DEBKAfile reports from its Washington sources that President Obama’s calculations for making the trip are a lot more complicated than Kerry’s. According to some Israeli circles, none of them are good news for their country.
He arrives less than a month after the last Six-Power (US, Russia, UK, France, China and Germany) nuclear discussions with Iran ended in Kazakhstan.
After those talks, US and Western media trumpeted “an unusual sense of optimism” or more cautiously allowed “a faint and perhaps fleeting light at the end of one of the world’s most durable tunnels.”
Western sources predicted on the strength of these assessments that the follow-up to Kazakhstan in April, shortly after Obama’s talks in Jerusalem, would be devoted to “cementing that progress,” which translated into rewarding putative nuclear concessions by Iran with the easing of economic sanctions.
However, according to DEBKAfile’s military and intelligence sources, this diplomatic fluff, while representing elation in Washington, London, Moscow, Paris and Berlin, caused serious disenchantment in Jerusalem, which viewed it as a smokescreen for concessions to, and not by, Iran.
They have found that the “fleeting light” appearing at the end of the Iranian nuclear tunnel obscures three dangerous US concessions to Tehran:
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1. President Obama has given in to the Fordo uranium enrichment plant continuing to operate instead of shutting down, as demanded by Israel – even though its function is to turn out 20 percent pure (near-weapons grade) uranium;
2. He has even consented to the Iranians continuing to manufacture uranium to that level;
3. Washington has dropped its insistence on Iran sending out of the country its stocks of 3.5-5 percent enriched uranium.
With these gains, the Iranian negotiators must have been laughing all the way home from their talks with the six big powers on 26-27 of February and crowing over what one Israeli official called “Tehran’s huge success and Israel’s total defeat.”
Conscious of how these concessions to the Islamic Republic are received in Jerusalem, it is no wonder that President Obama brushed off the invitation to address the Israeli Knesset, where lawmakers would likely put him on the spot. He has chosen instead to deliver a speech at Jerusalem’s Convention Center, so as to deliver his message straight to the Israeli public.
By going over the heads of Israel’s government and parliament to face a less informed audience, he believes he can get away with sweet-talking his surrender to a nuclear Iran.
Former military intelligence chief, Amos Yadlin stepped in with a timely comment last week when he said that an Israeli strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities would be no more than a one-night operation.
So when Air Force One lands in Israel March 20 and Israeli dignitaries push forward to greet the US president, a small group of anonymous Air Force pilots will be watching from a distance, waiting for the order to fly out and carry out their mission in a single night.
I would like to clarify my remarks about the reasons the US went to war with Iraq. In Gulf I they went in mainly to protect oil states and get Iraq out of Kuwait and punish them for their aggression against allies. If the US had wanted to get a better handle on terrorism, they would have bombed Pakistan, Lebanon’s Bakka Valley, Iran’s mullahs, Arafat’s office or Saudi Arabia.
I do not think that the real reasons were WMD or the fact that Saddam threatened to kill Bush, but mentioned them because they were secondary reasons/excuses used by Bush to justify his presence. Had they just said that the US were there to give the regime a stern lesson and a lesson to the region, that would have been an honest explanation… but they are politicians and say whatever they think will mollify the public.
The US did not do Gulf I or II for Jews or on behalf of Israel because the US has never done anything in Israel’s best interests; always in The US’ best interests and they continue in that vein today. It could be argued (with foresight and looking in the rear view mirror) that taking out Saddam was not in Israel’s best interests at all. In fact, America has done what it could to thwart Israel every time they went to war to prevent complete victory and the humiliation of their Arab friends. Now they are doing their best to prevent Israel from attacking Iranian nukes which will be ready to attack Israel at any time.
US foreign policy is often screwy but the solution of the left is to allow terrorists to roam free and kill us. With such strategies and misplaced symathies, we will all be dead in no time.
Re: Caren Levinson.
Have you ever noticed how happy leftists get when America and Israel are under threat and when they are attacked by Islamists? Can someone explain to me this weird psychological defect where people actually become thrilled by the prospect of their own self-destruction and the destruction of those who live under the rule of law in advanced democratic societies? Why do they mourn the loss of dictators like Chavez and want to protect the rights of terrorists and Islamists who want them dead? We have Jewish groups in Canada (IJV) that sponsor the worst hatemongers against Jews and I can’t figure out why the demise of Israel appeals to these cretins. Is it a form of insanity or is it that leftists want everyone to think and be as they are and the rest can go to hell?
Also recall that Israel was the only Western country (Kuwait and Iran know Iraq’s vengeance very well) to suffer attack by Iraq during Gulf war. And Iraq was one of the many Arab countries to send forces and military hardware to wipe out Israel on numerous occasions:
If Canada or Mexico attacked America like the Arab world has attacked Israel, there would be no more Canada and Mexico.
