By Yaron Steinbuch, NY POST April 10, 2020 9:58am
A hospital worker wears protective equipment while moving bodies in Brooklyn, NY.AP
COVID-19 — the illness caused by the novel coronavirus spreading across the globe — is now the No. 1 cause of death in the US, where it is killing more people every day than heart disease or cancer, according to a report.
A new graph published this week by Dr. Maria Danilychev, a San Diego-based physician, showed the disease causes 1,970 deaths across the country per day, according to Newsweek.
Meanwhile, the graph shows that 1,774 deaths per day are caused by heart disease and 1,641 to cancer, the mag reported.
Only last week, COVID-19 was the third-leading cause of death, averaging about 748 deaths per day, taking the place of accidents, according to Danilychev’s previous report.
The graph uses data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for the daily average causes of death and compares them to Worldometers.info statistics about the deadly bug.
As of early Friday, the US had more than 465,750 coronavirus cases, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. More than 1.4 million cases have been reported globally.
In her graph, Danilychev — a palliative care specialist and clinical research investigator – uses a time-lapse features that shows how the number of deaths from the illness each day has recently increased.
Before March 20, it had the lowest number of daily deaths compared to other causes listed, averaging about 50 daily.
But two days later, COVID-19’s daily death rate began to surge — passing flu and pneumonia, kidney disease, suicide and liver disease. By the end of March, it was the third-highest killer, according to Newsweek.
Despite the startling statistics, data reports show localized case numbers are leveling off in some of the heaviest-hit areas.
On Thursday, Gov. Andrew Cuomo announced that the overall number of newly hospitalized coronavirus patients in New York state dipped to its lowest level since New York state was all but shut down last month.
The Big Apple death toll rose to 4,778 Thursday evening, up from 4,260 the day before, according to city data — though new deaths and hospitalizations are trending down in the city from the record 806 people who died over the course of Tuesday.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said Thursday that early projections estimating between 100,000 to 240,000 deaths from the virus are now less likely to occur, The Hill reported.
Fauci and other members of President Trump’s coronavirus task force are following newer models like one from the University of Washington, which now projects 60,000 fatalities by August, according to the news outlet.
“I think the American public has done a really terrific job just buckling down and doing those physical separations and adhering to those guidelines,” Fauci said.
@ yamit82:
Yamit,
I clicked on the link you directed Shmuel to, and it confirmed what I had thought you were probably hoping to convey. Just to clarify things for Shmuel, Liz and everyone trying to make sense of these posts, let me try to summarize:
1. Worldmeter and other readily available websites showing cOVID-19 case and death figures gotten from the most credible souces, such as WHO and the CDC.
2. These reports are all “flawed”, in that they do no give a “complete” picture. If one were to even try to give such a picture, one would have to list, for every indivitual, not only how they tested for COVID-19, but also how they tested (if they even could be) for “predisposing” conditions such as smoking, diabetes, alcohol abuse, obesity, cardiovascular problems, etc. Their deaths, likewise, would have to each be described as having been caused by all of the above, along with a weighted average of each plus degree of uncertainty. In short, if Worldmeter, etc. wanted to present the “perfect” report, it would be unreadable as well as practically useless.
That’s as much effort as I care to expend on this matter. My advice to one and all, is,
LISTEN TO YOUR LEADERS AND DO WHAT THEY SAY, SO THE REST OF US CAN SEE THIS CRISIS THROUGH TO A CONCLUSION.
God bless and keep everyone here.
Covid-19 is a horrible disease.
Full article at: https://www.newsmax.com/us/coronavirus-recovery-lungs-heart/2020/04/10/id/962401/
So Covid-19 would be more likely to make you very sick and/or kill you if you smoke. Just like one can get lung cancer which may kill you if you smoke. That does not mean lung cancer does not exist. This is the silly argument some who are denying that Covid-19 exists are making. Then there is no accounting for fools trying to look smart!
