By Lauri Regan, AMERICAN THINKER
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But Obama may actually be handed a gift in October, and depending upon what he does with that opportunity, it may provide him with a guaranteed win on November 6. The Washington Free Beacon is reporting that according to U.S. intelligence experts, Israel is gearing up for an October attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. And while Obama has done everything in his power to prevent Israel from conducting a military strike, including leaking various national security secrets pertaining to such an attack, affording Iran time to further its goals through prolonged and ineffectual diplomatic games, and withholding sophisticated weaponry that would increase the chances of a successful Israeli strike[i], Israel may not have a choice but to proceed without a nod or assistance from Washington. But why October?
Anyone who has been following Barack Obama’s record on the U.S.-Israel relationship understands that Obama is the least supportive president when it comes to this strategic and longstanding relationship than any of his predecessors, including Jimmy Carter. For anyone who questions this statement of fact (and the Democrats are doing their best to lie about its veracity), Discover The Networks has produced an extensive list of Obama’s “words, actions, and key affiliations vis à vis Israel not only during his first 32 months in the White House, but during the two decades preceding his presidency as well” which support the “perception that Obama is not seriously committed to protecting Israel’s welfare.” And the Emergency Committee for Israel has produced a short film entitled Daylight: The Story of Obama and Israel that further illustrates the reality that Obama has been anything but a friend to our strongest ally in the Mideast.
And certainly the Israelis do not need to be told that the U.S. president will not have their back when the chips are down. After all, Obama has shown their prime minister complete disrespect, blamed the problems in the Mideast — and certainly the lack of peace agreement with the Palestinians — on the building of settlements rather than Palestinian intransigence and violence, facilitated the takeover of the Egyptian government by the Muslim Brotherhood and hosted that terrorist organization in the White House, and sat almost completely idly by while Iran marches to nuclear capability as it simultaneously calls for Israel’s annihilation.
Israelis are survivors, not fools. They, like the rest of the world, watched Obama whisper to the Russian president to be patient as he was caught off-mike, stating, “This is my last election. After my election I have more flexibility.” As Mike Gonzolez of the Heritage Foundation described it:
Here, in essence, is what it appears to be: this was our commander in chief in league with an anti-American autocrat to dupe the American public until after it’s too late. What makes it even worse is that the issue at hand — missile defense — has to do with protecting the American people against the likes of Russia.
So if the POTUS is willing to bargain away Americans’ national security, just imagine what an unleashed Obama, who has already proven to be unfriendly to Israel, will do in a second term as that country’s survival becomes ever more threatened by surrounding hostile forces. I would imagine that Bibi Netanyahu, the guy whom Obama was again caught off-mike complaining about having to deal with, has about as much faith in Obama’s promises of financial, diplomatic, and military support if only Israel will wait until after the election to strike as do all of the other people who have been thrown under the Obama bus and lied to in the name of political expediency.
So as Israeli officials analyze their intelligence and prepare their citizens with supplies of gas masks, bomb shelters, and other emergency survival kits, Obama intentionally ignores not only the Israeli reports, but also the most recent information from his own National Intelligence team. According to Ha’aretz, Obama is keeping “under wraps” an NIE report that supports Israel’s estimates and concludes that Iran has made significant progress toward military nuclear capability.
And as the clock ticks, Obama is calculating that the faux promises and behind-the-scenes pressure from the leader of the free world, and only proven friend of the tiny country that causes him angst, will ultimately result in the Israelis tabling a strike and working on his timetable. And to that end, Obama has likely miscalculated. For Israelis no longer trust the United States under the present administration. If they believe that come October, Obama has a solid chance of a second term, it is probable that they will endeavor upon a military intervention to prevent Iran’s nuclear capability.
Israel cannot take a chance that Obama wins, for if that occurs, Israel knows that Obama will most assuredly not provide humanitarian aid in the face of retaliatory strikes, military aid to help resupply the IDF with equipment and arms it may need to complete what it was forced to start on its own, and diplomatic cover at the U.N. as the world condemns the attack, as it most certainly will. The world may breathe a sigh of relief that once again the Israelis accomplished what no other country had the nerve to do, but those thoughts will remain the stuff of off-mike whispers never intended as a defense of the Jewish state.
