Trump squeezes UNRWA, checkmates PLO and incentivises Jordan

T. Belman. What is worthy of note is that he is doing all this without even tabling his vaunted Deal of the Century.

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President Trump has created a veritable diplomatic tsunami affecting the political fortunes of the Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO), Hamas and Jordan – with his decision to cease all future donations to the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) – currently US$360million per annum and comprising about 30% of UNRWA’s budget.

The numbers of UNRWA-registered Palestinian Arab refugees in Jordan, the West Bank and Gaza have been increasing in leaps and bounds annually because they include all the descendants of those Palestinian Arabs caught up in the 1948 and 1967 Arab-Israel wars.

Currently:

  • 2,175,000 live in Jordan—370000 of whom reside in 10 camps
  • 810000 live in the West Bank—200000 of whom reside in 19camps
  • 1,300,000 live in Gaza—580000 of whom reside in 8 camps

UNRWA only provides services to the camps. UNRWA does not administer or police the camps, as this is the responsibility of the host authorities.

Jordan, the West Bank and Gaza comprise 83% of the territory of former Palestine. For UNRWA to count as “refugees” people who are now living in Arab-controlled parts of the same country where their forebears once resided – is really an insult to one’s intelligence.

For UNRWA to tolerate a system of apartheid and segregation that allows those “refugees” to be divided into camp dwellers and non-camp dwellers makes a mockery of the humanitarian principles espoused by the United Nations and the United Nations Human Rights Council.

Struggling under an accumulated deficit of US$271 million before Trump’s hammer blow—UNRWA had already shut down or slated for closure many programs and laid off large numbers of employees—mainly Palestinian Arabs.

The further cuts UNRWA will now be forced to make following America’s defunding will be critical to the PLO, Hamas and Jordan—as “refugees” coming under their respective jurisdictions affected by substantial cuts to their well-established entitlements see others not similarly subjected.

UNRWA funding decisions cannot possibly please all these “refugees” – and those receiving UNRWA aid in Lebanon and Syria.

The PLO, Hamas and Jordan will be lobbying furiously for UNRWA funding cuts to not be made to “refugees” living under their governance. Serious political consequences could ensue if they fail.

Jordan – enjoying a long-standing peace treaty with Israel—currently houses 50% of the total of UNRWA registered Palestinian Arab “refugees” in the West Bank, Gaza and Jordan.

Jordan—70% of whose population comprises Palestinian Arabs or their descendants formerly living in Palestine west of the Jordan River – is eminently qualified to enter into direct negotiations with Israel to recover territory lost by it in the West Bank to Israel in the 1967 Six Day War.

Successful negotiations would enable Jordan to:

  • close the 29 refugee camps in Jordan and the West Bank currently housing 570000 “refugees”
  • fully rehabilitate and integrate all 2,985,000 “refugees” within the general Arab populations residing in the West Bank and Jordan
  • extend Jordanian citizenship to all West Bank Arab residents

Trump’s promise of direct American bilateral assistance to Jordan would facilitate this outcome.

In one fell swoop—Trump has:

  • Squeezed UNRWA into making refugee-relief choices that could affect the political futures of the PLO, Hamas and Jordan
  • Checkmated the PLO’s claim to continue to be the sole spokesman for the Palestinian Arabs because it lacks absolute authority to influence how UNRWA reduces current funding to the Palestinian Arab “refugees” living in Gaza and Jordan
  • Incentivised Jordan to fill the diplomatic void left by the PLO by agreeing to begin negotiations with Israel on Trump’s peace plan without any preconditions

Bucking—not backing – Trump is a sure-fire recipe for committing political suicide.

Trump squeezes UNRWA, checkmates PLO and incentivises Jordan
Author’s note:The cartoon—commissioned exclusively for this article—is by Yaakov Kirschen aka “Dry Bones”- one of Israel’s foremost political and social commentators, whose cartoons have graced the columns of Israeli and international media publications for decades. His cartoons can be viewed at Drybonesblog

David Singer is an Australian Lawyer, a Foundation Member of the International Analyst Network and Convenor of Jordan is Palestine International—an organization calling for sovereignty of the West Bank and Gaza to be allocated between Israel and Jordan as the two successor States to the Mandate for Palestine. Previous articles written by him can be found at: jordanispalestine.blogspot.com

September 15, 2018 | 4 Comments »

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4 Comments / 4 Comments

  1. Singer sings one song and it is way off key and has horrible lyrics.

    Judea/Samaria do not belong to Jordan and they lost them in the 1967 war after attacking Israel again. Jordan had attacked Israel repetitively again and again from 1948 through 1967! When Jordan controlled Judea/Samaria illegally there were many Jordanian and terror attacks on Israel from Jordan and originating from Judea/Samaria. This must not be allowed to reoccur.

    Israel and Jordan signed a peace treaty confirming that the border is the Jordan River. Singer is not aware of the danger of bringing Jordanians across the Jordan River again! I wish he would learn a new song as his old song sounds the same even when he scrambles some of the words around.

  2. @ oldjerry:

    You just “took thw words out of my mouth. Exactly what I was going to post. This writer has constantly made this comment, exactly as if “poor Jordan” was recovering a part of it’s stolen ancestral lands.

  3. Jordan should enter into negotiations with Israel to recover territory in the West Bank that it lost to Israel? The one problem with this idea is that the West Bank (Judea/Samaria) was illegally occupied by Jordan in 1948 and to consider it Jordanian territory is absurd.