove that manipulation has occurred, it does show that an investigation and further analysis is very important to understand what is really going on. “
The lockdowns are even worse than what Mr. Duncan describes, because there has been accumulating evidence that COVID-19 is not nearly as serious an illness as we have been told by the medical bureaucrats, and that the lockdowns were unnecessary and even harmful from a medical point of view. See this report on the Sarahwestall.com site:
“Explosive Report: Swiss Policy Research: Facts about Covid-19
2 months ago
Screen-Shot-2020-06-19-at-5.52.52-PM-800×304 Explosive Report: Swiss Policy Research: Facts about Covid-19
Updated: June 2020;
Fully referenced facts about Covid-19, provided by experts in the field, to help our readers make a realistic risk assessment. (Regular updates below)
“The only means to fight the plague is honesty.” (Albert Camus, 1947)
Overview
According to the latest immunological and serological studies, the overall lethality of Covid-19 (IFR) is about 0.1% and thus in the range of a strong seasonal influenza (flu).
In countries like the US, the UK, and also Sweden (without a lockdown), overall mortality since the beginning of the year is in the range of a strong influenza season; in countries like Germany, Austria and Switzerland, overall mortality is in the range of a mild influenza season.
Even in global “hotspots”, the risk of death for the general population of school and working age is typically in the range of a daily car ride to work. The risk was initially overestimated because many people with only mild or no symptoms were not taken into account.
Up to 80% of all test-positive persons remain symptom-free. Even among 70-79 year olds, about 60% remain symptom-free. Over 95% of all persons develop at most moderate symptoms.
Up to 60% of all persons may already have a certain cellular background immunity to Covid19 due to contact with previous coronaviruses (i.e. common cold viruses).
The median or average age of the deceased in most countries (including Italy) is over 80 years and only about 4% of the deceased had no serious preconditions. The age and risk profile of deaths thus essentially corresponds to normal mortality.
In many countries, up to two thirds of all extra deaths occurred in nursing homes, which do not benefit from a general lockdown. Moreover, in many cases it is not clear whether these people really died from Covid19 or from weeks of extreme stress and isolation.
Up to 30% of all additional deaths may have been caused not by Covid19, but by the effects of the lockdown, panic and fear. For example, the treatment of heart attacks and strokes decreased by up to 60% because many patients no longer dared to go to hospital.
Even in so-called “Covid19 deaths” it is often not clear whether they died from or with coronavirus (i.e. from underlying diseases) or if they were counted as “presumed cases” and not tested at all. However, official figures usually do not reflect this distinction.
Many media reports of young and healthy people dying from Covid19 turned out to be false: many of these young people either did not die from Covid19, they had already been seriously ill (e.g. from undiagnosed leukaemia), or they were in fact 109 instead of 9 years old. The claimed increase in Kawasaki disease in children also turned out to be false.
Strong increases in regional mortality can occur if there is a collapse in the care of the elderly and sick as a result of infection or panic, or if there are additional risk factors such as severe air pollution. Questionable regulations for dealing with the deceased sometimes led to additional bottlenecks in funeral or cremation services.
In countries such as Italy and Spain, and to some extent the UK and the US, hospital overloads due to strong flu waves are not unusual. Moreover, this year up to 15% of health care workers were put into quarantine, even if they developed no symptoms.
The often shown exponential curves of “corona cases” are misleading, as the number of tests also increased exponentially. In most countries, the ratio of positive tests to tests overall (i.e. the positive rate) remained constant at 5% to 25% or increased only slightly. In many countries, the peak of the spread was already reached well before the lockdown.
Countries without curfews and contact bans, such as Japan, South Korea, Belarus or Sweden, have not experienced a more negative course of events than other countries. Sweden was even praised by the WHO and now benefits from higher immunity compared to lockdown countries.
The fear of a shortage of ventilators was unjustified. According to lung specialists, the invasive ventilation (intubation) of Covid19 patients, which is partly done out of fear of spreading the virus, is in fact often counterproductive and damaging to the lungs.
Contrary to original assumptions, various studies have shown that there is no evidence of the virus spreading through aerosols (i.e. tiny particles floating in the air) or through smear infections (e.g. on door handles or smartphones). The main modes of transmission are direct contact and droplets produced when coughing or sneezing.
There is also no scientific evidence for the effectiveness of face masks in healthy or asymptomatic individuals. On the contrary, experts warn that such masks interfere with normal breathing and may become “germ carriers”. Leading doctors called them a “media hype” and “ridiculous”.
Many clinics in Europe and the US remained strongly underutilized or almost empty during the Covid19 peak and in some cases had to send staff home. Millions of surgeries and therapies were cancelled, including many cancer screenings and organ transplants.
Several media were caught trying to dramatize the situation in hospitals, sometimes even with manipulative images and videos. In general, the unprofessional reporting of many media maximized fear and panic in the population.
The virus test kits used internationally are prone to errors and can produce false positive and false negative results. Moreover, the official virus test was not clinically validated due to time pressure and may sometimes react positive to other coronaviruses.
Numerous internationally renowned experts in the fields of virology, immunology and epidemiology consider the measures taken to be counterproductive and recommend rapid natural immunisation of the general population and protection of risk groups.
At no time was there a medical reason for the closure of schools, as the risk of disease and transmission in children is extremely low. There is also no medical reason for small classes, masks or ‘social distancing’ rules in schools.