Doctors and Nurses who work on Covid-19 cases say it is horrible as organ’s start shutting down because the patients immune system can not fight Covid-19. Yes those with preexisting conditions are most vulnerable to this horrible disease. Catching Covid-19 is killing them. Since there is no vaccine the elderly with preexisting conditions are most likely to die from Covid-19.
The United States becomes the first country to record 2,000 deaths in 24 hours.
The US has most cases in the world with more than 500,000 infected
Global confirmed cases stand almost 1.7 million with more than 100,000 deaths
One way to draw to attention to yourself is to take a stance this is outrageous! When one sees one doing that on many issues over time it becomes it pattern. Some entertainers do this and they are known as shock jocks. The motivation there is clear standout from the pack to make money
When one does this on Blog Commentary consistently I can not be certain of the motivation. The commentator’s posting’s certainly become just negative and useless.
Shmuel Mohalever Said:
Important message for Shmuel
@ Bear Klein:
“Coronavirus death toll in US likely worse than numbers say”
— https://abcnews.go.com/Health/coronavirus-death-toll-us-worse-numbers/story?id=70018321
An informative article, Bear. I don’t know who Shmuel and Liz are working for, but it’s not for the people of Israel and the US. They are trying to confuse the public, and cause our efforts at fighting this disease to fail.
MIL OPS REPORTS: on “Coronavirus is now the leading cause of death in America”
US and much of world reporting Is Counting Death of Anyone with Coronavirus as a COVID-19 Death, Regardless of Other Conditions
1. Professor Neil Ferguson [ whose statistical model, projections and recommendations triggered the worldwide economic shutdown/quarantine] has subsequently reduced his model estimates of English deaths by a factor 25. Further he has stated that model that he employed is 13 years old, large sections of the code are undocumented, and that the model and the data would not be available for peer review for at least several more weeks.
2. Italian data indicates that 97% of their reported deaths that were attributed to Corona virus had other serious underlying conditions that were more influential, and that only 3% of their reported deaths could be directly attributed to the coronavirus as the main cause .
3. Currently issued federal guidelines on reporting cause of death states that even when a patient has multiple severe underlying conditions , when a patient dies who had a coronavirus infection present at the time of death, the prime cause of death should be listed as coronavirus. This scoring decision on “cause of death” is not new but it makes much of the reporting as to” cause of death “ meaningless for any true analytical purposes.
Dr. Birx: Gov’t Is Counting Death of Anyone with Coronavirus as a COVID-19 Death, Regardless of Other Conditions by Jack Davis:
As health experts develop statistics and models to track the impact of coronavirus on America, anyone who has the disease and dies will be counted as a COVID-19 death, regardless of what actually killed them.
Dr. Deborah Birx, coordinator of the White House coronavirus task force, explained at Tuesday’s daily news briefing that not all countries are doing things the same way.
“I think in this country, we’ve taken a very liberal approach to mortality, and I think the reporting here has been pretty straightforward over the last five to six weeks,” Birx said.
“Prior to that, when there wasn’t testing in January and February, that’s a very different situation and unknown,” she added.
*****
CDC Tells Hospitals To List COVID as Cause of Death Even if You’re Just Assuming or It Only Contributed by C. Douglas Golden
The problem with making informed decisions about coronavirus is that we don’t have a whole lot of data on it at the moment.
The data that we do have, meanwhile, could end up being terminally skewed, particularly the data that’s been coming out of China.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s guidance on determining COVID-19 as a cause of death isn’t going to help those numbers.
Issued March 24, the guidance tells hospitals to list COVID-19 as a cause of death regardless of whether or not there’s actual testing to confirm that’s the case.
Instead, even if the coronavirus was just a contributing factor or if it’s “assumed to have caused or contributed to death,” it can be listed as the primary cause.
The International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, or ICD, has established the code U07.1 for death by coronavirus infection. There’s a secondary code, U07.2, “for clinical or epidemiological diagnosis of COVID-19 where a laboratory confirmation is inconclusive or not available,” according to the CDC guidance.