Barack Obama is no fool, either. He may be ideologically driven and politically motivated, but he also wants to win a second term. If Israel is forced to strike, Obama and his advisers understand that the majority of Americans support Israel and will expect the administration to do everything in its power to ensure Israel’s success. In such a case, even if Obama does the bare minimum to help Israel — vetoing a resolution against her at the U.N., ensuring safe airspace over Iraq and perhaps refueling at U.S. military bases in the region, ensuring that the Strait of Hormuz remain open and safe for oil tanker passage, and otherwise publicly supporting her in the face of international condemnation — he will likely claim full credit for the success of the mission, claim that he gave the green light and was always in favor of the plan, and lie once again to the American people in a speech full of “I”s and “me”s.
And assuming that an Israeli attack occurs sometime in late October, too close to the election for an Obama bounce to subside and gas prices to fly sky high, Obama may very well win due to a wagging of the dog he did his best to avoid.
And therein lies the irony of Obama forcing Israel to put its citizens and soldiers at risk to do something that he should be authorizing the U.S. military to do. Israel may clinch Obama’s second term while ensuring its own short-term survival. As the Robert DeNiro character says in the movie, “[a]nd if there ain’t no war, then you, my friend, can go home and prematurely take up golf.” Sadly, Obama prematurely took up golf instead of preventing Iran from going nuclear, and because of that, he may not be going home.
[i] As stated in the WFB article:
One element of leverage fro the administration in dissuading Israel to attack was outlined in the recent meetings with Israeli officials who were told that a U.S.-supported strike against Iran possibly could involve advanced weaponry from the U.S. arsenal, including a new Air Force conventional bomb designed to blast deeply buried and hardened targets.
@ yamit82: The game is rigged. I agree but:
The demo will create a wider and deeper hole for everybody but the rich.
@ steven l:
ObamaCare is supposed to compensate for the reduction and inanyeven it hasen’t happened yet till 2014-2016.
An electprate that would elect leaders from Clinton/Bush/Obama to Romney/Ryan can be said to be stupid, dysfunctionally populist…
and self – absorbed. Even you don’t have a grasp of the facts you cynically presented above.
Ryan may be any Ayn Rand groupie but when it came to his congressional voting record he voted down the Bush party line and was a spendthrift political whore just like the rest of the phony ersatz RINO’s. He may talk the talk to the ignorant and brain dead but he ain’t no fiscal conservative. Romney may have made a lot of money but does that qualify him for President. Bernie Madoff also made a lot of money and if he hadn’t stolen from the 1% he would have gotten away with it, like Goldman- Corizine and and the rest of the Wall St. mafia Money Junkies.
American and world financial institutions and corporations hold toays something in the neighborhood of a thousand trillion $$$$ in Junk derivatives.
They expect the likes of you and me to make good those junk assets and if not they will take us to war rather than lose all their wealth. Always follow the money trails rather than the many distractions they place in front of us.
THE GAME IS RIGGED AND NOT IN OUR FAVOR.
@ yamit82:
I hope not.
Having taken away 1/2 trillion from Medicare, why should the seniors support the demos who have no solution to offer beside already squeezing the seniors?
The demo count on the seniors to all have AD or Parkinson!
The demo want to level down the country.
I don’t understand why we are talking about conventional warfare with the Arab world and Iran. Since the 1950’s we have known that whole countries can be immobilized without “collateral” damage, ie. without killing anyone or blowing up anything on the ground. The weapons involved are tactical nuclear weapons exploded 10-40 kilometers above the country in question. Everything electronic from cars, laboratories, power grids…even radio and television stops.
Such a weapon deployed over Syria for example, would safely remove Assad and render his arsenal useless. Similarly, over Lebanon or Gaza it would neutralize the guidance systems of their rockets, permanently!
Israel is capable of removing all threatening Arab governments simultaneously as possible combatants with no risk to Israeli soldiers or pilots. The U.S. used nuclear weapons against the civilian populations of Hiroshima and Nagasaki without fear of retaliation, world opinion, or hesitation at the irradiation and mutilation of civilians. The U.S. had no compelling existential raison d’etre for use of this weaponry. ISRAEL DOES!!!!
@ steven l:
The next generation and the ones after that if it comes to that….
@ yamit82:
Is it in the interest of the seniors for the economy to be destroyed by 4 more years with NO budget (Total EIGHT YEARS) from the Pr or the democrats. They have clearly show that they are not competent even to make a budget proposal!Better a bad one than NONE. According to you the seniors will sacrifice the next generation?
In his book “The audacity of hope, Obama wrote: “I will stand with the Muslims, should the political winds shift in an ugly direction.”
@ Alan:
Let’s speak frankly:
Personally I don’t care who wins the presidency as I figure neither will be to Israel’ benefit.