The claim that only (severe) Covid-19 but not influenza may cause venous thrombosis and pulmonary (lung) embolism is not true, as it has been known for 50 years that severe influenza greatly increases the risk of thrombosis and embolism, too.
Several medical experts described express coronavirus vaccines as unnecessary or even dangerous. Indeed, the vaccine against the so-called swine flu of 2009, for example, led to sometimes severe neurological damage and lawsuits in the millions. In the testing of new coronavirus vaccines, too, serious complications and failures have already occurred.
A global influenza or corona pandemic can indeed extend over several seasons, but many studies of a “second wave” are based on very unrealistic assumptions, such as a constant risk of illness and death across all age groups.
Several nurses, e.g. in New York City, described an oftentimes fatal medical mismanagement of Covid patients due to questionable financial incentives or inappropriate medical protocols.
The number of people suffering from unemployment, depressions and domestic violence as a result of the measures has reached historic record values. Several experts predict that the measures will claim far more lives than the virus itself. According to the UN 1.6 billion people around the world are at immediate risk of losing their livelihood.
NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden warned that the “corona crisis” will be used for the permanent expansion of global surveillance. Renowned virologist Pablo Goldschmidt spoke of a “global media terror” and “totalitarian measures”. Leading British virologist Professor John Oxford spoke of a “media epidemic”.
More than 600 scientists have warned of an “unprecedented surveillance of society” through problematic apps for “contact tracing”. In some countries, such “contact tracing” is already carried out directly by the secret service. In several parts of the world, the population is already being monitored by drones and facing serious police overreach.
A 2019 WHO study on public health measures against pandemic influenza found that from a medical perspective, “contact tracing” is “not recommended in any circumstances”. Nevertheless, contact tracing apps have already become partially mandatory in several countries.
See also:
Studies on Covid-19 lethality (overview)
Open Letter by Professor Sucharit Bhakdi
European Mortality Monitoring (EuroMomo)
June 2020
A. General part
Studies of Covid-19 lethality
Stanford professor John Ioannidis published an overview of Covid-19 antibody studies. According to his analysis, the lethality of Covid19 (IFR) is below 0.16% in most countries and regions. Ioannidis found an upper limit of 0.40% for three hotspots.
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In its latest report, the US health authority CDC reduced the Covid19 lethality (IFR) to 0.26% (best estimate). Even this value may still be seen as an upper limit, since the CDC conservatively assumes 35% asymptomatic cases, while most studies indicate 50 to 80% asymptomatic cases.
At the end of May, however, Swiss immunologists led by Professor Onur Boyman published what is probably the most important study on Covid19 lethality to date. This preprint study comes to the conclusion that the usual antibody tests that measure antibodies in the blood (IgG and IgM) can recognize at most one fifth of all Covid19 infections.
The reason for this discrepancy is that in most people the new coronavirus is already neutralized by antibodies on the mucous membrane (IgA) or by cellular immunity (T-cells). In most of these cases, no symptoms or only mild symptoms develop.
This means that the new coronavirus is probably much more common than previously thought and the lethality per infection is up to five times lower than previously assumed. The real lethality could thus be well below 0.1% and hence in the range of strong seasonal influenza.
In fact, several studies have now shown that up to 60% of all people already have a certain cellular immunity to Covid-19, which was acquired through contact with previous coronaviruses (common cold viruses). Children in particular often come into contact with such coronaviruses, which could help explain their insensitivity to Covid19.
The new Swiss study may also explain why antibody studies even in hotspots like New York or Madrid found infection rates of at most about 20%, as this would correspond to an actual rate of nearly 100%. In many regions, the actual prevalence might already be well over 50% and thus in the range of ??herd immunity.
Should the Swiss study be confirmed, the assessment of Oxford epidemiologist Prof. Sunetra Gupta would apply, who predicted early on that Covid-19 is very widespread and its lethality below 0.1%.
Despite the comparatively low lethality of Covid-19 (deaths per infection), the mortality (deaths per population) can still be increased regionally and in the short term if the virus spreads rapidly and reaches high risk groups, especially patients in nursing homes, as indeed happened in several hotspots (see below).
Due to its rather low lethality, Covid-19 falls at most into level 2 of the five-level pandemic plan developed by US health authorities. For this level, only the “voluntary isolation of sick people” is to be applied, while further measures such as
face masks, school closings, distance rules, contact tracing, vaccinations and lockdowns of entire societies are not recommended.
Regarding contact tracing, a WHO study on influenza pandemics from 2019 also came to the conclusion that from a medical point of view this is “under no circumstances recommended”, since it is not expedient for easily communicable and generally mild respiratory diseases.
It is sometimes argued that the rather low lethality was not known at the beginning of the pandemic. This is not entirely true, as data from South Korea, the cruise ships and even from Italy already showed in March that the risk to the general population is rather low.
Many health authorities also knew this, as leaked emails from Denmark in mid-March show: “The Danish Health Authority continues to consider that Covid-19 cannot be described as a generally dangerous disease, as it does not have either a usually serious course or a high mortality rate.”
Some media nevertheless continue to calculate an allegedly much higher Covid19 lethality rate of sometimes over 1% by simply dividing deaths by “infections”, without taking into account the age and risk distribution, which is absolutely crucial especially for Covid19.
The latest data from the European mortality monitoring Euromomo shows that several countries such as France, Italy and Spain are already entering a below-average mortality. The reason for this is that the average age of Covid19 deaths was very high and fewer people than usual are now dying in this age group.”