Chances of an agreement in current negotiations are very Low

Ted Belman

Al Monitor published and article by Ben Caspit on Bibi’s speech and he said “I spoke to an Israeli security official who had been very close to the nuclear negotiations and decision-making hubs on the highest levels. On condition of anonymity, this person said,

“The prime minister is a seasoned politician. He reads intelligence reports, he is well-connected and he knows that the chances of an agreement being signed between Iran and the world powers in the current round of talks is very low, if not zero. He knows that out of the eight controversial issues, only two are anywhere near agreement. There is still great distance between the sides on the other six issues. He knows that the French won’t agree to sign under such circumstances, and apparently the Americans as well. What he’s done here with the speech is political genius. He timed it perfectly so that in another week, when the deadline is postponed yet again, he can say that it was his speech that halted the agreement between Iran and the world powers. In reality, this has no basis in fact, but the Israeli electorate will buy into this maneuver and Netanyahu could thus win the elections. We are talking about a cynical maneuver that sacrifices strategic relations with a US president for the medium and long term in favor of narrow, short-term political interests.”

March 5, 2015 | 12 Comments »

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12 Comments / 12 Comments

  1. Iranians want two thing from the negotiations buy time to finish nuke project. Two get sanctions lifted. Whatever they agree to as far as inspections, they will not care too much if sanctions are lifted. Because when ready they will kick inspectors out. The same game North Korea played. Same playbook exactly.

    Just read from Caroline Glick that the USA is using the same nitwit negotiator it used in the NOrth Korean negotiations. So the same playbook is working twice on this idiot!

  2. The best place for Jews to live at. Our family also lives in Eretz Israel. Proud of it.

    Absolutely. Same here.

    I have promised in this Blog that when we complete some construction we are doing I will invite to a BBQ here.

    Dude, I’m salivating in advance. It would be quite a nice iniiative 🙂

    Shabbat Shalom

    Shabbot Shalom to you and your family too, bro’.

  3. @ Avigail:
    The best place for Jews to live at. Our family also lives in Eretz Israel. Proud of it.
    I have promised in this Blog that when we complete some construction we are doing I will invite to a BBQ here.
    Shabbat Shalom

  4. @ yamit82:

    Zionist Union would have to attract the centrist and religious parties. If the election turns into a dead heat like in 1984, a Likud-Zionist Union coalition government is the most probable outcome. I think that will happen no matter who gets the edge in seats.

  5. @ Avigail:
    Our poll results always add the not decided percentage as a principal information supplement.
    Ben Caspit, as most of the trained talking heads here and there are masters of insinuendo and sidestepping reality under the wrap or “wisdom”. Truth is relative at best in their work parameters.
    The people here know the “poll industry” to the hilt and as we say in town, we tell the truth to the pollsters and lie in the voting booth… 🙂
    In spite of many millions of dollars spread by Hussein Obama here and the hundreds of gangs operatives also operating here to intimidate voters, to do a Chicago Daley machine type of electioneering, our poll, organized by and with HS Seniors and College Juniors, has shown the Likud in the lead from day one to date.
    As you say, the 20% will decide.

  6. Popular wisdom is that BB would prefer to have a coalition with labor than most if not all of the parties to his right.
    With some 15-20% not firm or undecided a lot of changes at the last min could be determinative…

    Hello, bro’ 🙂
    You are right, but if the results are so undetermined, speech or not speech, bounce or not bounce, it means that Caspit and his “source” are full of it.

  7. Din dingalin’, din dingalin’ and its tune…
    Ben Caspit works for his associates political directions.
    For the rest of us, the still thinking people it is clear that given half a chance Hussein Obama would sign any agreement likely to harm the US and mainly Israel.
    And the Israeli renegade Erev Rav mixture, the unJews, conceived by evil himself, Peres, long ago joined plans leading to the destruction of a Jewish State and as many Jews as they can.
    Why? Because in 77 they realized that what they thought would be a captive population working for their kibbutz and other interests, wised up and had turned the cart on them. Peres said repeatedly, “the Jews won” when facing consecutive defeats by Begin, Netanyahu, Sharon, all of which they feverishly worked to sabotage.

  8. Bear Klein Said:

    Ben Caspit is a lefty taking the official lefty position period end of story!

    I agree. I have read many caspit articles and almost all seemed purely political: left. Some were so obviously wrong in order to maintain the leftist narrative.
    Note that his facts are based on an anonymous source which could be fabricated

  9. Ben Caspit is a lefty taking the official lefty position period end of story! What Bibi did is give the US congressmen a complete picture which several of them said no US politician could or has done. He sacrified nothing as the Ayatollah Obama was exposed further by Bibi for the disaster he is to the US and world security!

  10. Avigail Said:

    Can someone explain to me how Pussy-Buji can gather a viable coalition?

    It all depends on the final tally of seats each party ends up with. Most of the parties assigned to the right will also sit with the left if the price is right.

    Popular wisdom is that BB would prefer to have a coalition with labor than most if not all of the parties to his right.

    With some 15-20% not firm or undecided a lot of changes at the last min could be determinative…

  11. We are talking about a cynical maneuver that sacrifices strategic relations with a US president for the medium and long term in favor of narrow, short-term political interests

    Oh. Puh-leeze. There is absolutely NOTHING to sacrifice re. Obama: he’s anti-Israel and anti-America, period.

    And also, what’s this fuss about “winning the election”? Can someone explain to me how Pussy-Buji can gather a viable coalition?