Yamit82
And where pray was Leon Trotsky wrong in his portrayal of World War 2.
You imply it was a war for democracy…oh for goodness sake!
Two immediate to mind things militate against that and prove Trotsky correct
1. The British and US air planes overflew the railway lines and within miles of the death camps in Poland. They did not intervene in the Shoah because they too were antisemitic to the very core. There was no difference between the Allies and Hitler on the persecution of the Jews. Trotsky had pointed out that these countries had closed their borders to Jews and that therefore Europe was due to become a great killing field for the Jews. Trotsky as you know advised all Jews to get to Palestine to escape the Holocaust. WTF do you want!!!!
2. After the war, the US recruited all of those Nazis into their agencies to make war on Russia. They were on the same side all along.
What you leave out is Stalin and Stalinism, perhaps wilfully, but also more likely through a combination of ignorance and ideological wilfulness (you hate socialism having been a two bit employer of Arab labour in your past)
Get real and read http://www.4international.me
Werner Cohen is OK but limited, a bit past his sell by date (like you!!!). I have read him and he teaches me nothing, essentially a cynic.
The US went to war with Iraq because they had WMD – WMDs which were transferred to Syria – a problem that Israel is threatened by once again as terrorists/Islamists gather on the Syrian-Israel border with UN “troops” are fleeing into Israel to escape from (notice how they do not flee into Syria, Jordan, Iran, etc?).
The US also went into Iraq because Saddam tried to kill Bush.
Although Iran is not an existential threat to the US unless they bring in a dirty bomb which is entirely possible (remember what less sophisticated animals did to the twin towers on 9/11?), it is an existential threat to Israel. You might not give a damn but why should Israel be restrained and prevented by a President in love with the Islamic world and the sound of the call to prayer from defending its people and its country?
What makes leftists so smug and secure in their little bubble that they think they are immune from terrorism? When it strikes the US again and people’s lives are ruined, just remember that you were against Israel’s efforts to prevent your country from being hit and that Obama wanted the fight moved from the Middle East, where he prevented direct confrontation, to the streets of America.
Israel has 500 nukes and a world class military. Why all the hysteria over Iran? The U.S. went to war in Iraq because of Jewish hysteria. They’re not going to do it again. The President and his Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel do not believe Iran is a threat to anyone and they will not destroy the U.S. economy or risk a regional War because a bunch of hysterics demand it. Case closed. Israel will have to live with a nuclear Iran and if she tries to go rogue – she will risk her own destruction. Checkmate.
Andy Lewis Said:
The Americans would love an alliance. American big Business and Big Oil want an alliance but the Iranians have their own agenda and it’s not related to Coca Cola and MacDonalds. The Iranian leaders are theocratic ideologues before anything else and I believe are perfectly happy with the Chinese being their biggest client and powerful friend.
Whatever the reasons for the American capitulation it will be viewed by Iran as further weakening of America and the West.
Nuclear confrontation is advanced but more likely between American and Iran and Iran against America.
I once raised a scenario where Iran fired a small number of Nukes against Israel that were shot down by the Arrow anti missile system. Israel immediately retaliates destroying Iran along with all of their energy producing gas and oil fields.
Not only will they have NOT achieved their theological aims in such a case but get totally destroyed as a consequence of that failure.
Knowing the possibility of such a failure and consequences would they risk attacking Israel?
The Arab states and even America are 100% vulnerable to even a limited but strategic nuclear attack.
The Iranians will sooner than later master any engineering difficulties of weaponizing submarine launched cruise missiles. Then it’s a whole new ball game.
@ Felix Quigley:
Leon Trotsky and the Jews
Comments!
@ Felix Quigley:
<strong>Trotskyism after the 1967 War: Against Zionism andImperialism !
The Jews of Israel: An Oppressor Nation
Felix Quigley Said:
From Victim to Shylock and Oppressor: The New Image of the Jew in the Trotskyist Movement
http://www.wernercohn.com/Trotsky.html
Felix Quigley Said:
From Victim to Shylock and Oppressor: The New Image of the Jew in the Trotskyist Movement
“Just before the war, some Trotskyists in Palestine, apparently Jewish, wrote to Trotsky to express concern over the traditional Bolshevist strategy of ‘revolutionary defeatism’ according to which the main enemy of the proletariat is always at home and revolutionary activity is to be carried on in wartime even though that may cause the defeat of one’s own country. These Trotskyists asked whether the movement could indeed regard the two sides in a coming war, in which Hitler’s Germany would no doubt be a participant, as equally reprehensible; whether, in effect, the Fourth International should counsel the working class of the Western countries to carry on activities against their own governments even at the risk of helping Hitler win the war.