“Because laboratory test results are not typically reported on death certificates in the U.S., NCHS is not planning to implement U07.2 for mortality statistics.”
Therein lies the problem.
“The underlying cause depends upon what and where conditions are reported on the death certificate. However, the rules for coding and selection of the underlying cause of death are expected to result in COVID- 19 being the underlying cause more often than not,” the guidelines read.
Is this new CDC guidance problematic?
“COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death. Certifiers should include as much detail as possible based on their knowledge of the case, medical records, laboratory testing, etc.,” the guidance continued.
“If the decedent had other chronic conditions such as COPD or asthma that may have also contributed, these conditions can be reported in Part II.”
Author and former New York Times reporter Alex Berenson, one of the few well-known figures to question some of the statistics on COVID-19, questioned the new CDC guidelines as well:
Earlier this week, President Donald Trump and members of his coronavirus task force announced that they were expecting a death toll of between 100,000 and 240,000 from coronavirus.
In an article on Friday, The Washington Post said some experts didn’t think the White House’s prediction models were accurate. It wasn’t because those experts thought that figure was too high or too low: It’s just because they didn’t think there was enough data to determine a death range yet.
“We don’t have a sense of what’s going on in the here and now, and we don’t know what people will do in the future,” Jeffrey Shaman, a Columbia University epidemiologist whose work was used by the White House to determine the death ranges, said.
“We don’t know if the virus is seasonal, as well.”
It doesn’t help that data when the guidelines for determining who’s actually died of the coronavirus are profoundly vague.
For instance, what happens when an elderly person with numerous underlying conditions comes into the hospital and dies?
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@ Shmuel Mohalever:
Shmuel, I feel sorry for you. I believe you’ve blown a fuse.
There’s a joke about three pastors who went to hell: A Catholic, a Babptist and a Pentecostal. The Catholic pastor said,
“I don’t know why I’m here! I confessed my sins, did penance and received extreme unction from the bishop!”
The Baptist pastor said,
“I shouldn’t be here! You know, “Once saved, always saved”!
Now the eyes of the others focused on the Pentecostal pastor, who hadn’t said anything. He lifted his gaze up to heaven, and said,
“By faith, I’m not here!”
Are you Pentecostal?
https://abcnews.go.com/Health/coronavirus-death-toll-us-worse-numbers/story?id=70018321
Because doctors are apparently being coached to list all deaths as caused by coronavirus if the deceased person had any contact prior to their death with someone else, like a family who has been diagnosed with coronavirus, the U.S. death statistics are completely meaningless. At any rate, a physician in Minnesota has spoken publicly about this and wrote a formal letter of complaint about it to the state health authorities who issued “coaching” instructions to him and all other doctors aauthorized to write death certificates. No autopsies of the “coronavirvusictims” were performed.
They could have died from anything.
When asked about this and similar reports, Trump’s coronavirus coordinator Dr. Brix conceded that she had instructed state authorities to give a “very liberal” interpretation of what constituted a coronavirus death, and that the guidelines issued to the states asked them to list all deaths that had any possible connection to coronavirus to be listed as coronavirus deaths, even if the individual was suffering from other diseases as well.
All this was revealed in a devastating investigative report by Jim Hoft of Gatway pundit. However, when I checked the sources that he cited for his report, such as the television interview with the Minnesota doctor Brix’s televised Q and A session with reporters. Wordometer, lifexpectancy .com. the CDC’s own web site, and other reliable sources, they all confirmed his report.
Garbage in, garbage out. It is quite possible that no one in the United States and elsewhere has been killed by “COVID-19.”
There are now many examples around the world were countries or localities practiced social distancing the spread of the Virus has been mitigated. In cases were this was not done or done too late the Virus spread rapidly and caused more illness and deaths.
But can we trust that the deaths were really caused by the virus? How many “linked to the virus” deaths are included? The Media is quick to report deaths, but further information is vague and lacking. In my rural area, one county reported one case and death the same day. Absolutely no further information. How did that happen?