Neither the Democrats or the Republicans will succeed in turning around American economic problems because they are Too big, too complex, and in the end the system is weighted against any radical changes that would injure the powers behind the throne. I call them the money Junkies. Romney is their boy but so is Obama. The money junkies are in control of both sides so you ( The people) can’t win. Elections are jut a sop so the stupid masses will believe they can effect change.
When it comes to Israel I ask the question : Is our current dependence and umbilical cord relationship with America good or bad for Israel now and in the future? I say NO.
I also know that BB or any of our current crop of amoebic Leaders will sell their mothers and kids rather than effect any serious break with America. So if I were to choose the best president for Israel it would be the one most likely to break the chains that bind us to them not the converse.
Yamit,
Always the skepticism from you, and always it seems aimed at Republicans, NEVER Democraps.
Yep, Yamit, he’s not perfect. Neither is Romney, neither was GW Bush, I guess too, neither were Reagan and Nixon.
When do we hear from you excorciating an Ovomit, who you, like the pathetic Alan Dershowitz carps about but like him sounds like you’d still support him…
(by the way Yamit, I still haven’t heard that you’ve led that “Price Tag” revolution to overthrow Bibi and Barak. That Schvidusvesser (sic ) boy who lost his family in the Sbarro bombing went to prison for speaking out against the mass murderer release, what have you done lately?)
BUT…we know Israel will have friends in Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan. Right now you have sh*t with Ovomit, Blowhard, Shrillary and yes, the always wonderful Samantha Power. Is that what you prefer? Hopefully America too will be better off with a President – and Vice President – that will do their jobs, not screw the country and the people while enriching themselves at the expense of our future.
Personally I wouldn’t bank on the little Kenyan to take out those Iranian nuke sites. You are much better off with someone who not only sticks up for Israel but means business too.
@ Alan:
When Ryan voting record becomes widely known conservative enthusiasm could dampen.
He voted for TARP, Bailing out GM and AIG as well as all the Federal bailouts of the too big to fails. Voted each time in favor of raising debt ceiling.
His budgetary solution is a balanced budget in 2040. Can America wait till 2040? His solution is austerity for the poor and middle class leaving the top earners and their accumulated wealth intact.
Just thought I would mention these little known facts because Obama will crucify him in negative adds.
Romey will eventually have to come clean that in the IRS he is better known as mr. Tax shelter and tax avoider. He holds private mortgages of private homes in a tax reducing scheme. Only 1 example.
Even his charitable contributions to his church was paid in unredeemed securities so as not to have to pay capital gains and his church is already tax exempt… Legal but is it ethical for a potential president?
Now I don’t dare ay he did anything illegal but….Is he in his own way better than Obama?
@ Alan:
He will win without a single Jewish vote.
The Republicans sealed it with electing Romney and now Ryan. They just lost Florida. The Ryan Budget is perceived as a threat to seniors and it matters little if it’s true. People will always vote according to their own perceived personal interests. Obama knows this truth and as I predicted he is playing the rich against the middle class like a fiddle and when over 60% of Americans receive some form of Government payouts Obama has a built in win.
The only way Romney can win is if there is a very low turnout by his ( Obama’s) base, coupled with a massive Republican and independent turnout.
The only way to predict the future is to attempt to create it. Iran tries to predict its hegemony by producing weapons of mass destruction. Obama tries to predict his future re-election by restraining Israel. And Israel must try to preserve itself through military action. Taking no action is also an action, but it lacks the force to guarantee an outcome. Darwin demands the use of all means possible to survive.
If there is to be an Israeli attack on the Iranian nuclear sites, I think it ought to wait until after the early morning hours of Nov 7 2012, after all the US polling centers from Maine to Alaska and Hawaii have been closed for the night.
If Obama and Biden win the election, chances are outstanding the US Congress will both be under control of the pro-Israel Republican Party. After any such attack, Netanyahu and Barak will both be invited as guest speakers to both houses of Congress, while Obama sits in the West Wing pouting. Because the real power in this country will be even more so in hands of Obama’s enemies.
If Romney and Ryan win the election, the same circumstances described above for the US Congress are even more likely. If so, Netanyahu and Barak not only will be invited to Washington to address both houses of Congress, but they will be doing so directly as guests of the president-elect and his vice president-elect.
All this is now less than 13 weeks in the future. Iran is not likely to make much more nuclear headway in three months.
But if they do attack, they must be absolutely certain they can guarantee the destruction of Iran’s weapons grade uranium. This is not the kind of business in which you get a second chance.
Arnold Harris
Mount Horeb WI