Trotsky’s reply was extremely harsh and unequivocal: the old Bolshevist slogans from World War I still holds. The ‘capitalist’ governments of the West are as likely as not to turn fascist anyway. ‘A victory over the armies of Hitler and Mussolini implies in itself only the military defeat of Germany and Italy, and not at all the collapse of fascism.’ Furthermore, ‘the more resolute, firm and irreconcilable our position is on this question all the better will the masses understand us ”
Trotsky wrote the solemn ‘Manifesto of the Fourth International on the Imperialist War and the Proletarian World Revolution’ (May 1940) which failed to see much difference between Western democracies and Hitler Germany:
“We don’t know what he would now say, were he alive. All we know is that those who act in his name — the Trotskyists of today — stand fast in proclaiming that his pronouncements of 1939 and 1940 were absolutely correct.
But for the Jewish members and supporters of the old Trotskyism, it may well be that the movement’s position of ‘defeatism’ was the first of several profound shocks that alienated them from the movement. Certainly, as more and more of the details of the Holocaust became known after the war, Trotsky’s analogy to the ‘difference in comfort between various cars in a railway train’ appeared less and less felicitous.”
The Jews of Israel: An Oppressor Nation
When the national convention of the Socialist Workers Party in the United States adopted its resolution on ‘Israel and the Arab Revolution’ in August of 1971, it was by far the largest Trotskyist grouping in North America and was also perhaps the most influential formation in the international Trotskyist movement. No fewer than 1,100 delegates and visitors attended the convention. The resolution is probably the most carefully written exposition of the new Trotskyist thinking concerning Israel and Zionism. It solemnly and, for the movement authoritatively, establishes the new doctrine that the whole Jewish people of Israel — not just the rulers or capitalists of the country — are oppressors and must be considered enemies:
Their position then developed as follows:
The party issued a booklet of approximately 60,000 words to explain the resolution and its reasoning. It ranged over the entire history of Palestine and Israel. Nowhere is there mention of Arab violence against Jews, nor of Al-Hajj Amin al-Husayni.
http://www.wernercohn.com/Trotsky.html
I forgot to mention that the quote in my last post was from Yadlin who also stated in this article.
What an absurd proposal, hopefully,Israel will not buy it. entrust the lives of Israel to the word of Barack Obama and the US? How reliable has that been in the past? How reliable and honest is Obama? Bush was trusted and in the end even his written commitments were rubbished and unreliable. In this case the man is not trusted. Any undertaking from Obama is totally undependable and would be twisted with tortured rationalizations when he abandons his commitments. This is a man who has spent over 1 million dollars avoiding the release of a real birth certificate. Furthermore, the congress is also unreliable as they have spent their time covering for Obama’s lies. The immediate abandonment by Obama,of Bush commitments to Sharon and Israel, should herald a new paradigm of sensible judgment. Would you lend money to someone who immediately repudiates their obligations?
It’s not a concession to Iran, it’s an alliance with Iran.
IT IS TOO CLEAR
Israel and the Jews of Israel are being threatened as never before, comparable only to Hitler and the Holocaust. You will remember that all of the nations of the world especially Britain and America refused to allow Jewish emigration to escape the Holocaust. It is very like that today. The Jews have set up their Homeland in Israel but they are being isolated AGAIN by Obama and Cameron. This new threat of new Holocaust takes the form of Obama BACKING a Nuclear Armed Iran, which also means a Nuclear backed Muslim Brotherhood!
THE LEFT
Understand what the left is. It is NOT trotskyist. It is a ragbag and is more influenced by Stalinist and Revisionist thoughts.
The left is bitterly the enemy of Israel, that is ISRAEL THE Jewish HOMELAND
Why would the left be opposed to the Jewish Homeland? Because the left has become totally Antisemitic. This was led by the Moscow Stalinists following the 1967 war, which was a defensive war by the Jews of Israel, to defend their country from Egypt’s Nasser and other Arab countries which were attacking…HISTORY SPEAKS FOLKS…
BUT…
If the left is antisemitic what then?
The answer to this is that this left which is antisemitic is not Trotskyist, that means not based on the Lenin and Trotsky principles of socialist revolution.
CONCLUSION FROM THE PRESENT LEFT BEING ANTISEMITIC
1. This antisemitic left is no use to workers and it is no use to Jews in such danger as we describe
2. A new alternative must be built
3. That alternative is already well underway
4. How do we know? We know this because of all the political groups and individuals in the world only http://www.4international.me has called it correctly on the Jihadist cum Imperialist war on Yugoslavia, and on the Muslim Brotherhood drive to Fascism inside the Arab Spring which was obviously directed by Imperialism